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Which level of inflation should Central Banks be targeting? We investigate this issue in the context of a simplified Agent Based Model of the economy. Depending on the value of the parameters that describe the behaviour of agents (in…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2018-03-21 Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Stanislao Gualdi , Marco Tarzia , Francesco Zamponi

In our model, private actors with interbank cash flows similar to, but nore general than (Carmona, Fouque, Sun, 2013) borrow from the outside economy at a certain interest rate, controlled by the central bank, and invest in risky assets.…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-09 Aditya Maheshwari , Andrey Sarantsev

This article conducts a literature review on the topic of monetary policy in developing countries and focuses on the effectiveness of monetary policy in promoting economic growth and the relationship between monetary policy and economic…

General Economics · Economics 2023-03-07 Marouane Daoui

We argue that establishing the phase diagram of Agent Based Models (ABM) is a crucial first step, together with a qualitative understanding of how collective phenomena come about, before any calibration or more quantitative predictions are…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-12-17 Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

Designing a financial market that works well is very important for developing and maintaining an advanced economy, but is not easy because changing detailed rules, even ones that seem trivial, sometimes causes unexpected large impacts and…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-08 Takanobu Mizuta

Agent-based models, particularly those applied to financial markets, demonstrate the ability to produce realistic, simulated system dynamics, comparable to those observed in empirical investigations. Despite this, they remain fairly…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-03-24 Donovan Platt , Tim Gebbie

I study a static textbook model of monetary policy and relax the conventional assumption that the private sector has rational expectations. Instead, the private sector forms inflation forecasts according to a misspecified subjective model…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-05-20 Ran Spiegler

Any economic agent constituting the monetary economy maintains the activity of monetary flow equilibration for fulfilling the condition of monetary flow continuity in the record, except at the central bank. At the same time, monetary flow…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Koichiro Matsuno

The aim of this work is to explore the possible types of phenomena that simple macroeconomic Agent-Based models (ABM) can reproduce. We propose a methodology, inspired by statistical physics, that characterizes a model through its 'phase…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-12-30 Stanislao Gualdi , Marco Tarzia , Francesco Zamponi , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

In the present paper a model of a market consisting of real and financial interacting sectors is studied. Agents populating the stock market are assumed to be not able to observe the true underlying fundamental, and their beliefs are biased…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-13 Fausto Cavalli , Ahmad Naimzada , Nicolò Pecora , Marina Pireddu

A modern version of Monetary Circuit Theory with a particular emphasis on stochastic underpinning mechanisms is developed. It is explained how money is created by the banking system as a whole and by individual banks. The role of central…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2015-10-27 Alexander Lipton

This paper offers a synthesis of the empirical literature on the effects of monetary policy. Using the findings from an extensive collection of meta-analyses, it evaluates the effectiveness of conventional and unconventional monetary policy…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-09-25 Ricardo Alonzo Fernandez Salguero

In this paper, we investigate the effectiveness of conventional and unconventional monetary policy measures by the European Central Bank (ECB) conditional on the prevailing level of uncertainty. To obtain exogenous variation in central bank…

General Economics · Economics 2020-12-01 Niko Hauzenberger , Michael Pfarrhofer , Anna Stelzer

The existence of stylized facts in financial data has been documented in many studies. In the past decade the modeling of financial markets by agent-based computational economic market models has become a frequently used modeling approach.…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-12-06 Simon Cramer , Torsten Trimborn

There is by now a large consensus in modern monetary policy. This consensus has been built upon a dynamic general equilibrium model of optimal monetary policy as developed by, e.g., Goodfriend and King (1997), Clarida et al. (1999),…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-11 Orlando Gomes , Vivaldo M. Mendes , Diana A. Mendes , J. Sousa Ramos

This study investigates the functioning of modern payment systems through the lens of banks' maturity mismatch practices, and it examines the effects of banks' refusal to roll over short-term interbank liabilities on financial stability.…

General Economics · Economics 2023-06-12 Jessica Reale

This paper discusses three key themes in forecasting for monetary policy highlighted in the Bernanke (2024) review: the challenges in economic forecasting, the conditional nature of central bank forecasts, and the importance of forecast…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-28 Laura Coroneo

We consider a central bank strategy for maintaining a two-sided currency target zone, in which an exchange rate of two currencies is forced to stay between two thresholds. To keep the exchange rate from breaking the prescribed barriers, the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-04 Eyal Neuman , Alexander Schied , Chengguo Weng , Xiaole Xue

We introduce a minimal Agent Based Model with two classes of agents, fundamentalists (stabilizing) and chartists (destabilizing) and we focus on the essential features which can generate the stylized facts. This leads to a detailed…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 V. Alfi , L. Pietronero , A. Zaccaria

The institution of money can be seen as a foundational social mechanism, enabling communities to quantify collectively regulate economic processes. Money can be said, indeed, to constitute the micro-macro link in economics. This paper…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-06-30 Eduardo Coltre Ferraciolli , Tanya V. Araújo
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