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Species subject to predation and environmental threats commonly exhibit variable periods of population boom and bust over long timescales. Understanding and predicting such behavior, especially given the inherent heterogeneity and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-06-03 Daniel Messenger , Greg Dwyer , Vanja Dukic

This work introduces a self and mutually exciting point process that embeds flexible residuals and intensity with discretely Markovian dynamics. By allowing the integration of diverse residual distributions, this model serves as an…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-02 Kyungsub Lee

Forecasting with longitudinal data has been rarely studied. Most of the available studies are for continuous response and all of them are for univariate response. In this study, we consider forecasting multivariate longitudinal binary data.…

Applications · Statistics 2014-03-13 Ozgur Asar , Ozlem Ilk

We study the response of one dimensional diffusive systems, consisting of particles interacting via symmetric or asymmetric exclusion, to time-periodic driving from two reservoirs coupled to the ends. The dynamical response of the system…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-03-23 Urna Basu , Debasish Chaudhuri , P. K. Mohanty

A probability model is presented for the dynamics of mutation-selection balance in a haploid infinite-population infinite-sites setting sufficiently general to cover mutation-driven changes in full age-specific demographic schedules. The…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 David Steinsaltz , Steven N. Evans , Kenneth W. Wachter

In todays age of data, discovering relationships between different variables is an interesting and a challenging problem. This problem becomes even more critical with regards to complex dynamical systems like weather forecasting and…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-02-01 Sachin Kasture

In this paper, we introduce a new distribution generated by Lindley random variable which offers a more flexible model for modelling lifetime data. Various statistical properties like distribution function, survival function, moments,…

Applications · Statistics 2016-11-25 Deepesh Bhati , Mohd. Aamir Malik

Mixtures of linear mixed models are widely used for modelling longitudinal data for which observation times differ between subjects. In typical applications, temporal trends are described using a basis expansion, with basis coefficients…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-25 Lucas Kock , Nadja Klein , David J. Nott

Dropout represents a typical issue to be addressed when dealing with longitudinal studies. If the mechanism leading to missing information is non-ignorable, inference based on the observed data only may be severely biased. A frequent…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-23 Maria Francesca Marino , Marco Alfo'

Mutualistic communities have an internal structure that makes them resilient to external per- turbations. Late research has focused on their stability and the topology of the relations between the different organisms to explain the reasons…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-09-19 Javier Garcia-Algarra , Javier Galeano , Juan Manuel Pastor , Jose Maria Iriondo , Jose J. Ramasco

A survival dataset describes a set of instances (e.g. patients) and provides, for each, either the time until an event (e.g. death), or the censoring time (e.g. when lost to follow-up - which is a lower bound on the time until the event).…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-22 Ali Hossein Gharari Foomani , Michael Cooper , Russell Greiner , Rahul G. Krishnan

Degradation data are considered for assessing reliability in highly reliable systems. The usual assumption is that degradation units come from a homogeneous population. But in presence of high variability in the manufacturing process, this…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-15 Barin Karmakar , Biswabrata Pradhan

In medical studies, it is common the presence of a fraction of patients who do not experience the event of interest. These patients are people who are not at risk of the event or are patients who were cured during the research. The…

Modelling multivariate circular time series is considered. The cross-sectional and serial dependence is described by circulas, which are analogs of copulas for circular distributions. In order to obtain a simple expression of the dependence…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-23 Hiroaki Ogata

Estimating mutual correlations between random variables or data streams is essential for intelligent behavior and decision-making. As a fundamental quantity for measuring statistical relationships, mutual information has been extensively…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-02-16 Zhengyang Hu , Song Kang , Qunsong Zeng , Kaibin Huang , Yanchao Yang

Mutual information is an important measure of the dependence among variables. It has become widely used in statistics, machine learning, biology, etc. However, the standard techniques for estimating it often perform poorly in higher…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-09-18 Nick Carrara , Jesse Ernst

Estimating mutual information (MI) is a fundamental yet challenging task in data science and machine learning. This work proposes a new estimator for mutual information. Our main discovery is that a preliminary estimate of the data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-20 Yanzhi Chen , Zijing Ou , Adrian Weller , Yingzhen Li

Relational count data are often obtained from sources such as simultaneous purchase in online shops and social networking service information. Bi-clustering such relational count data reveals the latent structure of the relationship between…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-27 Satoshi Goto , Mariko Takagishi , Hiroshi Yadohisa

One of the fundamental steps toward understanding a complex system is identifying variation at the scale of the system's components that is most relevant to behavior on a macroscopic scale. Mutual information provides a natural means of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-20 Kieran A. Murphy , Dani S. Bassett

We provide a novel approach and an exploratory study for modelling life event choices and occurrence from a probabilistic perspective through causal discovery and survival analysis. Our approach is formulated as a bi-level problem. In the…