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We develop a systematic approach to the linear-noise approximation for stochastic reaction systems with distributed delays. Unlike most existing work our formalism does not rely on a master equation, instead it is based upon a dynamical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-12-13 Tobias Brett , Tobias Galla

A single queueing system with time-dependent exponentially distributed arrival processes and exponential machine processes (Kendall notation $M_t/M_t/1$) is analyzed. Modeling the time evolution for the discrete queue-length distribution by…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-21 Dieter Armbruster , Simone Göttlich , Stephan Knapp

An approach for the description of stochastic systems is derived. Some of the variables in the system are studied forward in time, others backward in time. The approach is based on a perturbation expansion in the strength of the coupling…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-08-04 Piero Olla

A method of calculating probability values from a system of marginal constraints is presented. Previous systems for finding the probability of a single attribute have either made an independence assumption concerning the evidence or have…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-05 J. W. Miller , R. M. Goodman

A method of exactly solving the master equation is presented in this letter. The explicit form of the solution is determined by the time evolution of a composite system including an auxiliary system and the open system in question. The…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-11-06 X. X. Yi , S. X. Yu

In this paper, a sample-based procedure for obtaining simple and computable approximations of chance-constrained sets is proposed. The procedure allows to control the complexity of the approximating set, by defining families of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-01-19 Martina Mammarella , Victor Mirasierra , Matthias Lorenzen , Teodoro Alamo , Fabrizio Dabbene

In this paper, we aim to study a stochastic process from a macro point of view, and thus periodic solution of a stochastic process in distributional sense is introduced. We first give the definition and then establish the existence of…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-31 Guangying Lv , Hongjun Gao , Jinlong Wei

Stochastic modeling of chemical reaction systems based on master equations has been an indispensable tool in physical sciences. In the long-time limit, the properties of these systems are characterized by stationary distributions of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-05-03 Yuji Hirono , Ryo Hanai

Stochastic optimization problems often involve data distributions that change in reaction to the decision variables. This is the case for example when members of the population respond to a deployed classifier by manipulating their features…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-15 Dmitriy Drusvyatskiy , Lin Xiao

This paper studies the problem of steering the distribution of a discrete-time dynamical system from an initial distribution to a target distribution in finite time. The formulation is fully nonlinear, allowing the use of general control…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-05 George Rapakoulias , Panagiotis Tsiotras

We present new algorithms and fast implementations to find efficient approximations for modelling stochastic processes. For many numerical computations it is essential to develop finite approximations for stochastic processes. While the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-03 Kipngeno Benard Kirui , Georg Ch. Pflug , Alois Pichler

The estimation of absorption time distributions of Markov jump processes is an important task in various branches of statistics and applied probability. While the time-homogeneous case is classic, the time-inhomogeneous case has recently…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-26 Jamaal Ahmad , Martin Bladt , Mogens Bladt

Stochastic fluctuations of molecule numbers are ubiquitous in biological systems. Important examples include gene expression and enzymatic processes in living cells. Such systems are typically modelled as chemical reaction networks whose…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2017-01-13 David Schnoerr , Guido Sanguinetti , Ramon Grima

This paper presents and derives the interrelations between survival analysis and master equation. Survival analysis deals with modeling the transitions between succeeding states of a system in terms of hazard rates. Questions related with…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Dirk Helbing

The Poisson distribution is the probability distribution of the number of independent events in a given period of time. Although the Poisson distribution appears ubiquitously in various stochastic dynamics of gene expression, both as…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-10-02 Julian Lee

This article is concerned with the mathematical analysis of a family of adaptive importance sampling algorithms applied to diffusion processes. These methods, referred to as Adaptive Biasing Potential methods, are designed to efficiently…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-10 Michel Benaïm , Charles-Edouard Bréhier

We study approximations of the partition function of dense graphical models. Partition functions of graphical models play a fundamental role is statistical physics, in statistics and in machine learning. Two of the main methods for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-02-21 Vishesh Jain , Frederic Koehler , Elchanan Mossel

This paper presents a probabilistic perspective on iterative methods for approximating the solution $\mathbf{x}_* \in \mathbb{R}^d$ of a nonsingular linear system $\mathbf{A} \mathbf{x}_* = \mathbf{b}$. In the approach a standard iterative…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-12 Jon Cockayne , Ilse C. F. Ipsen , Chris J. Oates , Tim W. Reid

We investigate the multi-chain version of the Chemical Master Equation, when there are transitions between different states inside the long chains, as well as transitions between (a few) different chains. In the discrete version, such a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-12 Vahe Galstyan , David B. Saakian

The sub-Gaussian stable distribution is a heavy-tailed elliptically contoured law which has interesting applications in signal processing and financial mathematics. This work addresses the problem of feasible estimation of distributions. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-04 Taras Bodnar , Dmitry Otryakhin , Erik Thorsen