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We consider the quickest change-point detection problem where the aim is to detect the onset of a pre-specified drift in "live"-monitored standard Brownian motion; the change-point is assumed unknown (nonrandom). The topic of interest is…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-18 Aleksey S. Polunchenko , Grigory Sokolov

A standard approach to study time-dependent stochastic processes is the power spectral density (PSD), an ensemble-averaged property defined as the Fourier transform of the autocorrelation function of the process in the asymptotic limit of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-09-04 Vittoria Sposini , Ralf Metzler , Gleb Oshanin

Motivation: We consider continuous-time Markov chains that describe the stochastic evolution of a dynamical system by a transition-rate matrix $Q$ which depends on a parameter $\theta$. Computing the probability distribution over states at…

In the present work, by using the method of accumulation of phase shifts in the rotating frame, the attenuation function S(t) of the NMR signal from an ensemble of spin-bearing particles in a magnetic-field gradient is expressed through the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-09-26 Jana Tothova , Vladimir Lisy

Recent single molecule experiments probing the passage process of a short single-stranded DNA (ssDNA) through a membrane channel (translocation) allow to measure the passage time distribution. Building on a recent modelling approach (D. K.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Ralf Metzler , Joseph Klafter

Extensive time-series encoding the position of particles such as viruses, vesicles, or individual proteins are routinely garnered in single-particle tracking experiments or supercomputing studies. They contain vital clues on how viruses…

Markov state models (MSMs) are a powerful tool to analyze and coarse-grain complex dynamical data into interpretable kinetic processes. This capability is particularly important in heterogeneous catalysis, where a medley of reactants and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-05-11 Caitlin A. McCandler , Chatipat Lorpaiboon , Timothy C. Berkelbach , Jutta Rogal

Use of harmonic guiding potentials is the most common method for implementing steered molecular dynamics (SMD) simulations, performed to obtain potentials of mean force (PMFs) of molecular systems using non-equilibrium work (NEW) theorems.…

Computational Physics · Physics 2016-07-26 Mostafa Nategholeslam , C. G. Gray , Bruno Tomberli

This paper addresses sampling-based trajectory optimization for risk-aware navigation under stochastic dynamics. Typically such approaches operate by computing $\tilde{N}$ perturbed rollouts around the nominal dynamics to estimate the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-07-15 Basant Sharma , Arun Kumar Singh

This paper introduces a probabilistic approach for tracking the dynamics of unweighted and directed graphs using state-space models (SSMs). Unlike conventional topology inference methods that assume static graphs and generate point-wise…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-13 Victor M. Tenorio , Elvin Isufi , Geert Leus , Antonio G. Marques

Modeling and control of high-dimensional, nonlinear robotic systems remains a challenging task. While various model- and learning-based approaches have been proposed to address these challenges, they broadly lack generalizability to…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-09-21 John Irvin Alora , Mattia Cenedese , Edward Schmerling , George Haller , Marco Pavone

Temporal motion modeling has always been a key component in multiple object tracking (MOT) which can ensure smooth trajectory movement and provide accurate positional information to enhance association precision. However, current motion…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-09-11 Bin Hu , Run Luo , Zelin Liu , Cheng Wang , Wenyu Liu

The paper deals with the problem of large-time behaviour of trajectories for discrete-time dynamical systems driven by a random noise. Assuming that the phase space is finite-dimensional and compact, and the noise is a Markov process with a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-15 Sergei Kuksin , Armen Shirikyan

In the present paper, we studied a Dynamic Stochastic Block Model (DSBM) under the assumptions that the connection probabilities, as functions of time, are smooth and that at most $s$ nodes can switch their class memberships between two…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-04 Marianna Pensky , Teng Zhang

Gravitational wave sources with electromagnetic counterparts have highlighted the need for predictive, interpretable models linking the parameters of compact binary systems to post-merger remnants and mass outflows. In this work, we explore…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2025-11-13 P. Darc , Clecio R. Bom , Charles Kilpatrick , Bernardo M. O. Fraga , Gabriel S. M. Teixeira

We have developed a statistical technique to test the model assumption of binary regime switching extension of the geometric Brownian motion (GBM) model by proposing a new discriminating statistics. Given a time series data, we have…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-10-21 Milan Kumar Das , Anindya Goswami

We address the problem of estimating the mixing time of a Markov chain from a single trajectory of observations. Unlike most previous works which employed Hilbert space methods to estimate spectral gaps, we opt for an approach based on…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-13 Geoffrey Wolfer

The constituents of soft matter systems such as colloidal suspensions, emulsions, polymers, and biological tissues undergo microscopic random motion, due to thermal energy. They may also experience drift motion correlated over mesoscopic or…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2015-06-16 Luca Cipelletti , Giovanni Brambilla , Simona Maccarrone , Sami Caroff

Single Particle Tracking (SPT) can aid in understanding complex spatio-temporal processes. However, quantifying diffusivity and forces from individual live cell trajectories is complicated by inter- & intra-trajectory kinetic heterogeneity,…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2016-05-19 Christopher P. Calderon

Autoregressive Markov switching (ARMS) time series models are used to represent real-world signals whose dynamics may change over time. They have found application in many areas of the natural and social sciences, as well as in engineering.…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-21 José A. Martínez-Ordóñez , Javier López-Santiago , Joaquín Miguez