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We consider the problem of estimating functionals of discrete distributions, and focus on tight nonasymptotic analysis of the worst case squared error risk of widely used estimators. We apply concentration inequalities to analyze the random…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-08-11 Jiantao Jiao , Kartik Venkat , Yanjun Han , Tsachy Weissman

The ability to rigorously estimate the failure rates of large language models (LLMs) is a prerequisite for their safe deployment. Currently, however, practitioners often face a tradeoff between expensive human gold standards and potentially…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Minghe Shen , Ananth Balashankar , Adam Fisch , David Madras , Miguel Rodrigues

We consider the problem of estimating the distribution function, the density and the hazard rate of the (unobservable) event time in the current status model. A well studied and natural nonparametric estimator for the distribution function…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-01-13 Piet Groeneboom , Geurt Jongbloed , Birgit I. Witte

We propose a novel formulation for phase synchronization -- the statistical problem of jointly estimating alignment angles from noisy pairwise comparisons -- as a nonconvex optimization problem that enforces consistency among the pairwise…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-05-15 Tingran Gao , Zhizhen Zhao

Exact MLE for generalized linear mixed models (GLMMs) is a long-standing problem unsolved until today. The proposed research solves the problem. In this problem, the main difficulty is caused by intractable integrals in the likelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-14 Tonglin Zhang

Conventional methods for computing maximum-likelihood estimators (MLE) often converge slowly in practical situations, leading to a search for simplifying methods that rely on additional assumptions for their validity. In this work, we…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2017-06-28 Jiangwei Shang , Zhengyun Zhang , Hui Khoon Ng

Threshold and ambiguity phenomena are studied in Part 1 of this work where approximations for the mean-squared-error (MSE) of the maximum likelihood estimator are proposed using the method of interval estimation (MIE), and where approximate…

Applications · Statistics 2015-06-19 Achraf Mallat , Sinan Gezici , Davide Dardari , Luc Vandendorpe

Multi-task learning (MTL) considers learning a joint model for multiple tasks by optimizing a convex combination of all task losses. To solve the optimization problem, existing methods use an adaptive weight updating scheme, where task…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-22 Yifei He , Shiji Zhou , Guojun Zhang , Hyokun Yun , Yi Xu , Belinda Zeng , Trishul Chilimbi , Han Zhao

We study the problem of signal source localization using received signal strength measurements. We begin by presenting verifiable geometric conditions for sensor deployment that ensure the model's asymptotic localizability. Then we…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-20 Shenghua Hu , Guangyang Zeng , Wenchao Xue , Haitao Fang , Junfeng Wu , Biqiang Mu

We prove the strong consistency and the asymptotic normality of the maximum likelihood estimator of the parameters of a general conditionally heteroscedastic model with $\alpha$-stable innovations. Then, we relax the assumptions and only…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-01-01 Guillaume Lepage

Flow Matching (FM) models achieve remarkable results in generative tasks. Building upon diffusion models, FM's simulation-free training paradigm enables simplicity and efficiency but introduces a train-inference gap: model outputs cannot be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-30 Zhaoyi Li , Jingtao Ding , Yong Li , Shihua Li

We analyze the problem of maximum likelihood estimation for Gaussian distributions that are multivariate totally positive of order two (MTP2). By exploiting connections to phylogenetics and single-linkage clustering, we give a simple proof…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-29 Steffen Lauritzen , Caroline Uhler , Piotr Zwiernik

Empirical economic research frequently applies maximum likelihood estimation in cases where the likelihood function is analytically intractable. Most of the theoretical literature focuses on maximum simulated likelihood (MSL) estimators,…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-08-13 Michael Griebel , Florian Heiss , Jens Oettershagen , Constantin Weiser

The saddlepoint approximation gives an approximation to the density of a random variable in terms of its moment generating function. When the underlying random variable is itself the sum of $n$ unobserved i.i.d. terms, the basic classical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-25 Jesse Goodman

We consider an $\ell_2$-regularized non-convex optimization problem for recovering signals from their noisy phaseless observations. We design and study the performance of a message passing algorithm that aims to solve this optimization…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-02-27 Junjie Ma , Ji Xu , Arian Maleki

In the classical synthesis problem, we are given an LTL formula psi over sets of input and output signals, and we synthesize a transducer that realizes psi. One weakness of automated synthesis in practice is that it pays no attention to the…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2016-08-24 Shaull Almagor , Orna Kupferman

Recovering nonlinearly degraded signal in the presence of noise is a challenging problem. In this work, this problem is tackled by minimizing the sum of a non convex least-squares fit criterion and a penalty term. We assume that the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-02-27 Marc Castella , Jean-Christophe Pesquet , Arthur Marmin

We consider an $\ell_2$-regularized non-convex optimization problem for recovering signals from their noisy phaseless observations. We design and study the performance of a message passing algorithm that aims to solve this optimization…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-06-11 Junjie Ma , Ji Xu , Arian Maleki

Estimating the unconstrained mean and covariance matrix is a popular topic in statistics. However, estimation of the parameters of $N_p(\mu,\Sigma)$ under joint constraints such as $\Sigma\mu = \mu$ has not received much attention. It can…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-25 Anupam Kundu , Mohsen Pourahmadi

We show that there is an intimate connection between the theory of nonparametric (smoothed) maximum likelihood estimators for certain inverse problems and integral equations. This is illustrated by estimators for interval censoring and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-08-13 Piet Groeneboom
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