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Related papers: Likelihood estimators for multivariate extremes

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We define a new multivariate time series model by generalizing the ARMAX process in a multivariate way. We give conditions on stationarity and analyze local dependence and domains of attraction. As a consequence of the obtained result, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-12-11 Marta Ferreira , Helena Ferreira

In this report, we explore the data selection leading to a family of estimators maximizing a centrality. The family allows a nice properties leading to accurate and robust probability density function fitting according to some criteria we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-10 Djemel Ziou

The article concerns hybrid combinations of empirical and parametric likelihood functions. Combining the two allows classical parametric likelihood to be crucially modified via the nonparametric counterpart, making possible model…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-25 Ingrid Dæhlen , Nils Lid Hjort

We revisit the problem of the existence of the maximum likelihood estimate for multi-class logistic regression. We show that one method of ensuring its existence is by assigning positive probability to every class in the sample dataset. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-09 Dwight Nwaigwe , Marek Rychlik

Generalized linear models play an essential role in a wide variety of statistical applications. This paper discusses an approximation of the likelihood in these models that can greatly facilitate computation. The basic idea is to replace a…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-05-27 Alexandro D. Ramirez , Liam Paninski

Aiming to estimate extreme precipitation forecast quantiles, we propose a nonparametric regression model that features a constant extreme value index. Using local linear quantile regression and an extrapolation technique from extreme value…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-06 Jasper Velthoen , Juan-Juan Cai , Geurt Jongbloed , Maurice Schmeits

One of the most common anticipated difficulties in applying mainstream maximum likelihood inference upon extreme values is articulated on the scarcity of extreme observations for bringing the extreme value theorem to hold across a series of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-28 Christopher Jeffree , Cláudia Neves

Modelling multivariate extreme events is essential when extrapolating beyond the range of observed data. Parametric models that are suitable for real-world extremes must be flexible -- particularly in their ability to capture asymmetric…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-05 Pavel Krupskii , Boris Béranger

We present the first minimax risk bounds for estimators of the spectral measure in multivariate linear factor models, where observations are linear combinations of regularly varying latent factors. Non-asymptotic convergence rates are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-12 Xuhui Zhang , Jose Blanchet , Youssef Marzouk , Viet Anh Nguyen , Sven Wang

A new estimator is proposed for estimating the tail exponent of a heavy-tailed distribution. This estimator, referred to as the layered Hill estimator, is a generalization of the traditional Hill estimator, building upon a layered structure…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-20 Taegyu Kang , Takashi Owada

Maximum likelihood estimation is a fundamental optimization problem in statistics. We study this problem on manifolds of matrices with bounded rank. These represent mixtures of distributions of two independent discrete random variables. We…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2013-03-19 Jonathan Hauenstein , Jose Rodriguez , Bernd Sturmfels

We propose a novel molecular computing scheme for statistical inference. We focus on the much-studied statistical inference problem of computing maximum likelihood estimators for log-linear models. Our scheme takes log-linear models to…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2016-06-13 Manoj Gopalkrishnan

We propose a spectral clustering algorithm for analyzing the dependence structure of multivariate extremes. More specifically, we focus on the asymptotic dependence of multivariate extremes characterized by the angular or spectral measure…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-08-02 Marco Avella Medina , Richard A. Davis , Gennady Samorodnitsky

The task of estimation of the tails of probability distributions having small samples seems to be still opened and almost unsolvable. The paper tries to make a step in filling this gap. In 2017 Jordanova et al. introduce six new…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-14 Pavlina Jordanova , Monika Peteva

Extreme events have an important role which is sometime catastrophic in a variety of natural phenomena including climate, earthquakes and turbulence, as well as in man-made environments like financial markets. Statistical analysis and…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-10-31 Victor S. L'vov , Anna Pomyalov , Itamar Procaccia

We consider statistical models driven by Gaussian and non-Gaussian self-similar processes with long memory and we construct maximum likelihood estimators (MLE) for the drift parameter. Our approach is based on the approximation by random…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-12-19 Karine Bertin , Soledad Torres , Ciprian Tudor

The correct use and interpretation of models depends on several steps, two of which being the calibration by parameter estimation and the analysis of uncertainty. In the biological literature, these steps are seldom discussed together, but…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2015-08-17 André Chalom , Paulo Inácio de Knegt López de Prado

We use extreme value theory to estimate the probability of successive exceedances of a threshold value of a time-series of an observable on several classes of chaotic dynamical systems. The observables have either a Fr\'echet (fat-tailed)…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-11-07 Meagan Carney , Mark Holland , Matthew Nicol , Phuong Tran

We investigate the joint asymptotic behavior of so-called blocks estimator of the extremal index, that determines the mean length of clusters of extremes, based on the exceedances over different thresholds. Due to the large bias of these…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-07-06 Holger Drees

Maximum likelihood estimation has been extensively used in the joint analysis of repeated measurements and survival time. However, there is a lack of theoretical justification of the asymptotic properties for the maximum likelihood…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Donglin Zeng , Jianwen Cai