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Financial markets are a typical example of complex systems where interactions between constituents lead to many remarkable features. Here, we show that a pairwise maximum entropy model (or auto-logistic model) is able to describe switches…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-01-28 Thomas Bury

The well known maximum-entropy principle due to Jaynes, which states that given mean parameters, the maximum entropy distribution matching them is in an exponential family, has been very popular in machine learning due to its "Occam's…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-07-13 Yuanzhi Li , Andrej Risteski

The maximum entropy principle advocates to evaluate events' probabilities using a distribution that maximizes entropy among those that satisfy certain expectations' constraints. Such principle can be generalized for arbitrary decision…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-16 Santiago Mazuelas , Yuan Shen , Aritz Pérez

Ordinary differential equations obtained as limits of Markov processes appear in many settings. They may arise by scaling large systems, or by averaging rapidly fluctuating systems, or in systems involving multiple time-scales, by a…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-24 Hye-Won Kang , Thomas G. Kurtz , Lea Popovic

We study an optimal stopping problem under non-exponential discounting, where the state process is a multi-dimensional continuous strong Markov process. The discount function is taken to be log sub-additive, capturing decreasing impatience…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-14 Yu-Jui Huang , Zhenhua Wang

Many complex systems are characterized by non-Boltzmann distribution functions of their statistical variables. If one wants to -- justified or not -- hold on to the maximum entropy principle for complex statistical systems (non-Boltzmann)…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-13 Stefan Thurner , Rudolf Hanel

In this paper we review various information-theoretic characterizations of the approach to equilibrium in biological systems. The replicator equation, evolutionary game theory, Markov processes and chemical reaction networks all describe…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-08-22 John C. Baez , Blake S. Pollard

It is shown that Onsager's principle of the least dissipation of energy is equivalent to the maximum entropy production principle. It is known that solutions of the linearized Boltzmann equation make extrema of entropy production. It is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-18 Pasko Zupanovic , Domagoj Kuic , Zeljana Bonacic Losic , Drazen Petrov , Davor Juretic , Milan Brumen

A new concept named nonsymmetric entropy which generalizes the concepts of Boltzman's entropy and shannon's entropy, was introduced. Maximal nonsymmetric entropy principle was proven. Some important distribution laws were derived naturally…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Chengshi Liu

A principle of maximum entropy is proposed in the context of viscous incompressible flow in Eulerian coordinates. The relative entropy functional, defined over the space of $L^2$ divergence-free velocity fields, is maximized relative to…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-02-23 Gui-Qiang G. Chen , James Glimm , Hamid Said

We study the problem of synthesizing a policy that maximizes the entropy of a Markov decision process (MDP) subject to a temporal logic constraint. Such a policy minimizes the predictability of the paths it generates, or dually, maximizes…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-06-17 Yagiz Savas , Melkior Ornik , Murat Cubuktepe , Mustafa O. Karabag , Ufuk Topcu

We propose the entropy of random Markov trajectories originating and terminating at a state as a measure of the stability of a state of a Markov process. These entropies can be computed in terms of the entropy rates and stationary…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-02-11 Marc Harper , Dashiell Fryer

We show how the infinitesimal exchangeable pairs approach to Stein's method combines naturally with the theory of Markov semigroups. We present a multivariate normal approximation theorem for functions of a random variable invariant with…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-01 David Grzybowski , Mark Meckes

Preserving biodiversity and ecosystem stability is a challenge that can be pursued through modern statistical mechanics modeling. Here we introduce a variational maximum entropy-based algorithm to evaluate the entropy in a minimal ecosystem…

Biological Physics · Physics 2018-10-17 Mattia Miotto , Lorenzo Monacelli

Making statistical predictions requires tackling two problems: one must assign appropriate probability distributions and then one must calculate a variety of expected values. The method of maximum entropy is commonly used to address the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Chih-Yuan Tseng , Ariel Caticha

A theory to predict the steady state position of a dissipative, flow-controlled system, as defined by a control volume, is developed based on the Maximum Entropy (MaxEnt) principle of Jaynes, involving minimisation of a generalised free…

Classical Physics · Physics 2015-05-13 Robert K. Niven

We develop a theory for continuous-time non-Markovian stochastic control problems which are inherently time-inconsistent. Their distinguishing feature is that the classical Bellman optimality principle no longer holds. Our formulation is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-08-03 Camilo Hernández , Dylan Possamaï

We consider the problem of estimating the population probability distribution given a finite set of multivariate samples, using the maximum entropy approach. In strict keeping with Jaynes' original definition, our precise formulation of the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-07-13 Sabbir Rahman , Mahbub Majumdar

Introduced by Boltzmann under the name "monode," the microcanonical ensemble serves as the fundamental representation of equilibrium thermodynamics in statistical mechanics by counting all possible realizations of a system's states.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-01-27 Roman Belousov , Jenna Elliott , Florian Berger , Lamberto Rondoni , Anna Erzberger

We study the convergence of an $N$-particle Markovian controlled system to the solution of a family of stochastic McKean-Vlasov control problems, either with a finite horizon or Schr\"odinger type cost functional. Specifically, under…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-22 Francesco C. De Vecchi , Chiara Rigoni