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This work addresses the exact characterization of the covariance dynamics related to linear discrete-time systems subject to both additive and parametric stochastic uncertainties that are potentially unbounded. Using this characterization,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-22 Kaouther Moussa , Mirko Fiacchini

We consider slow-fast systems of differential equations, in which both the slow and fast variables are perturbed by noise. When the deterministic system admits a uniformly asymptotically stable slow manifold, we show that the sample paths…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Nils Berglund , Barbara Gentz

The majority of dynamical studies in power systems focus on the high voltage transmission grids where models consider large generators interacting with crude aggregations of individual small loads. However, new phenomena have been observed…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-12 Charlie Duclut , Scott Backhaus , Michael Chertkov

Spatio-temporal Hawkes point processes are a particularly interesting class of stochastic point processes for modeling self-exciting behavior, in which the occurrence of one event increases the probability of other events occurring. These…

Computation · Statistics 2025-11-19 Alba Bernabeu , Jorge Mateu

Two known distinct examples of one-dimensional systems which are known to exhibit a phase transition are critically examined: (A) a lattice model with harmonic nearest-neighbor elastic interactions and an on-site Morse potential, and (B)…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-06-17 N. Theodorakopoulos

Autoregressive models capture stochastic processes in which past realizations determine the generative distribution of new data; they arise naturally in a variety of industrial, biomedical, and financial settings. A key challenge when…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-30 Daren Wang , Yi Yu , Alessandro Rinaldo , Rebecca Willett

We construct general models for holographic superconductivity parametrized by three couplings which are functions of a real scalar field and show that under general assumptions they describe superconducting phase transitions. While some…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2014-11-20 Francesco Aprile , Jorge G. Russo

Hawkes processes are often applied to model dependence and interaction phenomena in multivariate event data sets, such as neuronal spike trains, social interactions, and financial transactions. In the nonparametric setting, learning the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-04 Deborah Sulem , Vincent Rivoirard , Judith Rousseau

Existing theory of momentum assumes that gradients arrive at every parameter at a roughly constant rate, an assumption violated in practice by heavy-tailed data distributions and modern architectures. We theoretically analyze the dynamics…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-29 Katie Everett , Elliot Paquette

Power electronic devices such as HVDC and FACTS can be used to improve the damping of poorly damped inter-area modes in large power systems. This involves the use of wide-area feedback signals, which are transmitted via communication…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-17 K. K. Gajjar , Kaustav Dey , A. M. Kulkarni

Model order reduction in high-dimensional, nonlinear dynamical systems if often enabled through fast-slow timescale separation. One such approach involves identifying a low-dimensional slow manifold to which the state rapidly converges and…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-05-14 Dan Wilson

We consider the short time behaviour of stochastic systems affected by a stochastic volatility evolving at a faster time scale. We study the asymptotics of a logarithmic functional of the process by methods of the theory of homogenisation…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2014-05-14 Martino Bardi , Annalisa Cesaroni , Daria Ghilli

Many scientific and economic problems involve the analysis of high-dimensional time series datasets. However, theoretical studies in high-dimensional statistics to date rely primarily on the assumption of independent and identically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-07-31 Sumanta Basu , George Michailidis

Predictive linear and nonlinear models based on kernel machines or deep neural networks have been used to discover dependencies among time series. This paper proposes an efficient nonlinear modeling approach for multiple time series, with a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-02 Kevin Roy , Luis Miguel Lopez-Ramos , Baltasar Beferull-Lozano

Discrete-time stochastic systems are an essential modelling tool for many engineering systems. We consider stochastic control systems that are evolving over continuous spaces. For this class of models, methods for the formal verification…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-11-29 Sofie Haesaert , Sadegh Soudjani

Univariate marked Hawkes processes are used to model a range of real-world phenomena including earthquake aftershock sequences, contagious disease spread, content diffusion on social media platforms, and order book dynamics. This paper…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-13 Louis Davis , Conor Kresin , Boris Baeumer , Ting Wang

We consider a sparse high-dimensional varying coefficients model with random effects, a flexible linear model allowing covariates and coefficients to have a functional dependence with time. For each individual, we observe discretely sampled…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-14 Michael Law , Ya'acov Ritov

High-dimensional vector autoregressive (VAR) models have numerous applications in fields such as econometrics, biology, climatology, among others. While prior research has mainly focused on linear VAR models, these approaches can be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-25 Yuefeng Han , Likai Chen , Wei Biao Wu

Numerous studies grounded on Hawkes processes have been carried out in many fields including finance, biology and social network. Hawkes processes form a class of selfexciting simple point processes. In this article, we consider a general…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-22 Bartholomé Vieille , Rachid Senoussi , Samuel Soubeyrand

The decay of a general time dependent structure factors is considered. The dynamics is that of stochastic field equations of the Langevin type, where the systematic generalized force is a functional derivative of some classical field…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Moshe Schwartz