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Temporal prediction is critical for making intelligent and robust decisions in complex dynamic environments. Motion prediction needs to model the inherently uncertain future which often contains multiple potential outcomes, due to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-10 Yichuan Charlie Tang , Ruslan Salakhutdinov

Advection and dispersion in highly heterogeneous environments involving interfacial discontinuities in the corresponding drift and dispersion rates are described through disparate examples from the physical and biological sciences. A…

Linear time-invariant systems are very popular models in system theory and applications. A fundamental problem in system identification that remains rather unaddressed in extant literature is to leverage commonalities amongst related linear…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-03 Aditya Modi , Mohamad Kazem Shirani Faradonbeh , Ambuj Tewari , George Michailidis

Wavelets provide the flexibility to analyse stochastic processes at different scales. Here, we apply them to multivariate point processes as a means of detecting and analysing unknown non-stationarity, both within and across data streams.…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-04 Edward A. K. Cohen , Alexander J. Gibberd

The multitime multiple recurrences are common in analysis of algorithms, computational biology, information theory, queueing theory, filters theory, statistical physics etc. The theoretical part about them is little or not known. That is…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-06-10 Cristian Ghiu , Raluca Tuliga , Constantin Udriste

Oscillatory dynamics are ubiquitous in biological networks. Possible sources of oscillations are well understood in low-dimensional systems, but have not been fully explored in high-dimensional networks. Here we study large networks…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2016-12-21 Célian Bimbard , Erwan Ledoux , Srdjan Ostojic

In this paper we present multivariate space-time fractional Poisson processes by considering common random time-changes of a (finite-dimensional) vector of independent classical (non-fractional) Poisson processes. In some cases we also…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-22 Luisa Beghin , Claudio Macci

We propose predictive information, that is information between a long past of duration T and the entire infinitely long future of a time series, as a universal order parameter to study phase transitions in physical systems. It can be used,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-02-04 Martin Tchernookov , Ilya Nemenman

We are studying long term sequence prediction (forecasting). We approach this by investigating criteria for choosing a compact useful state representation. The state is supposed to summarize useful information from the history. We want a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-02-10 Peter Sunehag , Marcus Hutter

This paper studies the problem of predicting the distribution over multiple possible future paths of people as they move through various visual scenes. We make two main contributions. The first contribution is a new dataset, created in a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-03-31 Junwei Liang , Lu Jiang , Kevin Murphy , Ting Yu , Alexander Hauptmann

Recently supervised machine learning has been ascending in providing new predictive approaches for chemical, biological and materials sciences applications. In this Perspective we focus on the interplay of machine learning algorithm with…

The goal of this paper is to demonstrate the general modeling and practical simulation of random equations with mixture model parameter random variables. Random equations, understood as stationary (non-dynamical) equations with parameters…

Computation · Statistics 2025-07-31 Wolfgang Hoegele

Predicting an agent's future trajectory is a challenging task given the complicated stimuli (environmental/inertial/social) of motion. Prior works learn individual stimulus from different modules and fuse the representations in an…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-04-09 Shan Su , Cheng Peng , Jianbo Shi , Chiho Choi

Point process modeling is gaining increasing attention, as point process type data are emerging in numerous scientific applications. In this article, motivated by a neuronal spike trains study, we propose a novel point process regression…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-10 Xiwei Tang , Lexin Li

Prompted by modern technologies in data acquisition, the statistical analysis of spatially distributed function-valued quantities has attracted a lot of attention in recent years. In particular, combinations of functional variables and…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-12 Matthias Eckardt , Carles Comas , Jorge Mateu

Queueing networks are systems of theoretical interest that find widespread use in the performance evaluation of interconnected resources. In comparison to counterpart models in genetics or mathematical biology, the stochastic (jump)…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-28 Iker Perez , Giuliano Casale

We study discrete-time predictable forward processes when trading times do not coincide with performance evaluation times in a binomial tree model for the financial market. The key step in the construction of these processes is to solve a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-12-05 Gechun Liang , Moris S. Strub , Yuwei Wang

For multivariate stationary time series many important properties, such as partial correlation, graphical models and autoregressive representations are encoded in the inverse of its spectral density matrix. This is not true for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-11 Jonas Krampe , Suhasini Subba Rao

In diverse physical systems stable oscillatory solutions devolve into more complicated dynamical behaviour through border-collision bifurcations. Mathematically these occur when a stable fixed point of a piecewise-smooth map collides with a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-07-22 David J. W. Simpson

Representations of sequential data are commonly based on the assumption that observed sequences are realizations of an unknown underlying stochastic process, where the learning problem includes determination of the model parameters. In this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-17 Ronny Hug , Wolfgang Hübner , Michael Arens