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We study the problem of discriminative sub-trajectory mining. Given two groups of trajectories, the goal of this problem is to extract moving patterns in the form of sub-trajectories which are more similar to sub-trajectories of one group…

We present a new method to sample conditioned trajectories of a system evolving under Langevin dynamics, based on Brownian bridges. The trajectories are conditioned to end at a certain point (or in a certain region) in space. The bridge…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2022-08-17 Patrice Koehl , Henri Orland

We present a novel variational framework for performing inference in (neural) stochastic differential equations (SDEs) driven by Markov-approximate fractional Brownian motion (fBM). SDEs offer a versatile tool for modeling real-world…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-20 Rembert Daems , Manfred Opper , Guillaume Crevecoeur , Tolga Birdal

We introduce a statistical mechanics formalism for the study of constrained graph evolution as a Markovian stochastic process, in analogy with that available for spin systems, deriving its basic properties and highlighting the role of the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-05-13 A. C. C. Coolen , A. De Martino , A. Annibale

In this thesis, we extend the recently introduced theory of stochastic modified equations (SMEs) for stochastic gradient optimization algorithms. In Ch. 3 we study time-inhomogeneous SDEs driven by Brownian motion. For certain SDEs we prove…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-26 Stefan Perko

Molecular motors and other complex nonequilibrium systems are controlled by large sets of design parameters, and optimizing those parameters requires computing sensitivities -- derivatives of dynamical observables with respect to the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-05-12 John Strahan , Todd R. Gingrich

Energy-based models (EBMs) offer a flexible framework for probabilistic modelling across various data domains. However, training EBMs on data in discrete or mixed state spaces poses significant challenges due to the lack of robust and fast…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-03 Tobias Schröder , Zijing Ou , Yingzhen Li , Andrew B. Duncan

A number of modern sampling methods probe long time behavior in complex biomolecules using a set of relatively short trajectory segments. Markov state models (MSMs) can be useful in analyzing such data sets, but in particularly complex…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2014-07-08 Ernesto Suarez , Daniel Zuckerman

We propose a Bayesian hidden Markov model for analyzing time series and sequential data where a special structure of the transition probability matrix is embedded to model explicit-duration semi-Markovian dynamics. Our formulation allows…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-23 Beniamino Hadj-Amar , Jack Jewson , Mark Fiecas

We introduce methods for large scale Brownian Dynamics (BD) simulation of many rigid particles of arbitrary shape suspended in a fluctuating fluid. Our method adds Brownian motion to the rigid multiblob method at a cost comparable to the…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2018-01-17 B. Sprinkle , F. Balboa Usabiaga , N. A. Patankar , A. Donev

We present a dynamic coarse-graining technique that allows to simulate the mechanical unfolding of biomolecules or molecular complexes on experimentally relevant time scales. It is based on Markov state models (MSM), which we construct from…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2018-08-17 Fabian Knoch , Ken Schäfer , Gregor Diezemann , Thomas Speck

Marginal structural models (MSMs) are often used to estimate causal effects of treatments on survival time outcomes from observational data when time-dependent confounding may be present. They can be fitted using, e.g., inverse probability…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-27 Shaun R Seaman , Ruth H Keogh

We provide an algorithm based on weighted-ensemble (WE) methods, to accurately sample systems at steady state. Applying our method to different one- and two-dimensional models, we succeed to calculate steady state probabilities of order…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-15 Justus A. Kromer , Lutz Schimansky-Geier , Raul Toral

Assessing the time scale of biological processes using molecular dynamics (MD) simulations with sufficient statistical accuracy is a challenging task, as processes are often rare and/or slow events, which may extend largely beyond the time…

Computational Physics · Physics 2026-02-16 Wouter Vervust , Elias Wils , Sina Safaei , Daniel T. Zhang , An Ghysels

Markov-modulated Brownian motion is a popular tool to model continuous-time phenomena in a stochastic context. The main quantity of interest is the invariant density, which satisfies a differential equation associated with the quadratic…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-06 Giang T. Nguyen , Federico Poloni

Stochastic processes are encountered in many contexts, ranging from generation sizes of bacterial colonies and service times in a queueing system to displacements of Brownian particles and frequency fluctuations in an electrical power grid.…

Treatment switching is a common occurrence in the management of Multiple Sclerosis (MS), where patients transition across various disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) due to heterogeneous treatment responses, differences in disease…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-16 Beomchang Kim , Zongqi Xia , Priyam Das

Systems driven by Brownian motion are ubiquitous. A prevailing challenge is inferring, from data, the diffusion and kinetic parameters that describe these stochastic processes. In this work, we investigate a multi-state diffusion process…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2022-06-20 Lewis R. Baker , Moshe T. Gordon , Brian P. Ziemba , Victoria Gershuny , Joseph J. Falke , David M. Bortz

We propose a new approach for estimating the finite dimensional transition matrix of a Markov chain using a large number of independent sample paths observed at random times. The sample paths may be observed as few as two times, and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-20 Daphne Aurouet , Valentin Patilea

We propose a trajectory-based method for simulating nonadiabatic dynamics in molecular systems with two coupled electronic states. Employing a quantum-mechanically exact mapping of the two-level problem to a spin-1/2 coherent state, we…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2020-03-03 Johan E. Runeson , Jeremy O. Richardson