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We propose and analyze a method for computing failure probabilities of systems modeled as numerical deterministic models (e.g., PDEs) with uncertain input data. A failure occurs when a functional of the solution to the model is below (or…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-06-21 Daniel Elfverson , Fredrik Hellman , Axel Målqvist

This paper proposes a new algorithm -- the \underline{S}ingle-timescale Do\underline{u}ble-momentum \underline{St}ochastic \underline{A}pprox\underline{i}matio\underline{n} (SUSTAIN) -- for tackling stochastic unconstrained bilevel…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-06-16 Prashant Khanduri , Siliang Zeng , Mingyi Hong , Hoi-To Wai , Zhaoran Wang , Zhuoran Yang

We construct a nonstandard finite difference numerical scheme to approximate stochastic differential equations (SDEs) using the idea of weighed step introduced by R.E. Mickens. We prove the strong convergence of our scheme under locally…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-07-23 Frédéric Pierret

We address numerical differentiation under coarse, non-uniform sampling and Gaussian noise. A maximum-likelihood estimator with $L_2$-norm constraint on a higher-order derivative is obtained, yielding spline-based solution. We introduce a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-31 Konstantin E. Avrachenkov , Leonid B. Freidovich

The Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) method has been applied successfully in a wide range of settings since its first introduction by Giles (2008). When using only two levels, the method can be viewed as a kind of control-variate approach to…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-07 Yu Li , Antony Ware

Descriptions of complex physical or biological systems often include stochastic contributions, and these are commonly simulated using Wiener processes. In many cases however, non-Gaussian fluctuations may originate from non-Wiener processes…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-05-19 Richard D. J. G. Ho

Models of stochastic processes are widely used in almost all fields of science. Theory validation, parameter estimation, and prediction all require model calibration and statistical inference using data. However, data are almost always…

Computation · Statistics 2022-09-07 David J. Warne , Thomas P. Prescott , Ruth E. Baker , Matthew J. Simpson

This article addresses the weak convergence of numerical methods for Brownian dynamics. Typical analyses of numerical methods for stochastic differential equations focus on properties such as the weak order which estimates the asymptotic…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-06-18 B. Leimkuhler , C. Matthews , M. V. Tretyakov

This paper focuses on deriving optimal-order full moment error estimates in strong norms for both velocity and pressure approximations in the Euler-Maruyama time discretization of the stochastic Navier-Stokes equations with multiplicative…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-10-10 Xiaobing Feng , Liet Vo

The computational complexity of naive, sampling-based uncertainty quantification for 3D partial differential equations is extremely high. Multilevel approaches, such as multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC), can reduce the complexity significantly,…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2016-07-13 Björn Gmeiner , Daniel Drzisga , Ulrich Ruede , Robert Scheichl , Barbara Wohlmuth

We present general principles for the design and analysis of unbiased Monte Carlo estimators in a wide range of settings. Our estimators posses finite work-normalized variance under mild regularity conditions. We apply our estimators to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-23 Jose H. Blanchet , Peter W. Glynn , Yanan Pei

We leverage multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) to improve the performance of multi-step look-ahead Bayesian optimization (BO) methods that involve nested expectations and maximizations. Often these expectations must be computed by Monte Carlo…

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) sampling methods provide a mechanism for defining distant proposals with high acceptance probabilities in a Metropolis-Hastings framework, enabling more efficient exploration of the state space than standard…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-05-13 Tianqi Chen , Emily B. Fox , Carlos Guestrin

In traffic flow modeling, incorporating uncertainty is crucial for accurately capturing the complexities of real-world scenarios. In this work we focus on kinetic models of traffic flow, where a key step is to design effective numerical…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-01-28 Elisa Iacomini , Lorenzo Pareschi

We apply the Monte Carlo method to solving the Dirichlet problem of linear parabolic equations with fractional Laplacian. This method exploit- s the idea of weak approximation of related stochastic differential equations driven by the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-10-28 Caiyu Jiao , Changpin Li

In this paper numerical methods for solving stochastic differential equations with Markovian switching (SDEwMSs) are developed by pathwise approximation. The proposed family of strong predictor-corrector Euler-Maruyama methods is designed…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2011-03-08 Jun Ye , Haibo Li , Lili Xiao

A continuous-time path integral Quantum Monte Carlo method using the directed-loop algorithm is developed to simulate the Anderson single-impurity model in the occupation number basis. Although the method suffers from a sign problem at low…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2009-11-10 Jaebeom Yoo , Shailesh Chandrasekharan , Harold U. Baranger

In this paper, we present a multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) version of the Stochastic Gradient (SG) method for optimization under uncertainty, in order to tackle Optimal Control Problems (OCP) where the constraints are described in the form…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-12-30 Matthieu Martin , Fabio Nobile , Panagiotis Tsilifis

Since its formulation in the late 1940s, the Feynman-Kac formula has proven to be an effective tool for both theoretical reformulations and practical simulations of differential equations. The link it establishes between such equations and…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-01-17 Stefan Pauli , Robert Gantner , Peter Arbenz , Andreas Adelmann

The trace of a matrix function f(A), most notably of the matrix inverse, can be estimated stochastically using samples< x,f(A)x> if the components of the random vectors x obey an appropriate probability distribution. However such a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-08-26 Andreas Frommer , Mostafa Nasr Khalil , Gustavo Ramirez-Hidalgo