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We observe a $n$-sample, the distribution of which is assumed to belong, or at least to be close enough, to a given mixture model. We propose an estimator of this distribution that belongs to our model and possesses some robustness…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-06 Alexandre Lecestre

We study the problem of predicting as well as the best linear predictor in a bounded Euclidean ball with respect to the squared loss. When only boundedness of the data generating distribution is assumed, we establish that the least squares…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-09 Tomas Vaškevičius , Nikita Zhivotovskiy

Given a sample from some unknown continuous density $f:\mathbb{R}\to\mathbb{R}$, we construct adaptive confidence bands that are honest for all densities in a "generic" subset of the union of $t$-H\"older balls, $0<t\le r$, where $r$ is a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-02-26 Evarist Giné , Richard Nickl

A central limit theorem for arrays of symmetric row-wise exchangeable random variables is presented. The result is valid for finite and infinite extendable and non-extendable sequences. Unlike most reported versions of the central limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-22 Ilya Soloveychik

We consider maximum likelihood estimation of finite mixture of uniform distributions. We prove that maximum likelihood estimator is strongly consistent, if the scale parameters of the component uniform distributions are restricted from…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Kentaro Tanaka , Akimichi Takemura

We characterize the existence of the maximum likelihood estimator for discrete exponential families. Our criterion is simple to apply as we show in various settings, most notably for exponential models of random graphs. As an application,…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-23 Krzysztof Bogdan , Michał Bosy , Tomasz Skalski

We extend the spectral method for proving limit theorems to random non-uniformly expanding dynamical systems. This yields the CLT and moderate deviations principles (MDP). We show that as the amount of non-uniformity decreases the CLT rates…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-08-14 Yeor Hafouta

If the log likelihood is approximately quadratic with constant Hessian, then the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) is approximately normally distributed. No other assumptions are required. We do not need independent and identically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-06 Charles J. Geyer

Let $X_1, \ldots, X_n$ be independent random points drawn from an absolutely continuous probability measure with density $f$ in $\mathbb{R}^d$. Under mild conditions on $f$, we derive a Poisson limit theorem for the number of large…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-20 László Györfi , Norbert Henze , Harro Walk

We prove a central limit theorem for smooth linear statistics associated with zero divisors of standard Gaussian holomorphic sections in a sequence of holomorphic line bundles with Hermitian metrics of class $\mathscr{C}^{3}$ over a compact…

Complex Variables · Mathematics 2025-02-10 Afrim Bojnik , Ozan Günyüz

We prove the Central Limit Theorem for finite-dimensional vectors of linear eigenvalue statistics of submatrices of Wigner random matrices under the assumption that test functions are sufficiently smooth. We connect the asymptotic…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-06 Lingyun Li , Matthew Reed , Alexander Soshnikov

We solve the problem of estimating the distribution of presumed i.i.d. observations for the total variation loss. Our approach is based on density models and is versatile enough to cope with many different ones, including some density…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-05 Y. Baraud , H. Halconruy , G. Maillard

The standard central limit theorem with a Gaussian attractor for the sum of independent random variables may lose its validity in presence of strong correlations between the added random contributions. Here, we study this problem for…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-06-14 Adrian A. Budini

We consider density estimators based on the nearest neighbors method applied to discrete point distibutions in spaces of arbitrary dimensionality. If the density is constant, the volume of a hypersphere centered at a random location is…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2013-01-24 Przemek Wozniak , Andrzej Kruszewski

Maximum pseudolikelihood (MPL) estimators are useful alternatives to maximum likelihood (ML) estimators when likelihood functions are more difficult to manipulate than their marginal and conditional components. Furthermore, MPL estimators…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-30 Hien D. Nguyen

Using an averaged generating function for coloured hard-dimers, some random variables of interest are studied. The main result lies in the fact that all their probability distributions obey a central limit theorem.

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-22 Maria Simonetta Bernabei , Horst Thaler

We prove a central limit theorem for a sequence of random variables whose means are ambiguous and vary in an unstructured way. Their joint distribution is described by a set of measures. The limit is (not the normal distribution and is)…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-01 Zengjing Chen , Larry G. Epstein

When randomized ensembles such as bagging or random forests are used for binary classification, the prediction error of the ensemble tends to decrease and stabilize as the number of classifiers increases. However, the precise relationship…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-01 Miles E. Lopes

In the paper [25], written in collaboration with Gesine Reinert, we proved a universality principle for the Gaussian Wiener chaos. In the present work, we aim at providing an original example of application of this principle in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-02-08 Ivan Nourdin , Giovanni Peccati

We establish a central limit theorem for the unnormalized linear statistic of the Gaussian Unitary Ensemble under optimal conditions: the linear statistics converges if and only if the expression for the limiting variance is finite.

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-14 Phil Kopel