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The first-passage time is a key concept in stochastic modeling, representing the time at which a process first reaches a specified threshold. In this work, we consider a jump-diffusion (JD) model with a time-dependent threshold, providing a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-11-04 Sascha Desmettre , Devika Khurana , Amira Meddah

Systems of interacting continuous-time Markov chains are a powerful model class, but inference is typically intractable in high dimensional settings. Auxiliary information, such as noisy observations, is typically only available at discrete…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-21 Giosue Migliorini , Padhraic Smyth

The present work proposes a second-order time splitting scheme for a linear dispersive equation with a variable advection coefficient subject to transparent boundary conditions. For its spatial discretization, a dual Petrov--Galerkin method…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-06-09 Lukas Einkemmer , Alexander Ostermann , Mirko Residori

We explore an explicit link between stochastic gradient descent using common batching strategies and splitting methods for ordinary differential equations. From this perspective, we introduce a new minibatching strategy (called Symmetric…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-08 Luke Shaw , Peter A. Whalley

A convergence theorem for the continuous weak approximation of the solution of stochastic differential equations by general one step methods is proved, which is an extension of a theorem due to Milstein. As an application, uniform second…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2013-03-19 Kristian Debrabant , Andreas Rößler

Exponential time differencing methods is a power tool for high-performance numerical simulation of computationally challenging problems in condensed matter physics, fluid dynamics, chemical and biological physics, where mathematical models…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-10-15 Evelina V. Permyakova , Denis S. Goldobin

Bisimulation metrics are powerful tools for measuring similarities between stochastic processes, and specifically Markov chains. Recent advances have uncovered that bisimulation metrics are, in fact, optimal-transport distances, which has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-26 Sergio Calo , Anders Jonsson , Gergely Neu , Ludovic Schwartz , Javier Segovia-Aguas

An Euler-type framework with equidistant step sizes is proposed for a class of time-changed stochastic differential equations.We establish the strong convergence rate of the standard Euler--Maruyama method under the global Lipschitz…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-12 Ruchun Zuo

Switching dynamical systems are an expressive model class for the analysis of time-series data. As in many fields within the natural and engineering sciences, the systems under study typically evolve continuously in time, it is natural to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-19 Lukas Köhs , Bastian Alt , Heinz Koeppl

Stochastic optimal control problems have a long tradition in applied probability, with the questions addressed being of high relevance in a multitude of fields. Even though theoretical solutions are well understood in many scenarios, their…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-28 Sören Christensen , Claudia Strauch , Lukas Trottner

Stochasticity plays a fundamental role in various biochemical processes, such as cell regulatory networks and enzyme cascades. Isothermal, well-mixed systems can be modelled as Markov processes, typically simulated using the Gillespie…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2016-10-12 Andrew Duncan , Radek Erban , Konstantinos Zygalakis

We develop a practical approach to establish the stability, that is, the recurrence in a given set, of a large class of controlled Markov chains. These processes arise in various areas of applied science and encompass important numerical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-02 Christophe Andrieu , Vladislav B. Tadić , Matti Vihola

High order splitting schemes with complex timesteps are applied to Kolmogorov backward equations stemming from stochastic differential equations in Stratonovich form. In the setting of weighted spaces, the necessary analyticity of the split…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2012-10-22 Philipp Doersek , Eskil Hansen

We propose an experimental study of adaptive time-stepping methods for efficient modeling of the aggregation-fragmentation kinetics. Precise modeling of this phenomena usually requires utilization of the large systems of nonlinear ordinary…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-01-20 Sergey A. Matveev , Viktor Zhilin , Alexander P. Smirnov

In this paper we consider large state space continuous time Markov chains (MCs) arising in the field of systems biology. For density dependent families of MCs that represent the interaction of large groups of identical objects, Kurtz has…

Performance · Computer Science 2015-03-04 Alessio Angius , Gianfranco Balbo , Marco Beccuti , Enrico Bibbona , Andras Horvath , Roberta Sirovich

We consider the numerical approximation of the stochastic complex Ginzburg-Landau equation with additive noise on the one dimensional torus. The complex nature of the equation means that many of the standard approaches developed for…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-12-12 Marvin Jans , Gabriel J. Lord , Mariya Ptashnyk

We consider a simple but important class of metastable discrete time Markov chains, which we call perturbed Markov chains. Basically, we assume that the transition matrices depend on a parameter $\varepsilon$, and converge as $\varepsilon$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-23 Volker Betz , Stéphane Le Roux

We consider the exit event from a metastable state for the overdamped Langevin dynamics $dX_t = -\nabla f(X_t) dt + \sqrt{h} dB_t$. Using tools from semiclassical analysis, we prove that, starting from the quasi stationary distribution…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2019-01-17 Giacomo Di Gesù , Tony Lelièvre , Dorian Le Peutrec , Boris Nectoux

Biochemical reaction networks are often modelled using discrete-state, continuous-time Markov chains. System statistics of these Markov chains usually cannot be calculated analytically and therefore estimates must be generated via…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2016-04-19 Daniel Wilson , Ruth E. Baker

Path-wise observables--functionals of stochastic trajectories--are at the heart of time-average statistical mechanics and are central to thermodynamic inequalities such as uncertainty relations, speed limits, and correlation-bounds. They…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-04-21 Lars Torbjørn Stutzer , Cai Dieball , Aljaž Godec