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Climate change is intensifying wildfire risks globally, making reliable forecasting critical for adaptation strategies. While machine learning shows promise for wildfire prediction from Earth observation data, current approaches lack…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Aditya Chakravarty

Climate sensitivity has remained stubbornly uncertain since the Charney Report was published some 45 years ago. Two factors in future climate projections could alter this dilemma: (i) an increased ratio of CO$_2$ forcing relative to aerosol…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-07-22 Adam Michael Bauer , Cristian Proistosescu , Kelvin K Droegemeier

Ice desorption affects the evolution of the gas-phase chemistry during the protostellar stage, and also determines the chemical composition of comets forming in circumstellar disks. From observations, most volatile species are found in…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2011-09-01 Edith C. Fayolle , Karin I. Oberg , Herma M. Cuppen , Ruud Visser , Harold Linnartz

This paper contributes to the development and evaluation of a deep learning workflow that accurately and efficiently predicts the temporal-spatial evolution of pressure and CO2 plumes during injection and post-injection periods of geologic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-16 Bicheng Yan , Bailian Chen , Dylan Robert Harp , Rajesh J. Pawar

For objects in the low Earth orbit region, uncertainty in atmospheric density estimation is an important source of orbit prediction error, which is critical for space situational awareness activities such as the satellite conjunction…

Space Physics · Physics 2022-11-01 Smriti Nandan Paul , Richard J. Licata , Piyush M. Mehta

Ceria (CeO2) is a promising catalyst for the reduction of carbon dioxide (CO2) to liquid fuels and commodity chemicals, in part because of its high oxygen storage capacity, yet the fundamentals of CO2 adsorption and initial activation on…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2015-04-28 Zhuo Cheng , Brent J. Sherman , Cynthia S. Lo

Aerocapture uses atmospheric drag to decelerate spacecraft and achieve orbit insertion. One of the significant risks associated with aerocapture is the uncertainty in the atmospheric density, particularly for outer planets. The paper…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2023-10-17 Athul Pradeepkumar Girija

The most accurate approach to determine the compressibility of nuclear matter remains the one based on microscopic Energy Density Functionals (EDFs). Recent analyses yield a value for nuclear incompressibility modulus $K_\sat=240\pm…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2026-03-16 J. Margueron , E. Khan

Although carbon monoxide (CO) is an abundant molecule and may have great importance for planetary interiors, measurements of its properties are difficult due to its extreme volatility. We calculate the equation of state for CO over a range…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2023-01-25 Morris Podolak , Amit Levi , Allona Vazan , Uri Malamud

In operational weather models, the effects of turbulence in the atmospheric boundary layer (ABL) on the resolved flow are modeled using turbulence parameterizations. These parameterizations typically use a predetermined set of model…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-05-27 E. Y. Shin , M. F. Howland

The uncertainty quantifications of theoretical results are of great importance to make meaningful comparisons of those results with experimental data and to make predictions in experimentally unknown regions. By quantifying uncertainties,…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2018-12-10 Sota Yoshida , Noritaka Shimizu , Tomoaki Togashi , Takaharu Otsuka

Metal Organic Frameworks (MOFs) are promising materials to help mitigate the effects of global warming by selectively absorbing $\text{CO}_{2}$ for direct capture. Accurate quantum chemistry simulations are a useful tool to help select and…

For one-dimensional non-interacting complex fermions, we compute numerically the probability distribution of the change in the entanglement entropy (EE) after saturation, resulting from a single measurement of the occupation number by using…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-03-03 Bo Fan , Can Yin , Antonio M. García-García

Precise probabilistic forecasts are fundamental for energy risk management, and there is a wide range of both statistical and machine learning models for this purpose. Inherent to these probabilistic models is some form of uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-10 Andreas Lebedev , Abhinav Das , Sven Pappert , Stephan Schlüter

We present a general framework for uncertainty quantification that is a mosaic of interconnected models. We define global first and second order structural and correlative sensitivity analyses for random counting measures acting on risk…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-05 Caleb Deen Bastian , Herschel Rabitz

Carbon mitigation is one challenging issue that the world is facing. To tackle deleterious impacts of CO2, processes emerged, including chemisorption from amine based solvents, and more recently physisorption in porous solids. While CO2…

Materials Science · Physics 2023-07-19 Magnin Yann , Dirand Estelle , Maurin Guillaume , Llewellyn Philip

Sensitivity analysis (SA) and uncertainty quantification (UQ) are used to assess and improve engineering models. In this study, various methods of SA and UQ are described and applied in theoretical and practical examples for use in energy…

Applications · Statistics 2022-07-07 Majdi I. Radaideh , Mohammad I. Radaideh

The density-driven convection coupled with chemical reaction is the preferred mechanism for permanently storing CO2 in saline aquifers. This study uses a 2D visual Hele-Shaw cell to evaluate and visualize the density-driven convection…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-10-05 Md Fahim Shahriar , Aaditya Khanal

It is well known that Boussinesq turbulent-viscosity hypothesis can introduce uncertainty in predictions for complex flow features such as separation, reattachment, and laminar-turbulent transition. This study adopts a recent physics-based…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-10-19 Minghan Chu , Xiaohua Wu , David E. Rival

Aerospace design is increasingly incorporating Design Under Uncertainty based approaches to lead to more robust and reliable optimal designs. These approaches require dependable estimates of uncertainty in simulations for their success. The…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-02-28 Marcel Matha , Christian Morsbach