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In this paper, we investigate time-varying nonlinear time series regression for a broad class of locally stationary time series. First, we propose sieve nonparametric estimators for the time-varying regression functions that achieve uniform…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-01 Xiucai Ding , Zhou Zhou

This paper considers the approximation of spatial convolution with a given radial integral kernel. Previous studies have demonstrated that approximating spatial convolution using a system of partial differential equations (PDEs) can…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-04-15 Hiroshi Ishii , Yoshitaro Tanaka

In this work, we establish the asymptotic normality of the deconvolution kernel density estimator in the context of strongly mixing random fields. Only minimal conditions on the bandwidth parameter are required and a simple criterion on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-19 Ahmed El Ghini , Mohamed El Machkouri

We study efficiency of non-parametric estimation of diffusions (stochastic differential equations driven by Brownian motion) from long stationary trajectories. First, we introduce estimators based on conditional expectation which is…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-26 Xi Chen , Ilya Timofeyev

A spatial point pattern is called anisotropic if its spatial structure depends on direction. Several methods for anisotropy analysis have been introduced in the literature. In this paper, we give an overview of nonparametric methods for…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-01 Tuomas Rajala , Claudia Redenbach , Aila Särkkä , Martina Sormani

A scheme is developed for estimating state-dependent drift and diffusion coefficients in a stochastic differential equation from time-series data. The scheme does not require to specify parametric forms for the drift and diffusion…

Biological Physics · Physics 2012-09-28 Jun Ohkubo

In this paper, we propose a variable selection method for general nonparametric kernel-based estimation. The proposed method consists of two-stage estimation: (1) construct a consistent estimator of the target function, (2) approximate the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-05 Kota Matsui , Wataru Kumagai , Kenta Kanamori , Mitsuaki Nishikimi , Takafumi Kanamori

A class of random non-stationary signals termed timbre x dynamics is introduced and studied. These signals are obtained by non-linear transformations of sta-tionary random gaussian signals, in such a way that the transformation can be…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-10-29 H Omer , B Torrésani

In the spatial point process context, kernel intensity estimation has been mainly restricted to exploratory analysis due to its lack of consistency. Different methods have been analysed to overcome this problem, and the inclusion of…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-21 M. I. Borrajo , W. González-Manteiga , M. D. Martínez-Miranda

State-space models are ubiquitous in the statistical literature since they provide a flexible and interpretable framework for analyzing many time series. In most practical applications, the state-space model is specified through a…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-18 Thi Tuyet Trang Chau , Pierre Ailliot , Valérie Monbet

Gaussian processes are arguably the most important class of spatiotemporal models within machine learning. They encode prior information about the modeled function and can be used for exact or approximate Bayesian learning. In many…

The non-stationary evolution of observable quantities in complex systems can frequently be described as a juxtaposition of quasi-stationary spells. Given that standard theoretical and data analysis approaches usually rely on the assumption…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-10-18 S. Camargo , S. Duarte Queirós , C. Anteneodo

We aim at estimating in a non-parametric way the density $\pi$ of the stationary distribution of a $d$-dimensional stochastic differential equation $(X_t)_{t \in [0, T]}$, for $d \ge 2$, from the discrete observations of a finite sample…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-29 Chiara Amorino , Arnaud Gloter

In this paper, we consider a surrogate modeling approach using a data-driven nonparametric likelihood function constructed on a manifold on which the data lie (or to which they are close). The proposed method represents the likelihood…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-06-04 Shixiao W. Jiang , John Harlim

We study how sampling geometry contributes to uncertainty in modeling spatial geophysical observations as sampled random fields characterized by stationary, isotropic, parametric covariance functions. We incorporate the signature of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-03 Olivia L. Walbert , Frederik J. Simons , Arthur P. Guillaumin , Sofia C. Olhede

This paper considers a class of nonparametric autoregressive models with nonstationarity. We propose a nonparametric kernel test for the conditional mean and then establish an asymptotic distribution of the proposed test. Both the setting…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-11-20 Jiti Gao , Maxwell King , Zudi Lu , Dag Tjøstheim

Accurately estimating traffic variables across unequipped portions of a network remains a significant challenge due to the limited coverage of sensor-equipped links, such as loop detectors and probe vehicles. A common approach is to apply…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-28 Nandan Maiti , Manon Seppecher , Ludovic Leclercq

This paper presents a kernel-based framework for physics-informed nonlinear system identification. The key contribution is a structured methodology that extends kernel-based techniques to seamlessly embed partially known physics-based…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-20 Cesare Donati , Martina Mammarella , Giuseppe C. Calafiore , Fabrizio Dabbene , Constantino Lagoa , Carlo Novara

This paper presents a nonlinear location estimation to infer the position of a user holding a smartphone. We consider a large location with $M$ number of grid points, each grid point is labeled with a unique fingerprint consisting of the…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2022-04-11 Pai Chet Ng , Petros Spachos , James She , Konstantinos N. Plataniotis

We consider the double functional nonparametric regression model $Y=r(X)+\epsilon$, where the response variable $Y$ is Hilbert space-valued and the covariate $X$ takes values in a pseudometric space. The data satisfy an ergodicity criterion…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-28 Johannes T. N. Krebs