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We study the problem of parameter estimation based on infection data from an epidemic outbreak on a graph. We assume that successive infections occur via contagion; i.e., transmissions can only spread across existing directed edges in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-15 Justin Khim , Po-Ling Loh

Under limited available resources, strategies for mitigating the propagation of an epidemic such as random testing and contact tracing become inefficient. Here, we propose to accurately allocate the resources by computing over time an…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-11-07 Gabriela Bayolo Soler , Miraine Dávila Felipe , Ghislaine Gayraud

Many epidemic processes in networks spread by stochastic contacts among their connected vertices. There are two limiting cases widely analyzed in the physics literature, the so-called contact process (CP) where the contagion is expanded at…

Computational Physics · Physics 2010-02-19 S. Gomez , A. Arenas , J. Borge-Holthoefer , S. Meloni , Y. Moreno

The spread of infectious diseases crucially depends on the pattern of contacts among individuals. Knowledge of these patterns is thus essential to inform models and computational efforts. Few empirical studies are however available that…

Historically, infectious diseases caused considerable damage to human societies, and they continue to do so today. To help reduce their impact, mathematical models of disease transmission have been studied to help understand disease…

Information regarding vaccines from sources such as health services, media, and social networks can significantly shape vaccination decisions. In particular, the dissemination of negative information can contribute to vaccine hesitancy,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-07-04 Sarah Alahmadi , Rebecca Hoyle , Michael Head , Markus Brede

With the approval of vaccines for the coronavirus disease by many countries worldwide, most developed nations have begun, and developing nations are gearing up for the vaccination process. This has created an urgent need to provide a…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-02-09 Mahzabeen Emu , Dhivya Chandrasekaran , Vijay Mago , Salimur Choudhury

Data-driven predictive control (DPC) is a feedback control method for systems with unknown dynamics. It repeatedly optimizes a system's future trajectories based on past input-output data. We develop a numerical method that computes…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-28 Yue Yu , Ruihan Zhao , Sandeep Chinchali , Ufuk Topcu

This paper focuses on solving a data-driven distributionally robust optimization problem over a network of agents. The agents aim to minimize the worst-case expected cost computed over a Wasserstein ambiguity set that is centered at the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-08-23 Ashish Cherukuri , Alireza Zolanvari , Goran Banjac , Ashish R. Hota

The integration of empirical data in computational frameworks to model the spread of infectious diseases poses challenges that are becoming pressing with the increasing availability of high-resolution information on human mobility and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-04-24 Anna Machens , Francesco Gesualdo , Caterina Rizzo , Alberto E Tozzi , Alain Barrat , Ciro Cattuto

In the Dynamic Resource Allocation (DRA) problem, an administrator has to allocate a limited amount of resources to the nodes of a network in order to reduce a diffusion process (DP) (e.g. an epidemic). In this paper we propose a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-06-15 Mathilde Fekom , Nicolas Vayatis , Argyris Kalogeratos

The main aim to build models capable of simulating the spreading of infectious diseases is to control them. And along this way, the key to find the optimal strategy for disease control is to obtain a large number of simulations of disease…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-04-22 Ting Wang , Gui-Yun Li , Xin-Hui Li , Chi-Chun Zhou , Yuan-Yuan Wang , Li-Juan Li , Yan-Ting Yang

Network--based epidemic models that account for heterogeneous contact patterns are extensively used to predict and control the diffusion of infectious diseases. We use census and survey data to reconstruct a geo--referenced and…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Alessandro Celestini , Francesca Colaiori , Stefano Guarino , Enrico Mastrostefano , Lena Rebecca Zastrow

Temporal point processes have been widely applied to model event sequence data generated by online users. In this paper, we consider the problem of how to design the optimal control policy for point processes, such that the stochastic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-13 Yichen Wang , Grady Williams , Evangelos Theodorou , Le Song

In this paper, we propose a novel distributed data-driven optimization scheme. In detail, we focus on the so-called aggregative framework, a scenario in which a set of agents aim to cooperatively minimize the sum of local costs, each…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-27 Riccardo Brumali , Guido Carnevale , Giuseppe Notarstefano

We develop algorithms that find and track the optimal solution trajectory of time-varying convex optimization problems which consist of local and network-related objectives. The algorithms are derived from the prediction-correction…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-08 Andrea Simonetto , Alec Koppel , Aryan Mokhtari , Geert Leus , Alejandro Ribeiro

Motivated by the swift global transmission of infectious diseases, we present a comprehensive framework for network-based epidemic control. Our aim is to curb epidemics using two different approaches. In the first approach, we introduce an…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-16 Mahtab Talaei , Apostolos I. Rikos , Alex Olshevsky , Laura F. White , Ioannis Ch. Paschalidis

Hard-to-predict bursts of COVID-19 pandemic revealed significance of statistical modeling which would resolve spatio-temporal correlations over geographical areas, for example spread of the infection over a city with census tract…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-04-27 Mikhail Krechetov , Amir Mohammad Esmaieeli Sikaroudi , Alon Efrat , Valentin Polishchuk , Michael Chertkov

We consider optimal control problems involving nonlinear ordinary differential equations with uncertain inputs. Using the sample average approximation, we obtain optimal control problems with ensembles of deterministic dynamical systems.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-04 Olena Melnikov , Johannes Milz

Chance-constrained optimization (CCO) has been widely used for uncertainty management in power system operation. With the prevalence of wind energy, it becomes possible to consider the wind curtailment as a dispatch variable in CCO.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-04-06 Xingyu Lei , Zhifang Yang , Junbo Zhao , Juan Yu