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Related papers: Opinion Dynamics with Confirmation Bias

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The emergence of opinion polarization within human communities -- the phenomenon that individuals within a society tend to develop conflicting attitudes related to the greatest diversity of topics -- has been a focus of interest for…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-10-05 Anna Zafeiris

We investigate opinion dynamics in a fully-connected system, consisting of $n$ identical and anonymous agents, where one of the opinions (which is called correct) represents a piece of information to disseminate. In more detail, one source…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2023-02-20 Luca Becchetti , Andrea Clementi , Amos Korman , Francesco Pasquale , Luca Trevisan , Robin Vacus

We study the contrarian voter model for opinion formation in a society under the influence of an external oscillating propaganda and stochastic noise. Each agent of the population can hold one of two possible opinions on a given issue…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-08-25 M. Cecilia Gimenez , Luis Reinaudi , Federico Vazquez

Opinion dynamics is of paramount importance as it provides insights into the complex dynamics of opinion propagation and social relationship adjustment. It is assumed in most of the previous works that social relationships evolve much…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-04-05 Xunlong Wang , Bin Wu

We propose a framework for probability aggregation based on propositional probability logic. Unlike conventional judgment aggregation, which focuses on static rationality, our model addresses dynamic rationality by ensuring that collective…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-08-27 Polina Gordienko , Christoph Jansen , Thomas Augustin , Martin Rechenauer

The belief bias effect is a phenomenon which occurs when we think that we judge an argument based on our reasoning, but are actually influenced by our beliefs and prior knowledge. Evans, Barston and Pollard carried out a psychological…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-02-19 Luís Moniz Pereira , Emmanuelle-Anna Dietz , Steffen Hölldobler

We present an extensive study of the joint effects of heterogeneous social agents and their heterogeneous social links in a bounded confidence opinion dynamics model. The full phase diagram of the model is explored for two different…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-01-24 Rémi Perrier , Hendrik Schawe , Laura Hernández

We study a nonlinear dynamics of binary opinions in a population of agents connected by a directed network, influenced by two competing forces. On the one hand, agents are stubborn, i.e., have a tendency for one of the two opinions; on the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-11-13 Federico Capannoli , Emilio Cruciani , Hlafo Alfie Mimun , Matteo Quattropani

An important use of machine learning is to learn what people value. What posts or photos should a user be shown? Which jobs or activities would a person find rewarding? In each case, observations of people's past choices can inform our…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-12-21 Owain Evans , Andreas Stuhlmueller , Noah D. Goodman

Models of the convergence of opinion in social systems have been the subject of a considerable amount of recent attention in the physics literature. These models divide into two classes, those in which individuals form their beliefs based…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-05-23 Petter Holme , M. E. J. Newman

We propose a model for diffusion of two opposite opinions. Here, the decision to be taken by each individual is a random variable which depends on the tendency of the population, as well on its own trend characteristic. The influence of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-08 Manuel González-Navarrete , Rodrigo Lambert

People naturally bring their prior beliefs to bear on how they interpret the new information, yet few formal models exist for accounting for the influence of users' prior beliefs in interactions with data presentations like visualizations.…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2019-01-11 Yea-Seul Kim , Logan A Walls , Peter Krafft , Jessica Hullman

Recent studies claim that human behavior in a two-armed Bernoulli bandit (TABB) task is described by positivity and confirmation biases, implying that humans do not integrate new information objectively. However, we find that even if the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-05-14 Prakhar Godara

Opinion evolution and judgment revision are mediated through social influence. Based on a large crowdsourced in vitro experiment (n=861), it is shown how a consensus model can be used to predict opinion evolution in online collective…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-09-28 Corentin Vande Kerckhove , Samuel Martin , Pascal Gend , Peter J. Rentfrow , Julien M. Hendrickx , Vincent D. Blondel

Confirmation bias, the tendency to interpret information in a way that aligns with one's preconceptions, can profoundly impact scientific research, leading to conclusions that reflect the researcher's hypotheses even when the observational…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-09 Amnon Balanov , Tamir Bendory , Wasim Huleihel

Bias in perceptual decisions comes to pass when the advance knowledge colludes with the current sensory evidence in support of the final choice. The literature on decision making suggests two main hypotheses to account for this kind of…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2017-10-17 Farzaneh Olianezhad , Maryam Tohidi-Moghaddam , Sajjad Zabbah , Reza Ebrahimpour

We propose an agent-based model of collective opinion formation to study the wisdom of crowds under social influence. The opinion of an agent is a continuous positive value, denoting its subjective answer to a factual question. The wisdom…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-08-25 Pavlin Mavrodiev , Frank Schweitzer

Reverse causality is a common causal misperception that distorts the evaluation of private actions and public policies. This paper explores the implications of this error when a decision maker acts on it and therefore affects the very…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-10-26 Ran Spiegler

We propose an agent-based opinion formation model characterised by a two-fold novelty. First, we realistically assume that each agent cannot measure the opinion of its neighbours with infinite resolution and accuracy, and hence it can only…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-01-08 Carlos Andres Devia , Giulia Giordano

We consider a model of binary opinion dynamics where one opinion is inherently 'superior' than the other and social agents exhibit a 'bias' towards the superior alternative. Specifically, it is assumed that an agent updates its choice to…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-01 Arpan Mukhopadhyay