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The mathematical models used to represent physical phenomena are generally known to be imperfect representations of reality. Model inadequacies arise for numerous reasons, such as incomplete knowledge of the phenomena or computational…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2017-02-28 Teresa Portone , Damon McDougall , Robert D. Moser

We introduce a novel approach based on stochastic optimization to find the optimal sampling distribution for the data-driven stability analysis of switched linear systems. Our goal is to address limitations of existing approaches, in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-01 Alexis Vuille , Guillaume O. Berger , Raphaël M. Jungers

Probabilistic model checking can provide formal guarantees on the behavior of stochastic models relating to a wide range of quantitative properties, such as runtime, energy consumption or cost. But decision making is typically with respect…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-03-19 Ingy Elsayed-Aly , David Parker , Lu Feng

This paper studies density estimation under pointwise loss in the setting of contamination model. The goal is to estimate $f(x_0)$ at some $x_0\in\mathbb{R}$ with i.i.d. observations, $$ X_1,\dots,X_n\sim (1-\epsilon)f+\epsilon g, $$ where…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-30 Haoyang Liu , Chao Gao

Chance constraints are frequently used to limit the probability of constraint violations in real-world optimization problems where the constraints involve stochastic components. We study chance-constrained submodular optimization problems,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-09-27 Xiankun Yan , Anh Viet Do , Feng Shi , Xiaoyu Qin , Frank Neumann

Stochastic simulators are an indispensable tool in many branches of science. Often based on first principles, they deliver a series of samples whose distribution implicitly defines a probability measure to describe the phenomena of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-01-19 Chris Pollard , Philipp Windischhofer

The second-largest order statistic is of special importance in reliability theory since it represents the time to failure of a $2$-out-of-$n$ system. Consider two $2$-out-of-$n$ systems with heterogeneous random lifetimes. The lifetimes are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-20 Sangita Das , Suchandan Kayal

The aim of the paper is to describe a model of the development of the Covid-19 contamination of the population of a country or a region. For this purpose a special branching process with two types of individuals is considered. This model is…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-03 Nikolay M. Yanev , Vessela K. Stoimenova , Dimitar V. Atanasov

Many stochastic optimization problems include chance constraints that enforce constraint satisfaction with a specific probability; however, solving an optimization problem with chance constraints assumes that the solver has access to the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-09-21 Joshua Comden , Ahmed S. Zamzam , Andrey Bernstein

Real world scenarios can be captured with lifted probability distributions. However, distributions are usually encoded in a table or list, requiring an exponential number of values. Hence, we propose a method for extracting first-order…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-01 Florian Andreas Marwitz , Tanya Braun , Ralf Möller

The performance of learning models often deteriorates when deployed in out-of-sample environments. To ensure reliable deployment, we propose a stability evaluation criterion based on distributional perturbations. Conceptually, our stability…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-07 Jose Blanchet , Peng Cui , Jiajin Li , Jiashuo Liu

Diffusion processes have been widely used for approximations in the queueing theory. There are different types of diffusion approximations. Among them, we are interested in those obtained through limits of a sequence of models which…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-20 Masakiyo Miyazawa

This paper proposes a parametric approach for stochastic modeling of limit order markets. The models are obtained by augmenting classical perfectly liquid market models by few additional risk factors that describe liquidity properties of…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2010-06-24 Pekka Malo , Teemu Pennanen

We introduce some new generalized stochastic orderings (in the spirit of relative ageing) which compare probability distributions with the exponential distribution. These orderings are useful to understand the phenomenon of positive ageing…

Applications · Statistics 2014-10-21 Nil Kamal Hazra , Asok K. Nanda

The current survey paper concerns stochastic mathematical models for the spread of infectious diseases. It starts with the simplest setting of a homogeneous population in which a transmittable disease spreads during a short outbreak.…

Applications · Statistics 2018-01-30 Tom Britton

An often-cited fact regarding mixing or mixture distributions is that their density functions are able to approximate the density function of any unknown distribution to arbitrary degrees of accuracy, provided that the mixing or mixture…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2018-03-05 Hien D. Nguyen , Geoffrey J. McLachlan

Many models of epidemic spread have a common qualitative structure. The numbers of infected individuals during the initial stages of an epidemic can be well approximated by a branching process, after which the proportion of individuals that…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-01-16 A. D. Barbour , Gesine Reinert

Stochastic methods are a crucial area in contemporary climate research and are increasingly being used in comprehensive weather and climate prediction models as well as reduced order climate models. Stochastic methods are used as…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-11-16 Christian L. E. Franzke , Terence J. O'Kane , Judith Berner , Paul D. Williams , Valerio Lucarini

Distributionally balanced sampling designs are low-discrepancy probability designs obtained by minimizing the expected discrepancy between the auxiliary-variable distribution of a random sample and the target population distribution.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-26 Anton Grafström , Wilmer Prentius

Most of the stochastic orders for comparing random variables, considered in the literature, are afflicted with two main drawbacks: (i) lack of connex property and (ii) lack of consideration of any dependence structure between the random…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-03 Sugata Ghosh , Asok K. Nanda