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We propose a model of inference and heuristic decision-making in groups that is rooted in the Bayes rule but avoids the complexities of rational inference in partially observed environments with incomplete information, which are…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2016-11-04 M. Amin Rahimian , Ali Jadbabaie

Echo chambers and opinion polarization recently quantified in several sociopolitical contexts and across different social media, raise concerns on their potential impact on the spread of misinformation and on openness of debates. Despite…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-02-28 Fabian Baumann , Philipp Lorenz-Spreen , Igor M. Sokolov , Michele Starnini

In this paper, we introduce a new framework for modelling the exchange of multiple arguments across agents in a social network. To date, most modelling work concerned with opinion dynamics, testimony, or communication across social networks…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-04-15 Leon Assaad , Rafael Fuchs , Ammar Jalalimanesh , Kirsty Phillips , Klee Schöppl , Ulrike Hahn

A core tension in models of concept learning is that the model must carefully balance the tractability of inference against the expressivity of the hypothesis class. Humans, however, can efficiently learn a broad range of concepts. We…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-10-02 Kevin Ellis

To make informed decisions in natural environments that change over time, humans must update their beliefs as new observations are gathered. Studies exploring human inference as a dynamical process that unfolds in time have focused on…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2022-03-03 Arthur Prat-Carrabin , Robert C. Wilson , Jonathan D. Cohen , Rava Azeredo da Silveira

Social interactions influence people's opinions. In some situations, these interactions eventually yield a consensus opinion; in others, they can lead to opinion fragmentation and the formation of different opinion groups in the form of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-08-01 Lasse Mohr , Poul G. Hjorth , Mason A. Porter

Language models are essentially probability distributions over token sequences. Auto-regressive models generate sentences by iteratively computing and sampling from the distribution of the next token. This iterative sampling introduces…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-06-13 Andrea Yaoyun Cui , Pengfei Yu

This paper presents a study on mutual speech variation influences in a human-computer setting. The study highlights behavioral patterns in data collected as part of a shadowing experiment, and is performed using a novel end-to-end platform…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2018-09-14 Eran Raveh , Ingmar Steiner , Iona Gessinger , Bernd Möbius

Learning latent expression themes that best express complex patterns in a sample is a central problem in data mining and scientific research. For example, in computational biology we seek a set of salient gene expression themes that explain…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2007-11-19 Edoardo M Airoldi , Stephen E Fienberg , Eric P Xing

Deep directed generative models have attracted much attention recently due to their expressive representation power and the ability of ancestral sampling. One major difficulty of learning directed models with many latent variables is the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-06-16 Siqi Nie , Qiang Ji

In this work, we propose a Bayesian statistical model to simultaneously characterize two or more social networks defined over a common set of actors. The key feature of the model is a hierarchical prior distribution that allows us to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-02-22 Juan Sosa , Brenda Betancourt

We propose the first method to adaptively modify the duration of a given speech signal. Our approach uses a Bayesian framework to define a latent attention map that links frames of the input and target utterances. We train a masked…

Audio and Speech Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-07-13 Ravi Shankar , Archana Venkataraman

Living systems have time-evolving interactions that, until recently, could not be identified accurately from recorded time series in the presence of noise. Stankovski et al. (Phys. Rev. Lett. 109 024101, 2012) introduced a method based on…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-01-14 Andrea Duggento , Tomislav Stankovski , Peter V. E. McClintock , Aneta Stefanovska

In social sciences, simulating opinion dynamics to study the interplay between homophily and influence, and the subsequent formation of echo chambers, is of great importance. As such, in this paper we investigate echo chambers by…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Omar Malik , James Flamino , Boleslaw K. Szymanski

In spoken conversations, spontaneous behaviors like filled pause and prolongations always happen. Conversational partner tends to align features of their speech with their interlocutor which is known as entrainment. To produce human-like…

Audio and Speech Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-06-22 Jian Cong , Shan Yang , Na Hu , Guangzhi Li , Lei Xie , Dan Su

In order to solve the problem of opinion polarization and distortion caused by echo chamber effect in the evolution process of online public opinion,a three-dimensional Deffuant-Weisbuch model is proposed to study the formation and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-09-23 Fei Gao , Yuxin Xu

In many statistical problems, a more coarse-grained model may be suitable for population-level behaviour, whereas a more detailed model is appropriate for accurate modelling of individual behaviour. This raises the question of how to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-11-02 Mingjun Zhong , Nigel Goddard , Charles Sutton

We propose a probabilistic modeling framework for learning the dynamic patterns in the collective behaviors of social agents and developing profiles for different behavioral groups, using data collected from multiple information sources.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-06-28 Lin Li , Ananthram Swami , Anna Scaglione

Bayesian analysis is increasingly popular for use in social science and other application areas where the data are observations from an informative sample. An informative sampling design leads to inclusion probabilities that are correlated…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-07 Terrance D. Savitsky , Daniell Toth

The DeGroot model of naive social learning assumes that agents only communicate scalar opinions. In practice, agents communicate not only their opinions, but their confidence in such opinions. We propose a model that captures this aspect of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-11-10 Jerry Anunrojwong , Nat Sothanaphan