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We propose a novel online learning paradigm for nonlinear-function estimation tasks based on the iterative projections in the L2 space with probability measure reflecting the stochastic property of input signals. The proposed learning…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-09-13 Motoya Ohnishi , Masahiro Yukawa

To accurately reproduce measurements from the real world, simulators need to have an adequate model of the physical system and require the parameters of the model be identified. We address the latter problem of estimating parameters through…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-03-01 Eric Heiden , Christopher E. Denniston , David Millard , Fabio Ramos , Gaurav S. Sukhatme

Current statistics literature on statistical inference of random fields typically assumes that the fields are stationary or focuses on models of non-stationary Gaussian fields with parametric/semiparametric covariance families, which may…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-04 Yunyi Zhang , Zhou Zhou

We propose statistical procedures for detecting changes in the mean of spatial random fields observed on regular grids. The proposed framework provides a general approach to change detection in spatial processes. Extending a block-based…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-15 Sheila T. Görz , Roland Fried

Tests for structural breaks in time series should ideally be sensitive to breaks in the parameter of interest, while being robust to nuisance changes. Statistical analysis thus needs to allow for some form of nonstationarity under the null…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-02 Fabian Mies

Bayesian inference problems require sampling or approximating high-dimensional probability distributions. The focus of this paper is on the recently introduced Stein variational gradient descent methodology, a class of algorithms that rely…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-14 A. Duncan , N. Nuesken , L. Szpruch

We propose nonparametric estimators for the second-order central moments of possibly anisotropic spherical random fields, within a functional data analysis context. We consider a measurement framework where each random field among an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-28 Alessia Caponera , Julien Fageot , Matthieu Simeoni , Victor M. Panaretos

We discuss a general Bayesian framework on modeling multidimensional function-valued processes by using a Gaussian process or a heavy-tailed process as a prior, enabling us to handle nonseparable and/or nonstationary covariance structure.…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-29 Evandro Konzen , Jian Qing Shi , Zhanfeng Wang

Gaussian processes are arguably the most important class of spatiotemporal models within machine learning. They encode prior information about the modeled function and can be used for exact or approximate Bayesian learning. In many…

In this paper we propose a nonparametric procedure for validating the assumption of stationarity in multivariate locally stationary time series models. We develop a bootstrap assisted test based on a Kolmogorov-Smirnov type statistic, which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-06 Ruprecht Puchstein , Philip Preuß

In spatial statistics, it is often assumed that the spatial field of interest is stationary and its covariance has a simple parametric form, but these assumptions are not appropriate in many applications. Given replicate observations of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-14 Brian Kidd , Matthias Katzfuss

Stochastic and conditional simulation methods have been effective towards producing realistic realizations and simulations of spatial numerical models that share equal probability of occurrence. Application of these methods are valuable…

We propose non-stationary spectral kernels for Gaussian process regression. We propose to model the spectral density of a non-stationary kernel function as a mixture of input-dependent Gaussian process frequency density surfaces. We solve…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-25 Sami Remes , Markus Heinonen , Samuel Kaski

Statistical modeling of a nonstationary spatial extremal dependence structure is challenging. Max-stable processes are common choices for modeling spatially-indexed block maxima, where an assumption of stationarity is usual to make…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-01 Xuanjie Shao , Arnab Hazra , Jordan Richards , Raphaël Huser

This article presents a neural network approach for estimating the covariance function of spatial Gaussian random fields defined in a portion of the Euclidean plane. Our proposal builds upon recent contributions, expanding from the purely…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-21 Alejandro Villazón , Alfredo Alegría , Xavier Emery

Gaussian processes (GPs) are commonplace in spatial statistics. Although many non-stationary models have been developed, there is arguably a lack of flexibility compared to equipping each location with its own parameters. However, the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-19 Leo L. Duan , Xia Wang , Rhonda D. Szczesniak

It is no secret that statistical modelling often involves making simplifying assumptions when attempting to study complex stochastic phenomena. Spatial modelling of extreme values is no exception, with one of the most common such…

Applications · Statistics 2025-05-05 Lydia Kakampakou , Emma S. Simpson , Jennifer L. Wadsworth

Traditional linear methods for forecasting multivariate time series are not able to satisfactorily model the non-linear dependencies that may exist in non-Gaussian series. We build on the theory of learning vector-valued functions in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-06-28 Magda Gregorová , Alexandros Kalousis , Stéphane Marchand-Maillet

In this draft, fault diagnosis in nonlinear dynamic systems is addressed. The objective of this work is to establish a framework, in which not only model-based but also data-driven and machine learning based fault diagnosis strategies can…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-27 Steven X. Ding , Linlin Li

In this work, a fully nonparametric geostatistical approach to estimate threshold exceeding probabilities is proposed. To estimate the large-scale variability (spatial trend) of the process, the nonparametric local linear regression…