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Rumor spreading is a ubiquitous phenomenon in social and technological networks. Traditional models consider that the rumor is propagated by pairwise interactions between spreaders and ignorants. Spreaders can become stiflers only after…

We study a rumour model from a percolation theory and branching process point of view. The existence of a giant component is related to the event where the rumour spreads out trough an infinite number of individuals. We present sharp lower…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-11-29 Valdivino V. Junior , Fábio P. Machado , Mauricio Zuluaga

We study a rumour model from a percolation theory and branching process point of view. The existence of a giant component is related to the event where the rumour, which started from the root of a tree, spreads out through an infinite…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-11 Valdivino Vargas Junior , Fábio Prates Machado , Krishnamurthi Ravishankar

In this paper we propose a deterministic mathematical model that attempts to explain the propagation of a rumor using SIRS type epidemiological models with temporary immunity and nonlinear incidence rate. In particular, we speculate about…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-09-07 René Escalante , Marco Odehnal

We establish the large deviation principle for a topological Markov shift over infinite alphabet which satisfies strong combinatorial assumptions called ``finite irreducibility'' or ``finite primitiveness''. More precisely, we assume the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-03-19 Hiroki Takahasi

A large deviation principle is established for a two-scale stochastic system in which the slow component is a continuous process given by a small noise finite dimensional It\^{o} stochastic differential equation, and the fast component is a…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-09 Amarjit Budhiraja , Paul Dupuis , Arnab Ganguly

We consider an interacting particle system representing the spread of a rumor by agents on the $d$-dimensional integer lattice. Each agent may be in any of the three states belonging to the set {0,1,2}. Here 0 stands for ignorants, 1 for…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-04 Cristian F. Coletti , Pablo M. Rodriguez , Rinaldo B. Schinazi

We introduce a non-Markovian rumor model on a complete graph of $n$ vertices, integrating the classical interactional framework of Daley and Kendall (1964) with modern cognitive insights into misinformation. Unlike traditional Markovian…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-07 Cristian F. Coletti , Denis A. Luiz

We study a generalised model of population growth in which the state variable is population growth rate instead of population size. Stochastic parametric perturbations, modelling phenotypic variability, lead to a Langevin system with two…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-10-15 Harold P. de Vladar , Ido Pen

Motivated by metastability in the zero-range process, we consider i.i.d.\ random variables with values in $\N_0$ and Weibull-like (stretched exponential) law $\mathbb P(X_i =k) = c \exp( - k^\alpha)$, $\alpha \in (0,1)$. We condition on…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-28 Sabine Jansen

We introduce a general stochastic model for the spread of rumours, and derive mean-field equations that describe the dynamics of the model on complex social networks (in particular those mediated by the Internet). We use analytical and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Maziar Nekovee , Y. Moreno , G. Bianconi , M. Marsili

The spread of rumors, which are known as unverified statements of uncertain origin, may cause tremendous number of social problems. If it would be possible to identify factors affecting spreading a rumor (such as agents' desires, trust…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-10-23 Masoud Amoozgar , Rasoul Ramezanian

Consider an Galton Watson tree of height $m$: each leaf has one of $k$ opinions or not. In other words, for $i \in \{1, . . . , k\}$, $x$ at generation $m$ thinks $i$ with probability $p_i$ and nothing with probability $p_0$. Moreover the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-29 Athanasios Batakis , Pierre Debs , Dorian Le Peutrec

We prove a large deviation principle for the finite dimensional marginals of the Gibbs distribution of the macroscopic `overlap'-parameters in the Hopfield model in the case where the number of random patterns, $M$, as a function of the…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Anton Bovier , Véronique Gayrard

This paper discusses a simple stochastic model for the spread of messages in a large population with two types of individuals: transmitters and receivers. Transmitters, after receiving the message, start spreading copies of the message to…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-24 Pekka Aalto , Lasse Leskelä

This paper studies probabilistic rates of convergence for consensus+innovations type of algorithms in random, generic networks. For each node, we find a lower and also a family of upper bounds on the large deviations rate function, thus…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-08-11 Dragana Bajovic

Fluctuation theorem is one of the major achievements in the field of nonequilibrium statistical mechanics during the past two decades. Steady-state fluctuation theorem of sample entropy production rate in terms of large deviation principle…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-24 Yong Chen , Hao Ge , Jie Xiong , Lihu Xu

We derive a large deviation principle for families of random variables in the basin of attraction of spectrally positive stable distributions by proving a uniform version of the Tauberian theorem for Laplace-Stieltjes transforms. The main…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-25 Giampaolo Cristadoro , Gaia Pozzoli

The large deviation principle on phase space is proved for a class of Markov processes known as random population dynamics with catastrophes. In the paper we study the process which corresponds to the random population dynamics with linear…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-18 A. Logachov , O. Logachova , A. Yambartsev

We study two problems. First, we consider the large deviation behavior of empirical measures of certain diffusion processes as, simultaneously, the time horizon becomes large and noise becomes vanishingly small. The law of large numbers…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-14 Amarjit Budhiraja , Pavlos Zoubouloglou