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Uncertainties from model parameters and model discrepancy from small-scale models impact the accuracy and reliability of predictions of large-scale systems. Inadequate representation of these uncertainties may result in inaccurate and…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-18 K. Sham Bhat , David S. Mebane , Curtis B. Storlie , Priyadarshi Mahapatra

Accurately simulating coupled physical processes under uncertainty is essential for reliable modeling and design in performance-critical applications such as combustion systems. Ablative heat shield design, as a specific example of this…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-10-07 Diba Behnoudfar , Kyle E. Niemeyer

The contamination impact and the migration of the contaminant into the surrounding environment due to the presence of a spilled oil pipeline will cause significant damage to the natural ecosystem. For this reason, it is decisive to develop…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-11-03 Alessandra Feo , Emanuele Scanferla , Fulvio Celico

Methods for model parameter estimation, uncertainty quantification and experimental design are summarized in this paper. They are based on the generalized least squares estimator and different approximations of its covariance matrix using…

Applications · Statistics 2019-12-17 Joscha Reimer

In situ NMR spectroscopy is a powerful technique to investigate charge storage mechanisms in carbon-based supercapacitors thanks to its ability to distinguish ionic and molecular species adsorbed in the porous electrodes from those in the…

Quantum reservoir computing (QRC) harnesses driven quantum dynamics for time-series processing, yet the mechanisms behind the differing performance levels across its many implementations remain unclear. We show that apparently unrelated…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-03-24 Saud Čindrak , Lara Giebeler , Niclas Götting , Christopher Gies , Kathy Lüdge

Interfaces between aqueous electrolytes and nanoporous carbons are involved in a number of technological applications such as energy storage and capacitive deionization. The disordered nature of the carbon materials makes it challenging to…

Materials Science · Physics 2022-07-21 Anagha Sasikumar , John M. Griffin , Céline Merlet

Aerosol scattering influences the retrieval of the column-averaged dry-air mole fraction of CO2 (XCO2) from the Orbiting Carbon Observatory-2 (OCO-2). This is especially true for surfaces with reflectance close to a critical value where…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-01-26 Sihe Chen , Vijay Natraj , Zhao-Cheng Zeng , Yuk-ling Yung

The dynamics for molecule formation, relaxation, diffusion, and desorption on amorphous solid water is studied in a quantitative fashion. We aim at characterizing, at a quantitative level, the formation probability, stabilization, energy…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2024-03-27 Meenu Upadhyay , Markus Meuwly

The growing number of seismic and elastic attributes poses a challenge, making the full benefit from each attribute in characterizing geological formation very difficult, if not impossible. Various approaches are routinely employed to…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-10-30 Mohammed Farfour , Rachid Hedjam , Douglas Foster , Said Gaci

Numerical simulations of high energy-density experiments require equation of state (EOS) models that relate a material's thermodynamic state variables -- specifically pressure, volume/density, energy, and temperature. EOS models are…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-02-26 Himanshu Sharma , Jim A. Gaffney , Dimitrios Tsapetis , Michael D. Shields

A novel method based on Fast Neutron Resonance Transmission Radiography is proposed for non-destructive, quantitative determination of the weight percentages of oil and water in cores taken from subterranean or underwater geological…

Much of uncertainty quantification to date has focused on determining the effect of variables modeled probabilistically, and with a known distribution, on some physical or engineering system. We develop methods to obtain information on the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Kamaljit Chowdhary , Paul Dupuis

The accuracy and robustness of numerical models of geologic CO$_2$ sequestration are almost never quantified with respect to direct observations that provide a ground truth. Here, we conduct CO$_2$ injection experiments in meter-scale,…

We investigate statistical uncertainty quantification for reinforcement learning (RL) and its implications in exploration policy. Despite ever-growing literature on RL applications, fundamental questions about inference and error…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-06 YI Zhu , Jing Dong , Henry Lam

E-fuels are promising long-term energy carriers supporting the net-zero transition. However, the large combinatorial design-operation spaces under renewable uncertainty make the use of mathematical programming impractical for co-optimizing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-05 Jeongdong Kim , Minsu Kim , Jonggeol Na , Junghwan Kim

Equation-of-state (EOS) models underpin numerical simulations at the core of research in high energy density physics, inertial confinement fusion, laboratory astrophysics, and elsewhere. In these applications EOS models are needed that span…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-10-28 Jim A Gaffney , Lin Yang , Suzanne Ali

Reliable uncertainty estimation for 3D object detection is critical for deploying safe autonomous systems, yet modern detectors remain poorly calibrated, especially under distribution shifts. Although post-hoc calibration methods address…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-08 Till Beemelmanns , Alexey Nekrasov , Stefan Vilceanu , Jonas Steinhaus , Timo Woopen , Bastian Leibe , Lutz Eckstein

Quantum Reservoir Computing (QRC) uses quantum dynamics to efficiently process temporal data. In this work, we investigate a QRC framework based on two coupled Kerr nonlinear oscillators, a system well-suited for time-series prediction…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-04-07 Ali Karimi , Hadi Zadeh-Haghighi , Youssef Kora , Christoph Simon

This paper presents a joint theoretical and numerical study of a stochastic version of the compressible Navier-Stokes equations within the location uncertainty (LU) framework, applied to problems related to upper ocean vertical mixing. This…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-05-22 Gilles Tissot , Étienne Mémin , Quentin Jamet
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