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To extend cognitive diagnostic models (CDMs) to longitudinal settings, stepwise approaches that integrate a CDM model with a latent transition model and covariates are widely used due to their flexibility. Previous research has shown that…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-20 Yawen Ma , Anastasia Ushakova , Kate Cain , Gabriel Wallin

The piecewise exponential model is a flexible non-parametric approach for time-to-event data, but extrapolation beyond final observation times typically relies on random walk priors and deterministic knot locations, resulting in unrealistic…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-12 Luke Hardcastle , Samuel Livingstone , Gianluca Baio

Neural population activity exhibits complex, nonlinear dynamics, varying in time, over trials, and across experimental conditions. Here, we develop Conditionally Linear Dynamical System (CLDS) models as a general-purpose method to…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-10-31 Victor Geadah , Amin Nejatbakhsh , David Lipshutz , Jonathan W. Pillow , Alex H. Williams

The hazard function is central to the formulation of commonly used survival regression models such as the proportional hazards and accelerated failure time models. However, these models rely on a shared baseline hazard, which, when…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-19 J. A. Christen , F. J. Rubio

Bayesian inference for survival regression modeling offers numerous advantages, especially for decision-making and external data borrowing, but demands the specification of the baseline hazard function, which may be a challenging task. We…

Competing risk models are survival models with several events of interest acting in competition and whose occurrence is only observed for the event that occurs first in time. This paper presents a Bayesian approach to these models in which…

Functional concurrent, or varying-coefficient, regression models are commonly used in biomedical and clinical settings to investigate how the relation between an outcome and observed covariate varies as a function of another covariate. In…

Graphical models describe associations between variables through the notion of conditional independence. Gaussian graphical models are a widely used class of such models where the relationships are formalized by non-null entries of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-08 Sagnik Bhadury , Riten Mitra , Jeremy T. Gaskins

Genetic interactions play an important role in the progression of complex diseases, providing explanation of variations in disease phenotype missed by main genetic effects. Comparatively, there are fewer investigations on prognostic…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-23 Xing Qin , Shuangge Ma , Mengyun Wu

We develop a Bayesian semi-parametric model for the estimating the impact of dynamic treatment rules on survival among patients diagnosed with pediatric acute myeloid leukemia (AML). The data consist of a subset of patients enrolled in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-12 Arman Oganisian , Kelly D. Getz , Todd A. Alonzo , Richard Aplenc , Jason A. Roy

Statistical calibration where the curve is nonlinear is important in many areas, such as analytical chemistry and radiometry. Especially in radiometry, instrument characteristics change over time, thus calibration is a process that must be…

Applications · Statistics 2014-11-14 Derick L. Rivers , Edward L. Boone

Real-time nonlinear Bayesian filtering algorithms are overwhelmed by data volume, velocity and increasing complexity of computational models. In this paper, we propose a novel ensemble based nonlinear Bayesian filtering approach which only…

Computation · Statistics 2019-06-05 Xiao Lin , Gabriel Terejanu

A key question in clinical practice is accurate prediction of patient prognosis. To this end, nowadays, physicians have at their disposal a variety of tests and biomarkers to aid them in optimizing medical care. These tests are often…

This article describes a full Bayesian treatment for simultaneous fixed-effect selection and parameter estimation in high-dimensional generalized linear mixed models. The approach consists of using a Bayesian adaptive Lasso penalty for…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-31 Dao Thanh Tung , Minh-Ngoc Tran , Tran Manh Cuong

Bayesian forecasting is developed in multivariate time series analysis for causal inference. Causal evaluation of sequentially observed time series data from control and treated units focuses on the impacts of interventions using…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-21 Graham Tierney , Christoph Hellmayr , Greg Barkimer , Kevin Li , Mike West

We develop a Bayesian graphical modeling framework for functional data for correlated multivariate random variables observed over a continuous domain. Our method leads to graphical Markov models for functional data which allows the graphs…

Regression models are used in a wide range of applications providing a powerful scientific tool for researchers from different fields. Linear, or simple parametric, models are often not sufficient to describe complex relationships between…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-24 Aliaksandr Hubin , Geir Storvik , Florian Frommlet

A new class of models, named dynamic quantile linear models, is presented. It combines dynamic linear models with distribution free quantile regression producing a robust statistical method. Bayesian inference for dynamic quantile linear…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-20 Kelly C. M. Gonçalves , Helio S. Migon , Leonardo S. Bastos

Joint models for longitudinal and time-to-event data have seen many developments in recent years. Though spatial joint models are still rare and the traditional proportional hazards formulation of the time-to-event part of the model is…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-25 Anja Rappl , Thomas Kneib , Stefan Lang , Elisabeth Bergherr

Dynamic prediction of causal effects under different treatment regimes conditional on an individual's characteristics and longitudinal history is an essential problem in precision medicine. This is challenging in practice because outcomes…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-07 Yizhen Xu , Jisoo Kim , Laura K. Hummers , Ami A. Shah , Scott Zeger