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Let (X_n,Y_n) be i.i.d. random vectors. Let W(x) be the partial sum of Y_n just before that of X_n exceeds x>0. Motivated by stochastic models for neural activity, uniform convergence of the form $\sup_{c\in I}|a(c,x)\operatorname…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Zhiyi Chi

What does an Erdos-Renyi graph look like when a rare event happens? This paper answers this question when p is fixed and n tends to infinity by establishing a large deviation principle under an appropriate topology. The formulation and…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-04-05 Sourav Chatterjee , S. R. S. Varadhan

Stochastic approximation algorithm is a useful technique which has been exploited successfully in probability theory and statistics for a long time. The step sizes used in stochastic approximation are generally taken to be deterministic and…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-25 Ujan Gangopadhyay , Krishanu Maulik

We present large deviations estimates in the supremum norm for a system of independent random walks superposed with a birth-and-death dynamics evolving on the discrete torus with $N$ sites. The scaling limit considered is the so-called…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-26 Tertuliano Franco , Luana A. Gurgel , Bernardo N. B. de Lima

We propose a way of finding a Stein type characterization of a given absolutely continuous distribution $\mu$ on $\R$ which is motivated by a regression property satisfied by an exchangeable pair $(W,W')$ where $\calL(W)$ is supposed or…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-07-24 Christian Döbler

We study a generalized P\'{o}lya urn model with two types of ball. If the drawn ball is red, it is replaced together with a black ball, but if the drawn ball is black it is replaced and a red ball is thrown out of the urn. When only black…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-01-17 Edward Crane , Nicholas Georgiou , Stanislav Volkov , Andrew R. Wade , Robert J. Waters

The random vector of frequencies in a generalized urn model is viewed as conditionally independent random variables, given their sum. Such a representation is exploited to derive Edgeworth expansions for a sum of functions of such…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-01-20 Sh. M. Mirakhmedov , S. Rao Jammalamadaka , Ibrahim B. Mohamed

Consider a balanced non triangular two-color P\'olya-Eggenberger urn process, assumed to be large which means that the ratio sigma of the replacement matrix eigenvalues satisfies 1/2<sigma <1. The composition vector of both discrete time…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-31 Brigitte Chauvin , Cécile Mailler , Nicolas Pouyanne

The aim of this paper is to study the asymptotic behavior of strongly reinforced interacting urns with partial memory sharing. The reinforcement mechanism considered is as follows: draw at each step and for each urn a white or black ball…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-01-10 Mickaël Launay

Though widely used in applications, reinforced random walk on graphs have never been the subject of a valid statistical inference. We develop in this paper a statistical framework for a general two-colored urn model. The probability to draw…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-05 Line Chloé Le Goff , Philippe Soulier

The d'Arcais polynomials $P_n(z)$ for $n\in\{0,1,\dots\}$ are defined as $\sum_{n=0}^{\infty} P_n(z) q^n = \exp(-z\ln((q;q)_{\infty}))$ where the $q$-Pochhammer symbol is $(q;q)_{\infty} = \prod_{k=1}^{\infty} (1-q^k)$ for $|q|<1$. Denoting…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-03 Shannon Starr

We study large deviations for measurable averaging operators on state spaces of dynamical systems. Our main motivation is the Hecke operators on the modular curve Y_0(p^n) and their generalization to higher rank S-arithmetic quotients. We…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-02-27 Ilya Khayutin

Motivated by recent studies of big samples, this work aims at constructing a parametric model which is characterized by the following features: (i) a "local" reinforcement, i.e. a reinforcement mechanism mainly based on the last…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-19 Giacomo Aletti , Irene Crimaldi

A probabilistic representation for a class of weighted $p$-radial distributions, based on mixtures of a weighted cone probability measure and a weighted uniform distribution on the Euclidean $\ell_p^n$-ball, is derived. Large deviation…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-01 Tom Kaufmann , Christoph Thaele

P\'{o}lya urn is a stochastic process in which balls are randomly drawn from an urn of red and blue balls, and balls of the same color as the drawn balls are added. The probability of a ball of a certain color being drawn is equal to the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-11-10 Shintaro Mori , Masato Hisakado , Kazuaki Nakayama

Large deviations principle is obtained for terminating multidimensional compound renewal processes. We also obtained the asymptotic of large deviations for the case when a Gibbs change of the original probability measure takes place. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-20 A. Logachov , A. Mogulskii , E. Prokopenko

We study the distribution of the area and perimeter of the convex hull of the "true" self-avoiding random walk in a plane. Using a Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling method, we obtain the distributions also in their far tails, down to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-10-31 Hendrik Schawe , Alexander K. Hartmann

The purpose of the present paper is to establish moderate deviation principles for a rather general class of random variables fulfilling certain bounds of the cumulants. We apply a celebrated lemma of the theory of large deviations…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-09-28 Hanna Doering , Peter Eichelsbacher

This paper studies a very general urn model stimulated by designs in clinical trials, where the number of balls of different types added to the urn at trial n depends on a random outcome directed by the composition at trials 1,2,...,n-1.…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Zhi-Dong Bai , Feifang Hu

We study a new class of time inhomogeneous P\'olya-type urn schemes and give optimal rates of convergence for the distribution of the properly scaled number of balls of a given color to nearly the full class of generalized gamma…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-28 Erol A. Peköz , Adrian Röllin , Nathan Ross
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