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Related papers: Bayesian T-optimal discriminating designs

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This paper considers the problem of constructing optimal discriminating experimental designs for competing regression models on the basis of the T-optimality criterion introduced by Atkinson and Fedorov [Biometrika 62 (1975) 57-70].…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-01-30 Holger Dette , Viatcheslav B. Melas , Petr Shpilev

The problem of constructing optimal discriminating designs for a class of regression models is considered. We investigate a version of the $T_p$-optimality criterion as introduced by Atkinson and Fedorov [Biometrika 62 (1975a) 289-303]. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-06-07 Dietrich Braess , Holger Dette

An efficient algorithm for the determination of Bayesian optimal discriminating designs for competing regression models is developed, where the main focus is on models with general distributional assumptions beyond the "classical" case of…

Computation · Statistics 2015-08-04 Holger Dette , Roman Guchenko , Viatcheslav B. Melas

We consider the problem of constructing optimal designs for model discrimination between competing regression models. Various new properties of optimal designs with respect to the popular $T$-optimality criterion are derived, which in many…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-14 Holger Dette , Stefanie Titoff

Performing optimal Bayesian design for discriminating between competing models is computationally intensive as it involves estimating posterior model probabilities for thousands of simulated datasets. This issue is compounded further when…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-07 Markus Hainy , David J. Price , Olivier Restif , Christopher Drovandi

This paper is devoted to the explicit construction of optimal designs for discrimination between two polynomial regression models of degree $n-2$ and $n$. In a fundamental paper, Atkinson and Fedorov [Biometrika 62 (1975a) 57--70] proposed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-05-30 Holger Dette , Viatcheslav B. Melas , Petr Shpilev

In this paper we consider the problem of constructing $T$-optimal discriminating designs for Fourier regression models. We provide explicit solutions of the optimal design problem for discriminating between two Fourier regression models,…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-12-24 Holger Dette , Viatcheslav B. Melas , Petr Shpilev

Modeling real processes often results in several suitable models. In order to be able to distinguish, or discriminate, which model best represents a phenomenon, one is interested, e.g., in so-called T-optimal designs. These consist of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-08-30 David Mogalle , Philipp Seufert , Jan Schwientek , Michael Bortz , Karl-Heinz Küfer

Bayesian models quantify uncertainty and facilitate optimal decision-making in downstream applications. For most models, however, practitioners are forced to use approximate inference techniques that lead to sub-optimal decisions due to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-12 Tomasz Kuśmierczyk , Joseph Sakaya , Arto Klami

For Bayesian D-optimal design, we define a singular prior distribution for the model parameters as a prior distribution such that the determinant of the Fisher information matrix has a prior geometric mean of zero for all designs. For such…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-13 Timothy W. Waite

We develop adaptive discretization algorithms for locally optimal experimental design of nonlinear prediction models. With these algorithms, we refine and improve a pertinent state-of-the-art algorithm in various respects. We establish…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-06-04 Jochen Schmid , Philipp Seufert , Michael Bortz

Bayesian optimal design is considered for experiments where the response distribution depends on the solution to a system of non-linear ordinary differential equations. The motivation is an experiment to estimate parameters in the equations…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-02 Antony Overstall , David Woods , Ben Parker

Much of the work in the literature on optimal discrimination designs assumes that the models of interest are fully specified, apart from unknown parameters in some models. Recent work allows errors in the models to be non-normally…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-06 Holger Dette , Roman Guchenko , Viatcheslav Melas , Weng Kee Wong

Systems with both quantitative and qualitative responses are widely encountered in many applications. Design of experiment methods are needed when experiments are conducted to study such systems. Classic experimental design methods are…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-24 Lulu Kang , Xinwei Deng , Ran Jin

We develop a novel iterative algorithm for locally optimal experimental design under constraints, like budget or performance constraints. It is an adaptive discretization algorithm. In every iteration, a discretized version of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-21 Jochen Schmid , Philipp Seufert , Jan Schwientek , Tobias Seidel , Karl-Heinz Küfer

Prior distributions for high-dimensional linear regression require specifying a joint distribution for the unobserved regression coefficients, which is inherently difficult. We instead propose a new class of shrinkage priors for linear…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-09 Yan Dora Zhang , Brian P. Naughton , Howard D. Bondell , Brian J. Reich

Bayesian optimization has emerged at the forefront of expensive black-box optimization due to its data efficiency. Recent years have witnessed a proliferation of studies on the development of new Bayesian optimization algorithms and their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-14 Xilu Wang , Yaochu Jin , Sebastian Schmitt , Markus Olhofer

This paper suggests a framework for the learning of discretizations of expensive forward models in Bayesian inverse problems. The main idea is to incorporate the parameters governing the discretization as part of the unknown to be estimated…

Complex system design problems, such as those involved in aerospace engineering, require the use of numerically costly simulation codes in order to predict the performance of the system to be designed. In this context, these codes are often…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-02-14 Loic Brevault , Mathieu Balesdent

Under a generalised estimating equation analysis approach, approximate design theory is used to determine Bayesian D-optimal designs. For two examples, considering simple exchangeable and exponential decay correlation structures, we compare…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-16 Laura Etfer , James M. S. Wason , Michael J. Grayling
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