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We develop the method of Maximum Entropy (ME) as a technique to generate approximations to probability distributions. The central results consist in (a) justifying the use of relative entropy as the uniquely natural criterion to select a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-07-24 Chih-Yuan Tseng , Ariel Caticha

To handle with inverse problems, two probabilistic approaches have been proposed: the maximum entropy on the mean (MEM) and the Bayesian estimation (BAYES). The main object of this presentation is to compare these two approaches which are…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 A. Mohammad-Djafari

The primary objective of this scholarly work is to develop two estimation procedures - maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) and method of trimmed moments (MTM) - for the mean and variance of lognormal insurance payment severity data sets…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-22 Chudamani Poudyal

Multiscale entropy (MSE) is a widely-used tool to analyze biomedical signals. It was proposed to overcome the deficiencies of conventional entropy methods when quantifying the complexity of time series. However, MSE is undefined for very…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-05-04 Hamed Azami , Mostafa Rostaghi , Daniel Abasolo , Javier Escudero

The main object of this paper is to show how we can use classical probabilistic methods such as Maximum Entropy (ME), maximum likelihood (ML) and/or Bayesian (BAYES) approaches to do microscopic and macroscopic data fusion. Actually ME can…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 A. Mohammad-Djafari

The Cross Entropy method is a well-known adaptive importance sampling method for rare-event probability estimation, which requires estimating an optimal importance sampling density within a parametric class. In this article we estimate an…

Computation · Statistics 2013-10-15 Z. I. Botev , A. Ridder , L. Rojas-Nandayapa

The stochastic nature of chemical reactions involving randomly fluctuating population sizes has lead to a growing research interest in discrete-state stochastic models and their analysis. A widely-used approach is the description of the…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2015-10-01 Alexander Andreychenko , Luca Bortolussi , Ramon Grima , Philipp Thomas , Verena Wolf

We describe a method to computationally estimate the probability density function of a univariate random variable by applying the maximum entropy principle with some local conditions given by Gaussian functions. The estimation errors and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-06-21 Mihail-Ioan Pop

We use the method of Maximum (relative) Entropy to process information in the form of observed data and moment constraints. The generic "canonical" form of the posterior distribution for the problem of simultaneous updating with data and…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-09-08 Adom Giffin , Ariel Caticha

The problem of assigning probability distributions which objectively reflect the prior information available about experiments is one of the major stumbling blocks in the use of Bayesian methods of data analysis. In this paper the method of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-10 Ariel Caticha , Roland Preuss

It is known that the Maximum relative Entropy (MrE) method can be used to both update and approximate probability distributions functions in statistical inference problems. In this manuscript, we apply the MrE method to infer magnetic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-04-20 Adom Giffin , Carlo Cafaro , Sean Alan Ali

The standard implementation of the Maximum Entropy Method (MEM) follows Bryan and deploys a Singular Value Decomposition (SVD) to limit the dimensionality of the underlying solution space apriori. Here we present arguments based on the…

Computational Physics · Physics 2013-01-08 Alexander Rothkopf

We consider the problem of estimating a probability distribution that maximizes the entropy while satisfying a finite number of moment constraints, possibly corrupted by noise. Based on duality of convex programming, we present a novel…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-10-22 Tobias Sutter , David Sutter , Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani , John Lygeros

We explore the use of the method of Maximum Entropy (ME) as a technique to generate approximations. In a first use of the ME method the "exact" canonical probability distribution of a fluid is approximated by that of a fluid of hard…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Chih-Yuan Tseng , Ariel Caticha

We present a novel probabilistic finite element method (FEM) for the solution and uncertainty quantification of elliptic partial differential equations based on random meshes, which we call random mesh FEM (RM-FEM). Our methodology allows…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-06-17 Assyr Abdulle , Giacomo Garegnani

Given a sample of independent and identically distributed random variables, a novel nonparametric maximum entropy method is presented to estimate the underlying continuous univariate probability density function (pdf). Estimates are found…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-30 Jenny Farmer , Donald J. Jacobs

We suggest the Doubly Multiplicative Error class of models (DMEM) for modeling and forecasting realized volatility, which combines two components accommodating low-, respectively, high-frequency features in the data. We derive the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-08 Alessandra Amendola , Vincenzo Candila , Fabrizio Cipollini , Giampiero M. Gallo

Probabilistic reasoning systems combine different probabilistic rules and probabilistic facts to arrive at the desired probability values of consequences. In this paper we describe the MESA-algorithm (Maximum Entropy by Simulated Annealing)…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-25 Gerhard Paaß

A Bayesian method of moments/instrumental variable (BMOM/IV) approach is developed and applied in the analysis of the important mean and multiple regression models. Given a single set of data, it is shown how to obtain posterior and…

bayes-an · Physics 2008-02-03 Arnold Zellner

We demonstrate how information in the form of observable data and moment constraints are introduced into the method of Maximum relative Entropy (ME). A general example of updating with data and moments is shown. A specific econometric…

Methodology · Statistics 2007-10-17 Adom Giffin
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