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Sequential Bayesian filters in non-linear dynamic systems require the recursive estimation of the predictive and posterior distributions. This paper introduces a Bayesian filter called the adaptive kernel Kalman filter (AKKF). With this…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-04-12 Mengwei Sun , Mike E. Davies , Ian K. Proudler , James R. Hopgood

Machine learning methods usually depend on internal parameters -- so called hyperparameters -- that need to be optimized for best performance. Such optimization poses a burden on machine learning practitioners, requiring expert knowledge,…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2020-04-03 Annika Stuke , Patrick Rinke , Milica Todorović

Driven by the recent surge in neural-inspired modeling, point processes have gained significant traction in systems and control. While the Hawkes process is the standard model for characterizing random event sequences with memory,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-25 Xinhui Rong , Girish N. Nair

The identification of continuous-time (CT) systems from discrete-time (DT) input and output signals, i.e., the sampled data, has received considerable attention for half a century. The state-of-the-art methods are parametric methods and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-29 Xiaozhu Fang , Biqiang Mu , Tianshi Chen

This paper presents a novel operator-theoretic approach for optimal control of nonlinear stochastic systems within reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces. Our learning framework leverages data samples of system dynamics and stage cost functions,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-28 Petar Bevanda , Nicolas Hoischen , Tobias Wittmann , Jan Brüdigam , Sandra Hirche , Boris Houska

Bayesian methods in machine learning, such as Gaussian processes, have great advantages com-pared to other techniques. In particular, they provide estimates of the uncertainty associated with a prediction. Extending the Bayesian approach to…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2019-05-20 Zhikuan Zhao , Alejandro Pozas-Kerstjens , Patrick Rebentrost , Peter Wittek

We consider the problem of inference in a linear regression model in which the relative ordering of the input features and output labels is not known. Such datasets naturally arise from experiments in which the samples are shuffled or…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-04-04 Abubakar Abid , James Zou

A new nonparametric approach for system identification has been recently proposed where the impulse response is modeled as the realization of a zero-mean Gaussian process whose covariance (kernel) has to be estimated from data. In this…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-17 Francesca Paola Carli , Tianshi Chen , Lennart Ljung

Two non-intrusive uncertainty propagation approaches are proposed for the performance analysis of engineering systems described by expensive-to-evaluate deterministic computer models with parameters defined as interval variables. These…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-02-15 Alice Cicirello , Filippo Giunta

Gaussian process state-space models (GP-SSMs) are a very flexible family of models of nonlinear dynamical systems. They comprise a Bayesian nonparametric representation of the dynamics of the system and additional (hyper-)parameters…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-12-18 Roger Frigola , Fredrik Lindsten , Thomas B. Schön , Carl E. Rasmussen

This paper focuses on the system identification of an important class of nonlinear systems: linearly parameterized nonlinear systems, which enjoys wide applications in robotics and other mechanical systems. We consider two system…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-11-22 Negin Musavi , Ziyao Guo , Geir Dullerud , Yingying Li

We propose a novel system identification technique, based on a least-mean square algorithm, allowing for the estimation of a linear channel by using an unknown-response measurement channel. The key of the technique is a memoryless nonlinear…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-18 Juan I. Bonetti , James Kunst , Damián A. Morero , Mario R. Hueda

We present a novel machine learning approach to understanding conformation dynamics of biomolecules. The approach combines kernel-based techniques that are popular in the machine learning community with transfer operator theory for…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-01-24 Stefan Klus , Andreas Bittracher , Ingmar Schuster , Christof Schütte

Identifying parameters in a system of nonlinear, ordinary differential equations is vital for designing a robust controller. However, if the system is stochastic in its nature or if only noisy measurements are available, standard…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-10 Tobias Nagel , Marco F. Huber

We propose a novel approach to parameter estimation for simulator-based statistical models with intractable likelihood. Our proposed method involves recursive application of kernel ABC and kernel herding to the same observed data. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-13 Takafumi Kajihara , Motonobu Kanagawa , Keisuke Yamazaki , Kenji Fukumizu

Most of existing results on regularized system identification focus on regularized impulse response estimation. Since the impulse response model is a special case of orthonormal basis functions, it is interesting to consider if it is…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-04-14 Tianshi Chen , Lennart Ljung

The Gaussian process (GP) is a widely used probabilistic machine learning method with implicit uncertainty characterization for stochastic function approximation, stochastic modeling, and analyzing real-world measurements of nonlinear…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-14 Mark D. Risser , Marcus M. Noack , Hengrui Luo , Ronald Pandolfi

Estimating hidden processes from non-linear noisy observations is particularly difficult when the parameters of these processes are not known. This paper adopts a machine learning approach to devise variational Bayesian inference for such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-05 Komlan Atitey , Pavel Loskot , Lyudmila Mihaylova

In this draft, fault diagnosis in nonlinear dynamic systems is addressed. The objective of this work is to establish a framework, in which not only model-based but also data-driven and machine learning based fault diagnosis strategies can…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-27 Steven X. Ding , Linlin Li

Gray-box identification is prevalent in modeling physical and networked systems. However, due to the non-convex nature of the gray-box identification problem, good initial parameter estimates are crucial for a successful application. In…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-11-15 Chengpu Yu , Lennart Ljung , Michel Verhaegen