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In social sciences, studies are often based on questionnaires asking participants to express ordered responses several times over a study period. We present a model-based clustering algorithm for such longitudinal ordinal data. Assuming…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-29 Francesco Amato , Julien Jacques , Isabelle Prim-Allaz

Survival analysis concerns the study of timeline data where the event of interest may remain unobserved (i.e., censored). Studies commonly record more than one type of event, but conventional survival techniques focus on a single event…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-01 Hylke C. Donker , Harry J. M. Groen

In this paper, we propose a general framework for combining evidence of varying quality to estimate underlying binary latent variables in the presence of restrictions imposed to respect the scientific context. The resulting algorithms…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-28 Zhenke Wu , Livia Casciola-Rosen , Antony Rosen , Scott L. Zeger

The problem of demand inversion - a crucial step in the estimation of random utility discrete-choice models - is equivalent to the determination of stable outcomes in two-sided matching models. This equivalence applies to random utility…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-11-30 Odran Bonnet , Alfred Galichon , Yu-Wei Hsieh , Keith O'Hara , Matt Shum

Understanding customer lifetime value is key to nurturing long-term customer relationships, however, estimating it is far from straightforward. In the retail banking industry, commonly used approaches rely on simple heuristics and do not…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-07 Greig Cowan , Salvatore Mercuri , Raad Khraishi

In the wild, we often encounter collections of sequential data such as electrocardiograms, motion capture, genomes, and natural language, and sequences may be multichannel or symbolic with nonlinear dynamics. We introduce a new method to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-12 Jonathan Y. Zhou , Yao Xie

This paper studies identification and estimation of a dynamic discrete choice model of demand for differentiated product using consumer-level panel data with few purchase events per consumer (i.e., short panel). Consumers are…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-08-19 Victor Aguirregabiria

Inspired by classical sensitivity results for nonlinear optimization, we derive and discuss new quantitative bounds to characterize the solution map and dual variables of a parametrized nonlinear program. In particular, we derive explicit…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-06-19 Irina Subotić , Adrian Hauswirth , Florian Dörfler

In this pedagogical study, carried out by adopting standard mathematical methods of nonlinear dynamics, we have presented some simple analytical models to understand terminal behaviour in industrial growth. This issue has also been…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Arnabi Marjit , Sudipto Marjit , Arnab K. Ray

We prove existence and uniqueness of stochastic equilibria in a class of incomplete continuous-time financial environments where the market participants are exponential utility maximizers with heterogeneous risk-aversion coefficients and…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-06-02 Gordan Zitkovic

Companies across the globe are keen on targeting potential high-value customers in an attempt to expand revenue and this could be achieved only by understanding the customers more. Customer Lifetime Value (CLV) is the total monetary value…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-04 Karan Gadgil , Sukhpal Singh Gill , Ahmed M. Abdelmoniem

Discrete-choice models are used in economics, marketing and revenue management to predict customer purchase probabilities, say as a function of prices and other features of the offered assortment. While they have been shown to be…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-08-11 Hanzhao Wang , Zhongze Cai , Xiaocheng Li , Kalyan Talluri

Decision making based on behavioral and neural observations of living systems has been extensively studied in brain science, psychology, and other disciplines. Decision-making mechanisms have also been experimentally implemented in physical…

We study a parabolic Lotka-Volterra type equation that describes the evolution of a population structured by a phenotypic trait, under the effects of mutations and competition for resources modelled by a nonlocal feedback. The limit of…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-03-13 Manon Costa , Christèle Etchegaray , Sepideh Mirrahimi

A Restricted Boltzmann Machine (RBM) is an unsupervised machine-learning bipartite graphical model that jointly learns a probability distribution over data and extracts their relevant statistical features. As such, RBM were recently…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-19 Jérôme Tubiana , Simona Cocco , Rémi Monasson

In this article, using kernel convolution of order based dependent Dirichlet process (Griffin and Steel (2006)) we construct a nonstationary, nonseparable, nonparametric space-time process, which, as we show, satisfies desirable properties,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-04 Moumita Das , Sourabh Bhattacharya

In a multitude of industrial fields, a key objective entails optimising resource management whilst satisfying user requirements. Resource management by industrial practitioners can result in a passive transfer of user loads across resource…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-26 Dongxu Lei , Xiaotian Lin , Xinghu Yu , Zhan Li , Weichao Sun , Jianbin Qiu , Songlin Zhuang , Huijun Gao

Automated model selection is an important application in science and engineering. In this work, we develop a learning approach for identifying structured dynamical systems from undersampled and noisy spatiotemporal data. The learning is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-31 Xiaofan Lu , Linan Zhang , Hongjin He

We study robust versions of pricing problems where customers choose products according to a generalized extreme value (GEV) choice model, and the choice parameters are not known exactly but lie in an uncertainty set. We show that, when the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-10-19 Tien Mai , Patrick Jaillet

Temporal evolution of a clonal bacterial population is modelled taking into account reversible mutation and selection mechanisms. For the mutation model, an efficient algorithm is proposed to verify whether experimental data can be…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-04-03 C. D. Bayliss , C. Fallaize , R. Howitt , M. V. Tretyakov