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Bayesian learning is built on an assumption that the model space contains a true reflection of the data generating mechanism. This assumption is problematic, particularly in complex data environments. Here we present a Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-05 S. P. Lyddon , S. G. Walker , C. C. Holmes

Growing anthropogenic pressures have increased the need for robust predictive models. Meeting this demand requires approaches that can handle bigger data to yield forecasts that capture the variability and underlying uncertainty of…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-08-06 EM Wolkovich , T Jonathan Davies , William D Pearse , Michael Betancourt

Communication and coordination play a major role in the ability of bacterial cells to adapt to ever changing environments and conditions. Recent work has shown that such coordination underlies several aspects of bacterial responses…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2016-04-12 Shashank Singh , Sabrina Rashid , Zhicheng Long , Saket Navlakha , Hanna Salman , Zoltan N. Oltvai , Ziv Bar-Joseph

Mathematical models are indispensable to the system biology toolkit for studying the structure and behavior of intracellular signaling networks. A common approach to modeling is to develop a system of equations that encode the known biology…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-06-18 Nathaniel Linden-Santangeli , Jin Zhang , Boris Kramer , Padmini Rangamani

Bayesian inference methods are applied within a Bayesian hierarchical modelling framework to the problems of joint state and parameter estimation, and of state forecasting. We explore and demonstrate the ideas in the context of a simple…

Applications · Statistics 2012-11-09 John Parslow , Noel Cressie , Edward P. Campbell , Emlyn Jones , Lawrence Murray

A Bayesian network is a widely used probabilistic graphical model with applications in knowledge discovery and prediction. Learning a Bayesian network (BN) from data can be cast as an optimization problem using the well-known…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-11-14 Zhenyu A. Liao , Charupriya Sharma , James Cussens , Peter van Beek

In this paper, we consider the problem of learning a predictive model for population cell growth dynamics as a function of the media conditions. We first introduce a generic data-driven framework for training operator-theoretic models to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-06-24 Shara Balakrishnan , Aqib Hasnain , Nibodh Boddupalli , Dennis M. Joshy , Robert G. Egbert , Enoch Yeung

Frequentist statistical methods, such as hypothesis testing, are standard practice in papers that provide benchmark comparisons. Unfortunately, these methods have often been misused, e.g., without testing for their statistical test…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-18 David Issa Mattos , Jan Bosch , Helena Holmström Olsson

A key problem in statistical modeling is model selection, how to choose a model at an appropriate level of complexity. This problem appears in many settings, most prominently in choosing the number ofclusters in mixture models or the number…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-08-05 Samuel J. Gershman , David M. Blei

Mathematical models in epidemiology are an indispensable tool to determine the dynamics and important characteristics of infectious diseases. Apart from their scientific merit, these models are often used to inform political decisions and…

High-throughput sequencing technology provides unprecedented opportunities to quantitatively explore human gut microbiome and its relation to diseases. Microbiome data are compositional, sparse, noisy, and heterogeneous, which pose serious…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-12 Fangting Zhou , Kejun He , Qiwei Li , Robert S. Chapkin , Yang Ni

Affordances are fundamental descriptors of relationships between actions, objects and effects. They provide the means whereby a robot can predict effects, recognize actions, select objects and plan its behavior according to desired goals.…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-02-12 Pedro Osório , Alexandre Bernardino , Ruben Martinez-Cantin , José Santos-Victor

Statistical models often require inputs that are not completely known. This can occur when inputs are measured with error, indirectly, or when they are predicted using another model. In environmental epidemiology, air pollution exposure is…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-23 Konstantin Larin , Daniel R. Kowal

A major goal of modern computational biology is to simulate the collective behaviour of large cell populations starting from the intricate web of molecular interactions occurring at the microscopic level. In this paper we describe a…

Biological Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Roberto Chignola , Edoardo Milotti

We introduce semiparametric Bayesian networks that combine parametric and nonparametric conditional probability distributions. Their aim is to incorporate the advantages of both components: the bounded complexity of parametric models and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-08 David Atienza , Concha Bielza , Pedro Larrañaga

Terrestrial ecosystems are generally green and only a small part (<10%) of the plant matter is consumed by herbivores annually,but the reason has been unclear due to the lack of food web models for predicting the absolute herbivore biomass…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-05-24 Kotaro Konno

Maize, a crucial crop globally cultivated across vast regions, especially in sub-Saharan Africa, Asia, and Latin America, occupies 197 million hectares as of 2021. Various statistical and machine learning models, including mixed-effect…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-13 Lorenzo Valleggi , Marco Scutari , Federico Mattia Stefanini

Biological systems are modular, and this modularity evolves over time and in different environments. A number of observations have been made of increased modularity in biological systems under increased environmental pressure. We here…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-01-07 Jeong-Man Park , Liang Ren Niestemski , Michael W. Deem

We consider the problem of model choice for stochastic epidemic models given partial observation of a disease outbreak through time. Our main focus is on the use of Bayes factors. Although Bayes factors have appeared in the epidemic…

Computation · Statistics 2017-10-16 Muteb Alharthi , Theodore Kypraios , Philip D. O'Neill

This paper is concerned with a contemporary Bayesian approach to the effect of temperature on developmental rates. We develop statistical methods using recent computational tools to model four commonly used ecological non-linear…

Applications · Statistics 2021-05-03 Marios Kondakis , Nikolaos Demiris , Ioannis Ntzoufras , Nikos E. Papanikolaou