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A simple lemma bounds $\mathrm{s.d.}(T)/\mathbb{E} T$ for hitting times $T$ in Markov chains with a certain strong monotonicity property. We show how this lemma may be applied to several increasing set-valued processes. Our main result…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-22 David J. Aldous

We settle an open problem, raised by Y. Peres and D. Revelle, concerning the $L^2$ mixing time of the random walk on the lamplighter graph. We also provide general bounds relating the entropy decay of a Markov chain to the separation…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Murali K. Ganapathy , Prasad Tetali

Let $P$ be the transition matrix of a finite, irreducible and reversible Markov chain. We say the continuous time Markov chain $X$ has transition matrix $P$ and speed $\lambda$ if it jumps at rate $\lambda$ according to the matrix $P$. Fix…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-26 Louigi Addario-Berry , Roberto I. Oliveira , Yuval Peres , Perla Sousi

We find the total variation mixing time of the interchange process on the dumbbell graph (two complete graphs, $K_n$ and $K_m$, connected by a single edge), and show that this sequence of chains exhibits the cutoff phenomenon precisely when…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-27 Richárd Patkó , Gábor Pete

Bounding chains are a technique that offers three benefits to Markov chain practitioners: a theoretical bound on the mixing time of the chain under restricted conditions, experimental bounds on the mixing time of the chain that are provably…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Mark Huber

We study a large class of reversible Markov chains with discrete state space and transition matrix $P_N$. We define the notion of a set of {\it metastable points} as a subset of the state space $\G_N$ such that (i) this set is reached from…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 A. Bovier , M. Eckhoff , V. Gayrard , M. Klein

In this paper, we consider convergence properties of a second order Markov chain. Similar to a column stochastic matrix is associated to a Markov chain, a so called {\em transition probability tensor} $P$ of order 3 and dimension $n$ is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2013-07-29 Shenglong Hu , Liqun Qi

This paper proposes a new type of recurrence where we divide the Markov chains into intervals that start when the chain enters into a subset A, then sample another subset B far away from A and end when the chain again return to A. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-02-24 Lars Holden

A sequence of Markov chains is said to exhibit (total variation) cutoff if the convergence to stationarity in total variation distance is abrupt. We consider reversible lazy chains. We prove a necessary and sufficient condition for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-19 Riddhipratim Basu , Jonathan Hermon , Yuval Peres

We extend Hoeffding's lemma to general-state-space and not necessarily reversible Markov chains. Let $\{X_i\}_{i \ge 1}$ be a stationary Markov chain with invariant measure $\pi$ and absolute spectral gap $1-\lambda$, where $\lambda$ is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-19 Jianqing Fan , Bai Jiang , Qiang Sun

Consider an n by n array of cards shuffled in the following manner. An element x of the array is chosen uniformly at random; Then with probability 1/2 the rectangle of cards above and to the left of x is rotated 180 degrees, and with…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Robin Pemantle

We consider a random geometric graph obtained by placing a Poisson point process of intensity 1 in the d-dimensional torus of side length n^(1/d) and connecting two points by an edge if their distance is at most r. We consider the case of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-25 Magnus H. Haaland , Anđela Šarković

We propose a new Bayesian Markov switching regression model for multidimensional arrays (tensors) of binary time series. We assume a zero-inflated logit regression with time-varying parameters and apply it to multilayer temporal networks.…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-05 Monica Billio , Roberto Casarin , Matteo Iacopini

The random transposition shuffle on repeated cards induces a Markov chain on the quotient space of arrangements with multiplicities, and is equivalent to the many-urn mean-field Bernoulli-Laplace model introduced by Scarabotti. Writing…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-28 Jiahe Shen

A random phase property establishing a link between quasi-one-dimensional random Schroedinger operators and full random matrix theory is advocated. Briefly summarized it states that the random transfer matrices placed into a normal system…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2010-06-04 Rudolf A Roemer , Hermann Schulz-Baldes

Quantum walks on graphs have been shown in certain cases to mix quadratically faster than their classical counterparts. Lifted Markov chains, consisting of a Markov chain on an extended state space which is projected back down to the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-03-22 Danial Dervovic

We obtain universal estimates on the convergence to equilibrium and the times of coupling for continuous time irreducible reversible finite-state Markov chains, both in the total variation and in the L^2 norms. The estimates in total…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-01-24 Mykhaylo Shkolnikov

For an ergodic Markov chain $\{X(t)\}$ on $\Bbb N$, with a stationary distribution $\pi$, let $T_n>0$ denote a hitting time for $[n]^c$, and let $X_n=X(T_n)$. Around 2005 Guy Louchard popularized a conjecture that, for $n\to \infty$, $T_n$…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2010-05-13 Boris Pittel

We consider a Markov chain $(M_{n})_{n\ge 0}$ on the set $\mathbb{N}_{0}$ of nonnegative integers which is eventually decreasing, i.e. $\mathbb{P}\{M_{n+1}<M_{n}|M_{n}\ge a\}=1$ for some $a\in\mathbb{N}$ and all $n\ge 0$. We are interested…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-08 Gerold Alsmeyer , Alexander Marynych

The edge flipping is a non-reversible Markov chain on a given connected graph, which is defined by Chung and Graham in [CG12]. In the same paper, its eigenvalues and stationary distributions for some classes of graphs are identified. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-15 Yunus Emre Demirci , Ümit Işlak , Alperen Yaşar Özdemir
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