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We propose a nonparametric estimation for a class of fractional stochastic differential equations (FSDE) with random effects. We precisely consider general linear fractional stochastic differential equations with drift depending on random…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-18 M. El Omari , H. El Maroufy , C. Fuchs

In the real world, a learning system could receive an input that is unlike anything it has seen during training. Unfortunately, out-of-distribution samples can lead to unpredictable behaviour. We need to know whether any given input belongs…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-21 Alireza Shafaei , Mark Schmidt , James J. Little

Parametric density estimation, for example as Gaussian distribution, is the base of the field of statistics. Machine learning requires inexpensive estimation of much more complex densities, and the basic approach is relatively costly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-02-21 Jarek Duda

A class of robust estimators which are obtained from dual representation of $\phi$-divergences, are studied empirically for the normal location model. Members of this class of estimators are compared, and it is found that they are efficient…

Computation · Statistics 2011-08-16 Mohamed Cherfi

Multivariate elliptically-contoured distributions are widely used for modeling correlated and non-Gaussian data. In this work, we study the kurtosis of the elliptical model, which is an important parameter in many statistical analysis.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-23 Bowen Zhou , Peirong Xu , Cheng Wang

The most common way to sample from a probability distribution is to use Monte-Carlo methods. For distributions on a continuous state space, one can find diffusions with the target distribution as equilibrium measure, so that the state of…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-28 Chii-Ruey Hwang , Raoul Normand , Sheng-Jhih Wu

We revisit the classical causal inference problem of estimating the average treatment effect in the presence of fully observed confounding variables using two-stage semiparametric methods. In existing theoretical studies of methods such as…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-23 Steve Yadlowsky

Size distortion can occur if an asymptotic testing procedure requiring diverging sample sizes, is implemented to data with very small sample sizes. In this paper, we consider one-sample and two-sample tests for mean vectors when data are…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-17 Jun Li

In many statistical signal processing applications, the estimation of nuisance parameters and parameters of interest is strongly linked to the resulting performance. Generally, these applications deal with complex data. This paper focuses…

Applications · Statistics 2016-08-24 Melanie Mahot , Philippe Forster , Frederic Pascal , Jean-Philippe Ovarlez

We investigate the nonparametric, composite hypothesis testing problem for arbitrary unknown distributions in the asymptotic regime where both the sample size and the number of hypotheses grow exponentially large. Such asymptotic analysis…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-01-30 Qunwei Li , Tiexing Wang , Donald J. Bucci , Yingbin Liang , Biao Chen , Pramod K. Varshney

A fundamental notion of distance between train and test distributions from the field of domain adaptation is discrepancy distance. While in general hard to compute, here we provide the first set of provably efficient algorithms for testing…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2024-06-14 Gautam Chandrasekaran , Adam R. Klivans , Vasilis Kontonis , Konstantinos Stavropoulos , Arsen Vasilyan

We construct a novel estimator for the diffusion coefficient of the limiting homogenized equation, when observing the slow dynamics of a multiscale model, in the case when the slow dynamics are of bounded variation. Previous research…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-04 Theodoros Manikas , Anastasia Papavasiliou

Estimation of a multivariate regression function from independent and identically distributed data is considered. An estimate is defined which fits a deep neural network consisting of a large number of fully connected neural networks, which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-31 Selina Drews , Michael Kohler

In this paper we propose the use of $\phi$-divergences as test statistics to verify simple hypotheses about a one-dimensional parametric diffusion process $\de X_t = b(X_t, \theta)\de t + \sigma(X_t, \theta)\de W_t$, from discrete…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-08-22 Alessandro De Gregorio , Stefano Iacus

We study parametric inference for diffusion processes when observations occur nonsynchronously and are contaminated by market microstructure noise. We construct a quasi-likelihood function and study asymptotic mixed normality of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-12-29 Teppei Ogihara

We consider the problem of allocating samples to a finite set of discrete distributions in order to learn them uniformly well in terms of four common distance measures: $\ell_2^2$, $\ell_1$, $f$-divergence, and separation distance. To…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-10 Shubhanshu Shekhar , Tara Javidi , Mohammad Ghavamzadeh

The Bayes error rate (BER) is a fundamental concept in machine learning that quantifies the best possible accuracy any classifier can achieve on a fixed probability distribution. Despite years of research on building estimators of lower and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-08 Cedric Renggli , Luka Rimanic , Nora Hollenstein , Ce Zhang

Approximate probabilistic inference algorithms are central to many fields. Examples include sequential Monte Carlo inference in robotics, variational inference in machine learning, and Markov chain Monte Carlo inference in statistics. A key…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-07 Marco F. Cusumano-Towner , Vikash K. Mansinghka

We propose a unified framework for establishing existence of nonparametric M-estimators, computing the corresponding estimates, and proving their strong consistency when the class of functions is exceptionally rich. In particular, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-11 Johannes O. Royset , Roger J-B Wets

Explicit finite-sample statistical guarantees on model performance are an important ingredient in responsible machine learning. Previous work has focused mainly on bounding either the expected loss of a predictor or the probability that an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-07 Zhun Deng , Thomas P. Zollo , Jake C. Snell , Toniann Pitassi , Richard Zemel
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