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With the resurgence of tick-borne diseases such as Lyme disease and the emergence of new pathogens such as Powassan virus, understanding what distinguishes vector from non-vector species, and predicting undiscovered tick vectors is an…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-06-22 Barbara A. Han , Laura Yang

Tick-Borne diseases can be transmitted via non-systemic (NS) transmission. This occurs when tick gets the infection by co-feeding with infected ticks on the same host resulting in a direct pathogen transmission between the vectors, without…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-07-11 Luca Ferreri , Paolo Bajardi , Mario Giacobini

Spirochetes belonging to the Borrelia burgdoferi sensu lato (sl) group cause Lyme Borreliosis (LB), which is the most commonly reported vector-borne zoonosis in Europe. B. burgdorferi sl is maintained in nature in a complex cycle involving…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-07-12 Luca Ferreri , Silvia Perazzo , Ezio Venturino , Mario Giacobini , Luigi Bertolotti , Alessandro Mannelli

Ticks and tick-borne diseases present a well known threat to the health of people in many parts of the globe. The scientific literature devoted both to field observations and to modeling the propagation of ticks continues to grow. So far…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-06-07 Vassili N. Kolokoltsov

It was observed that the number of cases and deaths for infectious diseases were associated with heavy-tailed power law distributions such as the Pareto distribution. While Pareto distribution was widely used to model the cases and deaths…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-29 Bowen Liu , Malwane M. A. Ananda

This article introduces a non-parametric information-theoretic approach to inference about the tail of a continuous or a discrete distribution. Leveraging a new concept named tail profile -- a set of information-theoretic quantities…

Applications · Statistics 2025-03-19 Jialin Zhang , Zhiyi Zhang

Globally, vector-borne diseases are increasing in distribution and frequency, affecting humans, domestic animals and livestock, and wildlife. Science-based management and prevention of these diseases requires a sound understanding of the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-09-20 Sebastian Botero-Canola , Carson Torhorst , Nicholas Canino , Lorenza Beati , Kathleen C. O Hara , Angela M. James , Samantha M. Wisely

Borrelia burgdorferi sensu stricto is a bacterial spirochete prevalent in the Northeastern United States that causes Lyme disease. Lyme disease is the most common arthropod-borne disease in the United States; affecting mice, deer, humans…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-08-12 Matthew Jastrebski , Joan Ponce , Daniel Burkow , Oyita Udiani , Dr. Leon Arriola

Empirical studies show that epidemiological models based on an epidemic's initial spread rate often fail to predict the true scale of that epidemic. Most epidemics with a rapid early rise die out before affecting a significant fraction of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-05-05 Lev Muchnik , Elad Yom-Tov , Nir Levy , Amir Rubin , Yoram Louzoun

Pathogenic bacteria present a large disease burden on human health. Control of these pathogens is hampered by rampant lateral gene transfer, whereby pathogenic strains may acquire genes conferring resistance to common antibiotics. Here we…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-06-06 Kevin J. Emmett , Raul Rabadan

Most of zoonoses are multi-host parasites with multiple transmission routes that are usually investigated separately despite their potential interplay. As a unifying framework for modelling parasite spread through different paths of…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2017-06-19 Massimo Stella , Sanja Selakovic , Alberto Antonioni , Cecilia S. Andreazzi

In this paper we use detailed data about the biology of the head louse (pediculus humanus capitis) to build a model of the evolution of head lice colonies. Using theory and computer simulations, we show that the model can be used to assess…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-03-19 María Fabiana Laguna , Sebastián Risau-Gusman

Random walk is one of the basic mechanisms found in many network applications. We study the epidemic spreading dynamics driven by biased random walks on complex networks. In our epidemic model, each time infected nodes constantly spread…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-22 Cunlai Pu , Siyuan Li , Jian Yang

Propagation of contagion in networks depends on the graph topology. This paper is concerned with studying the time-asymptotic behavior of the extended contact processes on static, undirected, finite-size networks. This is a contact process…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-07-03 June Zhang , José M. F. Moura

Infectious pathogens often propagate by superspreading, which focusses onward transmission on disproportionately few infected individuals. At the same time, infector-infectee pairs tend to have more similar transmission potentials than…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-09-22 Noah Silva de Leonardi , Benjamin D. Dalziel

Recent work has attempted to use whole-genome sequence data from pathogens to reconstruct the transmission trees linking infectors and infectees in outbreaks. However, transmission trees from one outbreak do not generalize to future…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-10-24 Eben Kenah , Tom Britton , M. Elizabeth Halloran , Ira M. Longini

Network ecology is a rising field of quantitative biology representing ecosystems as complex networks. A suitable example is parasite spreading: several parasites may be transmitted among their hosts through different mechanisms, each one…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2016-09-12 Massimo Stella , Cecilia S. Andreazzi , Sanja Selakovic , Alireza Goudarzi , Alberto Antonioni

The task for a general and useful classification of the tail behaviors of probability distributions still has no satisfactory solution. Due to lack of information outside the range of the data the tails of the distribution should be…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-23 Pavlina Jordanova

With a single circulating vector-borne virus, the basic reproduction number incorporates contributions from tick-to-tick (co-feeding), tick-to-host and host-to-tick transmission routes. With two different circulating vector-borne viral…

The endogenous adaptation of agents, that may adjust their local contact network in response to the risk of being infected, can have the perverse effect of increasing the overall systemic infectiveness of a disease. We study a dynamical…

General Economics · Economics 2021-03-29 Alessio Muscillo , Paolo Pin , Tiziano Razzolini
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