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This paper deals with the question of conditional sampling and prediction for the class of stationary max-stable processes which allow for a mixed moving maxima representation. We develop an exact procedure for conditional sampling using…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-25 Marco Oesting , Martin Schlather

This paper proposes a novel graphical model, termed the spatial dependence graph model, which captures the global dependence structure of different events that occur randomly in space. In the spatial dependence graph model, the edge set is…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-26 Matthias Eckardt

Max-infinitely divisible (max-id) processes play a central role in extreme-value theory and include the subclass of all max-stable processes. They allow for a constructive representation based on the pointwise maximum of random functions…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-01 Peng Zhong , Raphaël Huser , Thomas Opitz

Recursive max-linear vectors model causal dependence between its components by expressing each node variable as a max-linear function of its parental nodes in a directed acyclic graph and some exogenous innovation. Motivated by extreme…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-10 Claudia Klüppelberg , Mario Krali

The maxima and the minima of a randomly stopped sample of a random variable, $X$, together with two newly defined random variables that make $X$ into the maxima or minima of a randomly stopped sample of them, can be used to define…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-23 Jordi Valero , Josep Ginebra

We define a new multivariate time series model by generalizing the ARMAX process in a multivariate way. We give conditions on stationarity and analyze local dependence and domains of attraction. As a consequence of the obtained result, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-12-11 Marta Ferreira , Helena Ferreira

We develop classification results for max--stable processes, based on their spectral representations. The structure of max--linear isometries and minimal spectral representations play important roles. We propose a general classification…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-18 Yizao Wang , Stilian A. Stoev

In modeling spatial processes, a second-order stationarity assumption is often made. However, for spatial data observed on a vast domain, the covariance function often varies over space, leading to a heterogeneous spatial dependence…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-09 Ghulam A. Qadir , Ying Sun , Sebastian Kurtek

Multivariate extreme value statistical analysis is concerned with observations on several variables which are thought to possess some degree of tail-dependence. In areas such as the modeling of financial and insurance risks, or as the…

Applications · Statistics 2014-12-31 Alexis Bienvenüe , Christian Y. Robert

We introduce a class of spatial stochastic processes in the max-domain of attraction of familiar max-stable processes. The new class is based on Cox processes and comprises models with short range dependence. We show that statistical…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-15 Martin Dirrler , Martin Schlather , Kirstin Strokorb

Extreme values modeling has attracting the attention of researchers in diverse areas such as the environment, engineering, or finance. Multivariate extreme value distributions are particularly suitable to model the tails of multidimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-01-16 Helena Ferreira , Marta Ferreira

Gaussian scale mixtures are constructed as Gaussian processes with a random variance. They have non-Gaussian marginals and can exhibit asymptotic dependence unlike Gaussian processes, which are asymptotically independent except in the case…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-31 Raphael Huser , Thomas Opitz , Emeric Thibaud

We construct stationary max-infinitely divisible (max-id) processes from systems of randomly time-changed L\'evy particles. Classical examples without time change, such as the Brown-Resnick process, are, up to marginal transformations,…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Ioan Scheffel

We develop a novel multi-factor copula model for multivariate spatial extremes, which is designed to capture the different combinations of marginal and cross-extremal dependence structures within and across different spatial random fields.…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-24 Yan Gong , Raphaël Huser

Extreme environmental events such as severe storms, drought, heat waves, flash floods, and abrupt species collapse have become more prevalent in the earth-atmosphere dynamic system in recent years. In order to fully understand the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-05 Myungsoo Yoo , Likun Zhang , Christopher K. Wikle , Thomas Opitz

Being the limits of copulas of componentwise maxima in independent random samples, extreme-value copulas can be considered to provide appropriate models for the dependence structure between rare events. Extreme-value copulas not only arise…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-12-07 Gordon Gudendorf , Johan Segers

In multivariate extreme value analysis, the nature of the extremal dependence between variables should be considered when selecting appropriate statistical models. Interest often lies with determining which subsets of variables can take…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-19 Emma S. Simpson , Jennifer L. Wadsworth , Jonathan A. Tawn

We investigate long and short memory in $\alpha$-stable moving averages and max-stable processes with $\alpha$-Fr\'echet marginal distributions. As these processes are heavy-tailed, we rely on the notion of long range dependence suggested…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-01 Vitalii Makogin , Marco Oesting , Albert Rapp , Evgeny Spodarev

Various natural phenomena exhibit spatial extremal dependence at short spatial distances. However, existing models proposed in the spatial extremes literature often assume that extremal dependence persists across the entire domain. This is…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-01 Arnab Hazra , Raphaël Huser , David Bolin

The goal of this paper is two-fold: 1. We review classical and recent measures of serial extremal dependence in a strictly stationary time series as well as their estimation. 2. We discuss recent concepts of heavy-tailed time series,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-03-27 Richard A. Davis , Thomas Mikosch , Yuwei Zhao
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