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Modeling nonstationarity that often prevails in extremal dependence of spatial data can be challenging, and typically requires bespoke or complex spatial models that are difficult to estimate. Inference for stationary and isotropic models…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-21 Xuanjie Shao , Jordan Richards , Raphael Huser

Nonparametric extension of tensor regression is proposed. Nonlinearity in a high-dimensional tensor space is broken into simple local functions by incorporating low-rank tensor decomposition. Compared to naive nonparametric approaches, our…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-03-09 Masaaki Imaizumi , Kohei Hayashi

Methods of estimation and forecasting for stationary models are well known in classical time series analysis. However, stationarity is an idealization which, in practice, can at best hold as an approximation, but for many time series may be…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-08 Shreyan Ganguly , Peter F. Craigmile

This paper studies a regression model with functional dependent and explanatory variables, both of which exhibit nonstationary dynamics. The model assumes that the nonstationary stochastic trends of the dependent variable are explained by…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-02 Kyungsik Nam , Won-Ki Seo

We consider heteroscedastic nonparametric regression models, when both the mean function and variance function are unknown and to be estimated with nonparametric approaches. We derive convergence rates of posterior distributions for this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-07 Yuao Hu

Functional data, with basic observational units being functions (e.g., curves, surfaces) varying over a continuum, are frequently encountered in various applications. While many statistical tools have been developed for functional data…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-10 Jingjing Yang , Hongxiao Zhu , Taeryon Choi , Dennis D. Cox

We introduce a Gaussian process-based model for handling of non-stationarity. The warping is achieved non-parametrically, through imposing a prior on the relative change of distance between subsequent observation inputs. The model allows…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-06 David Tolpin

Nonlinear dynamical stochastic models are ubiquitous in different areas. Excitable media models are typical examples with large state dimensions. Their statistical properties are often of great interest but are also very challenging to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-29 Nan Chen , Andrew J. Majda , Xin T. Tong

Spaces with locally varying scale of measurement, like multidimensional structures with differently scaled dimensions, are pretty common in statistics and machine learning. Nevertheless, it is still understood as an open question how to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-05 Christoph Jansen , Georg Schollmeyer , Hannah Blocher , Julian Rodemann , Thomas Augustin

Modeling non-stationary processes, where statistical properties vary across the input domain, is a critical challenge in machine learning; yet most scalable methods rely on a simplifying assumption of stationarity. This forces a difficult…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Sawan Kumar , Souvik Chakraborty

In this article, we primarily propose a novel Bayesian characterization of stationary and nonstationary stochastic processes. In practice, this theory aims to distinguish between global stationarity and nonstationarity for both parametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-04 Sucharita Roy , Sourabh Bhattacharya

This paper considers an estimation of semiparametric functional (varying)-coefficient quantile regression with spatial data. A general robust framework is developed that treats quantile regression for spatial data in a natural…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-02-06 Zudi Lu , Qingguo Tang , Longsheng Cheng

Tests for structural breaks in time series should ideally be sensitive to breaks in the parameter of interest, while being robust to nuisance changes. Statistical analysis thus needs to allow for some form of nonstationarity under the null…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-02 Fabian Mies

In this paper, we consider a partial deconvolution kernel estimator for nonparametric regression when some covariates are measured with error while others are observed without error. We focus on a general and realistic setting in which the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-29 Baba Thiam

Wind direction plays an important role in the spread of pollutant levels over a geographical region. We discuss how to include wind directional information in the covariance function of spatial models. We follow the spatial convolution…

Applications · Statistics 2012-09-27 Joaquim H. Vianna Neto , Alexandra Mello Schmidt , Peter Guttorp

In this paper, we study stochastic non-convex optimization with non-convex random functions. Recent studies on non-convex optimization revolve around establishing second-order convergence, i.e., converging to a nearly second-order optimal…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-11-02 Mingrui Liu , Tianbao Yang

We propose a new method for input variable selection in nonlinear regression. The method is embedded into a kernel regression machine that can model general nonlinear functions, not being a priori limited to additive models. This is the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-05 Magda Gregorová , Jason Ramapuram , Alexandros Kalousis , Stéphane Marchand-Maillet

Weakly stationary Gaussian processes (GPs) are the principal tool in the statistical approaches to the design and analysis of computer experiments (or Uncertainty Quantification). Such processes are fitted to computer model output using a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-28 Victoria Volodina , Daniel B. Williamson

We consider nonparametric regression with functional covariates, that is, they are elements of an infinite-dimensional Hilbert space. A locally polynomial estimator is constructed, where an orthonormal basis and various tuning parameters…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-09 Moritz Jirak , Alois Kneip , Alexander Meister , Mario Pahl

The present paper aims to demonstrate the usage of Convolutional Neural Networks as a generative model for stochastic processes, enabling researchers from a wide range of fields (such as quantitative finance and physics) to develop a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-01-12 Fernando Fernandes Neto