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We investigate large deviations for the empirical measure of the forward and backward recurrence time processes associated with a classical renewal process with arbitrary waiting-time distribution. The Donsker-Varadhan theory cannot be…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-09-22 Raphael Lefevere , Mauro Mariani , Lorenzo Zambotti

We study the fluctuations of a stochastic epidemic model with memory of the last infections, varying infectivity, and waning immunity, as introduced in Guerin and Zotsa-Ngoufack:arXiv preprint arXiv:2505.00601. The dynamics of the epidemic…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-28 Arsene Brice Zotsa-Ngoufack

The Central Limit Theorem (CLT) is one of the most fundamental results in statistics. It states that the standardized sample mean of a sequence of $n$ mutually independent and identically distributed random variables with finite first and…

We present a mathematical theory of dynamical fluctuations for the hard sphere gas in the Boltzmann-Grad limit. We prove that: (1) fluctuations of the empirical measure from the solution of the Boltzmann equation, scaled with the square…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2022-08-26 Thierry Bodineau , Isabelle Gallagher , Laure Saint-Raymond , Sergio Simonella

In this article, we establish the Freidlin-Wentzell type large deviation principle and central limit theorem for stochastic fractional conservation laws with small multiplicative noise in kinetic formulation framework. The weak convergence…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-08 Soumya Ranjan Behera , Ananta K. Majee

We present large deviations estimates in the supremum norm for a system of independent random walks superposed with a birth-and-death dynamics evolving on the discrete torus with $N$ sites. The scaling limit considered is the so-called…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-26 Tertuliano Franco , Luana A. Gurgel , Bernardo N. B. de Lima

Superstatistics generalizes Boltzmann statistics by assuming spatio-temporal fluctuations of the intensive variables. It has many applications in the analysis of experimental and simulated data. The fluctuation of the intensity variable is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-06-21 Shaohua Guan , Qiang Chang , Wen Yao

The large scale fluctuations of the ordered state in active matter systems are usually characterised by studying the "giant number fluctuations" of particles in any finite volume, as compared to the expectations from the central limit…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2018-05-25 Supravat Dey , Dibyendu Das , R. Rajesh

We establish bounds for the covariance of a large class of functions of infinite variance stable random variables, including unbounded functions such as the power function and the logarithm. These bounds involve measures of dependence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-11-10 Vladas Pipiras , Murad S. Taqqu , Patrice Abry

We consider a real random variable X represented through a random pair of real random variables (R,T) and a deterministic function u as X=Ru(T). Under some additional assumptions, we prove a limit theorem for (R,T) given X>x, as x tends to…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-11-05 Ph. Barbe , Miriam Isabel Seifert

In the standard formulation of the occupancy problem one considers the distribution of r balls in n cells, with each ball assigned independently to a given cell with probability 1/n. Although closed form expressions can be given for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Paul Dupuis , Carl Nuzman , Phil Whiting

Suppose that $\mathbf X_n=(x_{jk})$ is $N\times n$ whose elements are independent real variables with mean zero, variance 1 and the fourth moment equal to three. The separable sample covariance matrix is defined as $\mathbf{B}_n =…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-29 Bai Zhidong , Li Huiqin , Pan Guangming

Let $Z=\{Z(t): t\in \mathbb R\}$ be a stochastic process with trajectories in space $\mathbb D (\mathbb R)$. It is assumed that there exists an essentially smooth function $A:\mathbb R\to (-\infty, \infty] $ such that, for all $\alpha \in…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-01 A. A. Borovkov , K. A. Borovkov

We derive a functional central limit theorem (fclt) for normalised sums of a function of the partial sums of independent and identically distributed random variables. In particular, we show, using a technique presented in Huang and Zhang…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-21 Kamil Marcin Kosiński

For the partial sums $(S_n)$ of independent random variables we define a stochastic process $s_n(t):=(1/d_n)\sum_{k \le [nt]} ({S_k}/{k}-\mu)$ and prove that $$(1/{\log N})\sum_{n\le N}(1/n)\mathbf {I}\left\{s_n(t)\le x\right\} \to…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-21 Khurelbaatar Gonchigdanzan , Kamil Marcin Kosiński

We consider the determinantal point processes associated with the spectral projectors of a Schr\"odinger operator on $\mathbb{R}$, with a smooth confining potential. In the semiclassical limit, where the number of particles tends to…

Spectral Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-31 Alix Deleporte , Gaultier Lambert

In this article, we revisit the question of fluctuations of linear statistics of beta ensembles in the single cut and non-critical regime for general potentials $V$ under mild regularity and growth assumptions. Our main objective is to…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-27 Jürgen Angst , Ronan Herry , Dominique Malicet , Guillaume Poly

The ratio $P(S_n=x)/P(Z_n=x)$ is investigated for three cases: (a) when $S_n$ is a sum of 1-dependent non-negative integer-valued random variables (rvs), satisfying some moment conditions, and $Z_n$ is Poisson rv; (b) when $S_n$ is a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-14 Vydas Čekanavičius , Palaniappan Vellaisamy

We obtain large deviations theorems for nonconventional sums with underlying process being a Markov process satisfying the Doeblin condition or a dynamical system such as subshift of finite type or hyperbolic or expanding transformation.

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-21 Yuri Kifer , S. R. S. Varadhan

We study a discrete stochastic model of a molecular motor. This discrete model can be viewed as a \emph{minimal} ratchet model. We extend our previous work on this model, by further investigating the constraints imposed by the Fluctuation…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-13 D. Lacoste , A. W. C. Lau , K. Mallick