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In this paper we investigate how the bootstrap can be applied to time series regressions when the volatility of the innovations is random and non-stationary. The volatility of many economic and financial time series displays persistent…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-01-12 H. Peter Boswijk , Giuseppe Cavaliere , Anders Rahbek , Iliyan Georgiev

We propose the relaxation bootstrap method for the numerical solution of multi-matrix models in the large $N$ limit, developing and improving the recent proposal of H.Lin. It gives rigorous inequalities on the single trace moments of the…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2022-06-22 Vladimir Kazakov , Zechuan Zheng

The problem of quantifying uncertainty about the locations of multiple change points by means of confidence intervals is addressed. The asymptotic distribution of the change point estimators obtained as the local maximisers of moving sum…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-20 Haeran Cho , Claudia Kirch

Reliable uncertainty quantification remains a central challenge in predictive modeling. While Bayesian methods are theoretically appealing, their predictive intervals can exhibit poor frequentist calibration, particularly with small sample…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-05 Graham Gibson

The problem of constructing a simultaneous confidence surface for the 2-dimensional mean function of a non-stationary functional time series is challenging as these bands can not be built on classical limit theory for the maximum absolute…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-27 Holger Dette , Weichi Wu

We devise a general result on the consistency of model-based bootstrap methods for U- and V-statistics under easily verifiable conditions. For that purpose, we derive the limit distributions of degree-2 degenerate U- and V-statistics for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-05-10 Anne Leucht

Most of the modern literature on robust mean estimation focuses on designing estimators which obtain optimal sub-Gaussian concentration bounds under minimal moment assumptions and sometimes also assuming contamination. This work looks at…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-30 Lucas Resende

In this short note, we present supporting evidence for the replica symmetric approach to the random bond q-state Potts models. The evidence is statistically strong enough to reject the applicability of the Parisi replica symmetry breaking…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Marc-Andre Lewis

Several new methods have been proposed for performing valid inference after model selection. An older method is sampling splitting: use part of the data for model selection and part for inference. In this paper we revisit sample splitting…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-04 Alessandro Rinaldo , Larry Wasserman , Max G'Sell , Jing Lei

We propose a bootstrap program for CFTs near intersecting boundaries which form a co-dimension 2 edge. We describe the kinematical setup and show that bulk 1-pt functions and bulk-edge 2-pt functions depend on a non-trivial cross-ratio and…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2021-10-27 António Antunes

In this work, tests of symmetry for bivariate copulas are introduced and studied using empirical Bernstein copula process. Three statistics are proposed and their asymptotic properties are established. Besides, a multiplier bootstrap…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-14 Guanjie Lyu , Mohamed Belalia

We prove that if a rectangular matrix with uniformly small entries and approximately orthogonal rows is applied to the independent standardized random variables with uniformly bounded third moments, then the empirical CDF of the resulting…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-14 Bernard Bercu , Wlodzimierz Bryc

We establish higher-order nonasymptotic expansions for a difference between probability distributions of sums of i.i.d. random vectors in a Euclidean space. The derived bounds are uniform over two classes of sets: the set of all Euclidean…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-30 Mayya Zhilova

Temporal dependence and the resulting autocovariances in time series data can introduce bias into ANOVA test statistics, thereby affecting their size and power. This manuscript accounts for temporal dependence in ANOVA and develops a test…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-12 Yunyi Zhang

There are three generalizations of the Platonic solids that exist in all dimensions, namely the hypertetrahedron, the hypercube, and the hyperoctahedron, with the latter two being dual. Conformal field theories with the associated symmetry…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2018-06-13 Andreas Stergiou

We consider the least-square linear regression problem with regularization by the $\ell^1$-norm, a problem usually referred to as the Lasso. In this paper, we first present a detailed asymptotic analysis of model consistency of the Lasso in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2009-01-22 Francis Bach

In this paper we develop non-asymptotic Gaussian approximation results for the sampling distribution of suprema of empirical processes when the indexing function class $\mathcal{F}_n$ varies with the sample size $n$ and may not be Donsker.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-06 Alexander Giessing

The partially linear binary choice model can be used for estimating structural equations where nonlinearity may appear due to diminishing marginal returns, different life cycle regimes, or hectic physical phenomena. The inference procedure…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-12-01 Wenzheng Gao , Zhenting Sun

We introduce a new framework for constructing tests of general semiparametric hypotheses which have nontrivial power on the $n^{-1/2}$ scale in every direction, and can be tailored to put substantial power on alternatives of importance. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Peter J. Bickel , Ya'acov Ritov , Thomas M. Stoker

In this paper we investigate the distribution of the set of values of a quadratic form Q, at integral points. In particular we are interested in the n-point correlations of the this set. The asymptotic behaviour of the counting function…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2014-01-08 Oliver Sargent