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Related papers: Community-based Immunization Strategies for Epidem…

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Effective strategies of vaccine prioritization are essential to mitigate the impacts of severe infectious diseases. We investigate the role of infection fatality ratio (IFR) and social contact matrices on vaccination prioritization using a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-10-04 Arthur Schulenburg , Wesley Cota , Guilherme S. Costa , Silvio C. Ferreira

Network immunization is an extensively recognized issue in several domains like virtual network security, public health and social media, to deal with the problem of node inoculation so as to minimize the transmission through the links…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-01-03 Chandni Saxena , M. N. Doja , Tanvir Ahmad

Contact patterns in populations fundamentally influence the spread of infectious diseases. Current mathematical methods for epidemiological forecasting on networks largely assume that contacts between individuals are fixed, at least for the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Erik Volz , Lauren Ancel Meyers

In real social networks, person-to-person interactions are known to be heterogeneous, which can affect the way a disease spreads through a population, reaches a tipping point in the fraction of infected individuals, and becomes an epidemic.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-05-12 Ignacio A. Perez , Paul A. Trunfio , Cristian E. La Rocca , Lidia A. Braunstein

The spread of infectious diseases crucially depends on the pattern of contacts among individuals. Knowledge of these patterns is thus essential to inform models and computational efforts. Few empirical studies are however available that…

This paper studies an optimal control problem for a class of SIR epidemic models, in scenarios in which the infected population is constrained to be lower than a critical threshold imposed by the ICU (intensive care unit) capacity. The…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-12-31 Matteo Della Rossa , Lorenzo Freddi , Dan Goreac

SIR models, also with age structure, can be used to describe the evolution of an infective disease. A vaccination campaign influences this dynamics immunizing part of the susceptible individuals, essentially turning them into recovered…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2019-10-17 Rinaldo M. Colombo , Mauro Garavello

When an epidemic spreads in a population, individuals may adaptively change the structure of their social contact network to reduce risk of infection. Here we study the spread of an epidemic on an adaptive network with community structure.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-12-14 Ilker Tunc , Leah B. Shaw

In this work, we study the epidemic SIR model on a system which takes into consideration face-to-face interaction networks. This approach has been used as prototype to describe people interactions in different kinds of social organizations…

Epidemic risk assessment poses inherent challenges, with traditional approaches often failing to balance health outcomes and economic constraints. This paper presents a data-driven decision support tool that models epidemiological dynamics…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-24 Chang Zhai , Ping Chen , Zhuo Jin , David Pitt

Since early 2020, the world has been dealing with a raging pandemic outbreak: COVID-19. A year later, vaccines have become accessible, but in limited quantities, so that governments needed to devise a strategy to decide which part of the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-04-13 Sander Tonkens , Paul de Klaver , Mauro Salazar

This paper presents a discrete time probabilistic dynamic for simulating a contact-based epidemic spreading based on discrete time Markov chain process, in particular the attention is addressed to the susceptible-infectious-removed (SIR)…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-12-22 Fabrizio Angaroni

Compartmental models of epidemics are widely used to forecast the effects of communicable diseases such as COVID-19 and to guide policy. Although it has long been known that such processes take place on social networks, the assumption of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-03-14 Samuel Johnson

Social network based information campaigns can be used for promoting beneficial health behaviours and mitigating polarisation (e.g. regarding climate change or vaccines). Network-based intervention strategies typically rely on full…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-07-29 Matthew Garrod , Nick S. Jones

Most epidemic models assume equal mixing among members of a population. An alternative approach is to model a population as random network in which individuals may have heterogeneous connectivity. This paper builds on previous research by…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-05-23 Erik Volz

Epidemic outbreaks pose significant challenges to public health and socio-economic stability, necessitating a comprehensive understanding of disease transmission dynamics and effective control strategies. This article discusses the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-10-20 Sourin Chatterjee , Ahad N. Zehmakan , Sujay Rastogi

To simplify mathematical models of disease spread, we often assume equal contact rates among hosts, but real-world scenarios differ. Network-based frameworks help capture these complexities and structural variations in actual systems. We…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-07-03 Saswata Das , Mohammad Hossein Samaei , Caterina Scoglio

When a fraction of a population becomes immune to an infectious disease, the population-wide infection risk decreases nonlinearly due to collective protection, known as herd immunity. Some studies based on mean-field models suggest that…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-09-03 Takayuki Hiraoka , Zahra Ghadiri , Abbas K. Rizi , Mikko Kivelä , Jari Saramäki

An efficient strategy for the identification of influential spreaders that could be used to control epidemics within populations would be of considerable importance. Generally, populations are characterized by its community structures and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-10-23 Shi-Long Luo , Kai Gong , Li Kang

We study the impact of parameter estimation and state measurement errors on a control framework for optimally mitigating the spread of epidemics. We capture the epidemic spreading process using a susceptible-infected-removed (SIR) epidemic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-08-08 Baike She , Lei Xin , Shreyas Sundaram , Philip E. Paré