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Related papers: Dynamic Bayesian Nonlinear Calibration

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We develop a variational Bayes approach for dynamic variable selection in high-dimensional regression models with time-varying parameters and predictors that exhibit a predefined group structure. Through comprehensive simulation studies, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-16 Nicolas Bianco , Mauro Bernardi , Daniele Bianchi

A Bayesian approach to calibrating period-luminosity (PL) relations has substantial benefits over generic least-squares fits. In particular, the Bayesian approach takes into account the full prior distribution of the model parameters, such…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-04 Christopher R. Klein , Joseph W. Richards , Nathaniel R. Butler , Joshua S. Bloom

We propose causal isotonic calibration, a novel nonparametric method for calibrating predictors of heterogeneous treatment effects. Furthermore, we introduce cross-calibration, a data-efficient variant of calibration that eliminates the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-07 Lars van der Laan , Ernesto Ulloa-Pérez , Marco Carone , Alex Luedtke

We present a method that models the evolution of an unbounded number of time series clusters by switching among an unknown number of regimes with linear dynamics. We develop a Bayesian non-parametric approach using a hierarchical Dirichlet…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-09 Adrián Pérez-Herrero , Paulo Félix , Jesús Presedo , Carl Henrik Ek

Context: Radio interferometers measure frequency components of the sky brightness, modulated by the gains of the individual radio antennas. Due to atmospheric turbulence and variations in the operational conditions of the antennas these…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2023-10-25 Jakob Roth , Philipp Arras , Martin Reinecke , Richard A. Perley , Rüdiger Westermann , Torsten A. Enßlin

This article addresses calibration challenges in analytical chemistry by employing a random-effects calibration curve model and its generalizations to capture variability in analyte concentrations. The model is motivated by specific issues…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-27 Soumya Sahu , Thomas Mathew , Robert Gibbons , Dulal K. Bhaumik

Sensor setups of robotic platforms commonly include both camera and LiDAR as they provide complementary information. However, fusing these two modalities typically requires a highly accurate calibration between them. In this paper, we…

Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) have achieved state-of-the-art accuracy performance in many tasks. However, recent works have pointed out that the outputs provided by these models are not well-calibrated, seriously limiting their use in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-16 Juan Maroñas , Roberto Paredes , Daniel Ramos

Bayesian nonparametric methods are a popular choice for analysing survival data due to their ability to flexibly model the distribution of survival times. These methods typically employ a nonparametric prior on the survival function that is…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-22 Edwin Fong , Brieuc Lehmann

When providing probabilistic forecasts for uncertain future events, it is common to strive for calibrated forecasts, that is, the predictive distribution should be compatible with the observed outcomes. Several notions of calibration are…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-05-21 Christof Strähl , Johanna F. Ziegel

As we move away from the data, the predictive uncertainty should increase, since a great variety of explanations are consistent with the little available information. We introduce Distance-Aware Prior (DAP) calibration, a method to correct…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-19 Gianluca Detommaso , Alberto Gasparin , Andrew Wilson , Cedric Archambeau

We present a Bayesian approach for modeling multivariate, dependent functional data. To account for the three dominant structural features in the data--functional, time dependent, and multivariate components--we extend hierarchical dynamic…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-02 Daniel R. Kowal , David S. Matteson , David Ruppert

In the context of the usual calibration model, we consider the case in which the independent variable is unobservable, but a pre-fixed value on its surrogate is available. Thus, considering controlled variables and assuming that the…

Applications · Statistics 2008-02-06 Betsabé G. Blas Achic , Mônica C. Sandoval , Olga Satomi Yoshida

Computable phenotypes are used to characterize patients and identify outcomes in studies conducted using healthcare claims and electronic health record data. Chart review studies establish reference labels against which computable…

Applications · Statistics 2025-03-11 Georg Hahn , Sebastian Schneeweiss , Shirley Wang

Spatial process models are widely used for modeling point-referenced variables arising from diverse scientific domains. Analyzing the resulting random surface provides deeper insights into the nature of latent dependence within the studied…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-15 Aritra Halder , Sudipto Banerjee , Dipak K. Dey

Bayesian approaches for handling covariate measurement error are well established, and yet arguably are still relatively little used by researchers. For some this is likely due to unfamiliarity or disagreement with the Bayesian inferential…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-01 Jonathan W. Bartlett , Ruth H. Keogh

We propose a novel Bayesian methodology for analyzing nonstationary time series that exhibit oscillatory behaviour. We approximate the time series using a piecewise oscillatory model with unknown periodicities, where our goal is to estimate…

Many real-world spatio-temporal processes exhibit nonlinear dynamics that can often be described through stochastic partial differential equations. These models are flexible and scientifically motivated, however, implementing them in a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-30 Madelyn Clinch , Jonathan R. Bradley

Achieving ultimate bounds in estimation processes is the main objective of quantum metrology. In this context, several problems require measurement of multiple parameters by employing only a limited amount of resources. To this end,…

Most approaches to camera calibration rely on calibration targets of well-known geometry. During data acquisition, calibration target and camera system are typically moved w.r.t. each other, to allow image coverage and perspective…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-10-15 Annika Hagemann , Moritz Knorr , Christoph Stiller