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We derive the mean-field equations characterizing the dynamics of a rumor process that takes place on top of complex heterogeneous networks. These equations are solved numerically by means of a stochastic approach. First, we present…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Yamir Moreno , Maziar Nekovee , Amalio. F. Pacheco

From the distributional characterizations that lie at the heart of Stein's method we derive explicit formulae for the mass functions of discrete probability laws that identify those distributions. These identities are applied to develop…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-16 Steffen Betsch , Bruno Ebner , Franz Nestmann

Randomized algorithms depend on accurate sampling from probability distributions, as their correctness and performance hinge on the quality of the generated samples. However, even for common distributions like Binomial, exact sampling is…

Computation · Statistics 2025-06-17 Uddalok Sarkar , Sourav Chakraborty , Kuldeep S. Meel

The field of Knowledge Tracing is focused on predicting the success rate of a student for a given skill. Modern methods like Deep Knowledge Tracing provide accurate estimates given enough data, but being based on neural networks they…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-20 Hildo Bijl

Dispersion is a fundamental concept in statistics, yet standard approaches - especially via stochastic orders - face limitations in the discrete setting. In particular, the classical dispersive order, well-established for continuous…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-11 Andreas Eberl , Bernhard Klar , Alfonso Suárez-Llorens

Diffusion models have shown promise in forecasting future data from multivariate time series. However, few existing methods account for recurring structures, or patterns, that appear within the data. We present Pattern-Guided Diffusion…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-17 Vivian Lin , Kuk Jin Jang , Wenwen Si , Insup Lee

This text presents an unified approach of probability and statistics in the pursuit of understanding and computation of randomness in engineering or physical or social system with prediction with generalizability. Starting from elementary…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2024-01-19 Lakshman Mahto

This paper explores the process of optimal quantization for several types of discrete probability distributions. Quantization is a technique used to approximate a complex distribution with a smaller set of representative points, which is…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-16 Russel Cabasag , Samir Huq , Eric Mendoza , Mrinal Kanti Roychowdhury

Natural gradient methods have been used to optimise the parameters of probability distributions in a variety of settings, often resulting in fast-converging procedures. Unfortunately, for many distributions of interest, computing the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-28 Jonathan So , Richard E. Turner

A new method for analyzing the morphological features of point patterns is presented. The method is taken from the study of molecular liquids, where it has been introduced for making a statistical description of anisotropic distributions.…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 R. Valdarnini

Allocation of personnel and material resources is highly sensible in the case of firefighter interventions. This allocation relies on simulations to experiment with various scenarios. The main objective of this allocation is the global…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-30 Michael Corbeau , Emmanuelle Claeys , Mathieu Serrurier , Pascale Zaraté

In recent years, the literature in the area of Bayesian asymptotics has been rapidly growing. It is increasingly important to understand the concept of posterior consistency and validate specific Bayesian methods, in terms of consistency of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Taeryon Choi , R. V. Ramamoorthi

There are now several large scale deployments of differential privacy used to collect statistical information about users. However, these deployments periodically recollect the data and recompute the statistics using algorithms designed for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-21 Matthew Joseph , Aaron Roth , Jonathan Ullman , Bo Waggoner

A new two-parameter discrete distribution, namely the PoiG distribution is derived by the convolution of a Poisson variate and an independently distributed geometric random variable. This distribution generalizes both the Poisson and…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-11 Anupama Nandi , Subrata Chakraborty , Aniket Biswas

Many data problems contain some reference or normal conditions, upon which to compare newly collected data. This scenario occurs in data collected as part of clinical trials to detect adverse events, or for measuring climate change against…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-05 Annalisa Calvi , Ursula Laa , Dianne Cook

Exploiting the geometric nature of statistical divergences, we devise a way to define associated induced uncertainty measures for discrete and finite probability distributions. We also report new uncertainty measures and discuss their…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-06-29 Gautam Sharma , Sk Sazim

Normalizing flows are an established approach for modelling complex probability densities through invertible transformations from a base distribution. However, the accuracy with which the target distribution can be captured by the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-02 Harry Bevins , Will Handley , Thomas Gessey-Jones

The projected normal distribution, also known as the angular Gaussian distribution, is obtained by dividing a multivariate normal random variable $\mathbf{x}$ by its norm $\sqrt{\mathbf{x}^T \mathbf{x}}$. The resulting random variable…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-24 Daniel Herrera-Esposito , Johannes Burge

Synchronization is a crucial phenomenon in many natural and artificial complex network systems. Applications include neuronal networks, formation control and coordination in robotics, and frequency synchronization in electrical power grids.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-24 Marco Coraggio , Pietro DeLellis , Mario di Bernardo

Complex systems, ranging from soft materials to wireless communication, are often organised as random geometric networks in which nodes and edges evenly fill up the volume of some space. Studying such networks is difficult because they…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-19 Ivan Kryven , Rik Versendaal
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