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Engineered injection and extraction systems that create chaotic advection are promising procedures for enhancing mixing between two species. Mixing efficiencies vary considerably, so carefully selecting the design parameters, like pumping…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-01-29 Carla Feistner , Francesca Ziliotto , Barbara Wohlmuth , Gabriele Chiogna

We construct estimators for the parameters of a parabolic SPDE with one spatial dimension based on discrete observations of a solution in time and space on a bounded domain. We establish central limit theorems for a high-frequency…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-23 Markus Bibinger , Patrick Bossert

This paper develops a systematic parametric method for analyzing stochastic systems under volatility uncertainty within the $G$-expectation framework. Leveraging the dual representation of the $G$-expectation as a supremum over a family of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-27 Guangqian Zhao

A classic reachability problem for safety of dynamic systems is to compute the set of initial states from which the state trajectory is guaranteed to stay inside a given constraint set over a given time horizon. In this paper, we leverage…

The sensitivity of long-time averages of a hyperbolic chaotic system to parameter perturbations can be determined using the shadowing direction, the uniformly-bounded-in-time solution of the sensitivity equations. Although its existence is…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2019-05-22 Davide Lasagna , Ati Sharma , Johan Meyers

Identifying an appropriate covariance function is one of the primary interests in spatial and spatio-temporal statistics because it allows researchers to analyze the dependence structure of the random process. For this purpose, spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-04 Jongwook Kim , Chunfeng Huang , Nicholas Bussberg

This paper proposes a new pathwise sensitivity estimator for chaotic SDEs. By introducing a spring term between the original and perturbated SDEs, we derive a new estimator by importance sampling. The variance of the new estimator increases…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-01-10 Wei Fang , Mike Giles

Compartmental models, especially the Susceptible-Infected-Removed (SIR) model, have long been used to understand the behaviour of various diseases. Allowing parameters, such as the transmission rate, to be time-dependent functions makes it…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-27 Son Luu , Edward Susko , Lam Si Tung Ho

This work aims at making a comprehensive contribution in the general area of parametric inference for discretely observed diffusion processes. Established approaches for likelihood-based estimation invoke a time-discretisation scheme for…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-30 Yuga Iguchi , Alexandros Beskos , Matthew M. Graham

The existence and consistency of a maximum likelihood estimator for the joint probability distribution of random parameters in discrete-time abstract parabolic systems are established by taking a nonparametric approach in the context of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-26 Lernik Asserian , Susan E. Luczak , I. G. Rosen

The development of a consistent framework for Calphad model sensitivity is necessary for the rational reduction of uncertainty via new models and experiments. In the present work, a sensitivity theory for Calphad was developed, and a…

Materials Science · Physics 2021-02-24 Richard Otis , Brandon Bocklund , Zi-Kui Liu

Stochastic Approximation (SA) is a popular approach for solving fixed-point equations where the information is corrupted by noise. In this paper, we consider an SA involving a contraction mapping with respect to an arbitrary norm, and show…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-01 Zaiwei Chen , Siva Theja Maguluri , Sanjay Shakkottai , Karthikeyan Shanmugam

Many methods are available for assessing the importance of omitted variables in linear regression. These methods typically make different, non-falsifiable assumptions. Hence the data alone cannot tell us which method is most appropriate.…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-05 Paul Diegert , Matthew A. Masten , Alexandre Poirier

This article focuses on parameter estimation of multi-levels nonlinear mixed effects models (MNLMEMs). These models are used to analyze data presenting multiple hierarchical levels of grouping (cluster data, clinical trials with several…

Methodology · Statistics 2008-12-18 Xavière Panhard , Adeline Samson

The reconstruction and inference of stochastic dynamical systems from data is a fundamental task in inverse problems and statistical learning. While surrogate modeling advances computational methods to approximate these dynamics, standard…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Nicole Tianjiao Yang

Information-theoretic quantities play a crucial role in understanding non-linear relationships between random variables and are widely used across scientific disciplines. However, estimating these quantities remains an open problem,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-28 Alberto Foresti , Giulio Franzese , Pietro Michiardi

In this paper, a stochastic approximation (SA) based distributed algorithm is proposed to solve the resource allocation (RA) with uncertainties. In this problem, a group of agents cooperatively optimize a separable optimization problem with…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-01 Peng Yi , Jinlong Lei , Yiguang Hong

Fisher information and Shannon entropy are fundamental tools for understanding and analyzing dynamical systems from complementary perspectives. They can characterize unknown parameters by quantifying the information contained in variables,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-12-19 Yuxuan Bao , J. Nathan Kutz

Tracking of objects in cellular environments has become a vital tool in molecular cell biology. A particularly important example is single molecule tracking which enables the study of the motion of a molecule in cellular environments and…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-02-27 Milad R. Vahid , Bernard Hanzon , Raimund J. Ober

We present a scheme for sequential decision making with a risk-sensitive objective and constraints in a dynamic environment. A neural network is trained as an approximator of the mapping from parameter space to space of risk and policy with…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-07-10 Shuai Ma , Jia Yuan Yu , Ahmet Satir