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High-throughput sequencing techniques such as metagenomic and metatranscriptomic technologies allow cataloging of functional characteristics of microbial community members as well as their taxonomic identity. Such studies have found that a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-06-24 Lee Worden

We introduce Bayesian Poisson Tucker decomposition (BPTD) for modeling country--country interaction event data. These data consist of interaction events of the form "country $i$ took action $a$ toward country $j$ at time $t$." BPTD…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-06-07 Aaron Schein , Mingyuan Zhou , David M. Blei , Hanna Wallach

This paper studies estimation and inference of heterogeneous peer effects featuring group fixed effects and slope heterogeneity under latent structure. We adapt the Classifier-Lasso algorithm to consistently discover latent structures and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-09 Zhongjian Lin , Zhentao Shi , Yapeng Zheng

We propose a robust, scalable, integrated methodology for community detection and community comparison in graphs. In our procedure, we first embed a graph into an appropriate Euclidean space to obtain a low-dimensional representation, and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-08-29 Vince Lyzinski , Minh Tang , Avanti Athreya , Youngser Park , Carey E. Priebe

We present a Bayesian tensor factorization model for inferring latent group structures from dynamic pairwise interaction patterns. For decades, political scientists have collected and analyzed records of the form "country $i$ took action…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-12 Aaron Schein , John Paisley , David M. Blei , Hanna Wallach

We develop deep Poisson-gamma dynamical systems (DPGDS) to model sequentially observed multivariate count data, improving previously proposed models by not only mining deep hierarchical latent structure from the data, but also capturing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-03 Dandan Guo , Bo Chen , Hao Zhang , Mingyuan Zhou

This paper proposes a model of interactions between two point processes, ruled by a reproduction function h, which is considered as the intensity of a Poisson process. In particular, we focus on the context of neurosciences to detect…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-07 Laure Sansonnet , Christine Tuleau-Malot

Infectious disease modeling is used to forecast epidemics and assess the effectiveness of intervention strategies. Although the core assumption of mass-action models of homogeneously mixed population is often implausible, they are…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-08-29 Thien-Minh Le , Jukka-Pekka Onnela

Bayesian networks are powerful statistical models to study the probabilistic relationships among set random variables with major applications in disease modeling and prediction. Here, we propose a continuous time Bayesian network with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-16 Syed Hasib Akhter Faruqui , Adel Alaeddini , Jing Wang , Carlos A. Jaramillo

This paper treats a random collision model of three species, which is represented by the random time change of three standard Poisson processes. The prey-predator relation in the random collision model looks like paper-scissors-stone game,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-02 Yasunori Okabe , Hajime Mano , Yoshiaki Itoh

Research in Cognitive Science suggests that humans understand and represent knowledge of the world through causal relationships. In addition to observations, they can rely on experimenting and counterfactual reasoning -- i.e. referring to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-05-24 Kanvaly Fadiga , Etienne Houzé , Ada Diaconescu , Jean-Louis Dessalles

Social behavior across animal species ranges from simple pairwise interactions to thousands of individuals coordinating goal-directed movements. Regardless of the scale, these interactions are governed by the interplay between multimodal…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2024-08-06 Sarah Josephine Stednitz , Andrew Lesak , Adeline L Fecker , Peregrine Painter , Phil Washbourne , Luca Mazzucato , Ethan K Scott

We consider stochastic systems of interacting particles or agents, with dynamics determined by an interaction kernel which only depends on pairwise distances. We study the problem of inferring this interaction kernel from observations of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-31 Fei Lu , Mauro Maggioni , Sui Tang

Parallel recordings of neural spike counts have revealed the existence of context-dependent noise correlations in neural populations. Theories of population coding have also shown that such correlations can impact the information encoded by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-30 Sacha Sokoloski , Ruben Coen-Cagli

This article studies the estimation of latent community memberships from pairwise interactions in a network of $N$ nodes, where the observed interactions can be of arbitrary type, including binary, categorical, and vector-valued, and not…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-31 Konstantin Avrachenkov , Maximilien Dreveton , Lasse Leskelä

We develop a Bayesian Poisson matrix factorization model for forming recommendations from sparse user behavior data. These data are large user/item matrices where each user has provided feedback on only a small subset of items, either…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2014-05-21 Prem Gopalan , Jake M. Hofman , David M. Blei

Finding statistically significant high-order interaction features in predictive modeling is important but challenging task. The difficulty lies in the fact that, for a recent applications with high-dimensional covariates, the number of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-29 S. Suzumura , K. Nakagawa , K. Tsuda , I. Takeuchi

Determining associations among different species from citizen science databases is challenging due to observer behavior and intrinsic density variations that give rise to correlations that do not imply species associations. This paper…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-09-05 Jacob Deutsch

Relational event data, which consist of events involving pairs of actors over time, are now commonly available at the finest of temporal resolutions. Existing continuous-time methods for modeling such data are based on point processes and…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-21 Wesley Lee , Bailey K. Fosdick , Tyler H. McCormick

Interactions in natural communities can be highly heterogeneous, with any given species interacting appreciably with only some of the others, a situation commonly represented by sparse interaction networks. We study the consequences of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-10-12 Stav Marcus , Ari M. Turner , Guy Bunin
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