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Related papers: Using Twitter to predict football outcomes

200 papers

In many Twitter studies, it is important to know where a tweet came from in order to use the tweet content to study regional user behavior. However, researchers using Twitter to understand user behavior often lack sufficient geo-tagged…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-11-21 Binxuan Huang , Kathleen M. Carley

User response to contributed content in online social media depends on many factors. These include how the site lays out new content, how frequently the user visits the site, how many friends the user follows, how active these friends are,…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2013-08-14 Tad Hogg , Kristina Lerman , Laura M. Smith

There is a general consensus of the good sensing and novelty characteristics of Twitter as an information media for the complex financial market. This paper investigates the permeability of Twittersphere, the total universe of Twitter users…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-12-20 Ana Fernández Vilas , Rebeca P. Díaz Redondo , Keeley Crockett , Majdi Owda , Lewis Evans

Analyzing football score data with statistical techniques, we investigate how the not purely random, but highly co-operative nature of the game is reflected in averaged properties such as the probability distributions of scored goals for…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-04-02 Elmar Bittner , Andreas Nussbaumer , Wolfhard Janke , Martin Weigel

Twitter accounts have already been used in many scientometric studies, but the meaningfulness of the data for societal impact measurements in research evaluation has been questioned. Earlier research focused on social media counts and…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2019-04-16 Robin Haunschild , Loet Leydesdorff , Lutz Bornmann , Iina Hellsten , Werner Marx

The Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) is widely accepted to hold true under certain assumptions. One of its implications is that the prediction of stock prices at least in the short run cannot outperform the random walk model. Yet, recently…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-03-24 Panagiotis Papaioannnou , Lucia Russo , George Papaioannou , Constantinos Siettos

Social media platforms, such as Twitter, provide a totally new perspective in dealing with the traffic problems and is anticipated to complement the traditional methods. The geo-tagged tweets can provide the Twitter users' location…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-01-28 Zhenhua Zhang

Evaluating the accuracies of models for match outcome predictions is nice and well but in the end the real proof is in the money to be made by betting. To evaluate the question whether the models developed by us could be used easily to make…

Applications · Statistics 2017-02-21 Albrecht Zimmermann

Composing a team of professional players is among the most crucial decisions in association football. Nevertheless, transfer market decisions are often based on myopic objectives and are questionable from a financial point of view. This…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-10-06 Giovanni Pantuso , Lars Magnus Hvattum

Modern society depends on the flow of information over online social networks, and users of popular platforms generate significant behavioral data about themselves and their social ties. However, it remains unclear what fundamental limits…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-02-12 James P. Bagrow , Xipei Liu , Lewis Mitchell

In our work we analyse the political disaffection or "the subjective feeling of powerlessness, cynicism, and lack of confidence in the political process, politicians, and democratic institutions, but with no questioning of the political…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2013-02-11 Corrado Monti , Alessandro Rozza , Giovanni Zappella , Matteo Zignani , Adam Arvidsson , Monica Poletti

Public opinion influences events, especially related to stock market movement, in which a subtle hint can influence the local outcome of the market. In this paper, we present a dataset that allows for company-level analysis of tweet based…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-06-18 Karolina Sowinska , Pranava Madhyastha

The recent growth in data availability in football has increased the risk of incorrect use of data-driven models, making guidelines on their validation and application necessary. The Expected Threat (xT) model is an accessible option for…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-28 Koen van Arem , Jakob Söhl , Mirjam Bruinsma , Geurt Jongbloed

Today, our more-than-ever digital lives leave significant footprints in cyberspace. Large scale collections of these socially generated footprints, often known as big data, could help us to re-investigate different aspects of our social…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-01-05 Taha Yasseri , Jonathan Bright

The forecasting of political, economic, and public health indicators using internet activity has demonstrated mixed results. For example, while some measures of explicitly surveyed public opinion correlate well with social media proxies,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-07-14 Yi Li , Asieh Ahani , Haimao Zhan , Kevin Foley , Thayer Alshaabi , Kelsey Linnell , Peter Sheridan Dodds , Christopher M. Danforth , Adam Fox

Fast, global, and sensitively reacting to political, economic and social events of any kind, these are attributes that social media like Twitter share with foreign exchange markets. The leading assumption of this paper is that information…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-02-10 Dietmar Janetzko

Although the data-driven analysis of football players' performance has been developed for years, most research only focuses on the on-ball event including shots and passes, while the off-ball movement remains a little-explored area in this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-06 Yisheng Pei , Varuna De Silva , Mike Caine

Analysis of information retrieved from microblogging services such as Twitter can provide valuable insight into public sentiment in a geographic region. This insight can be enriched by visualising information in its geographic context. Two…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2016-11-18 Vu Dung Nguyen , Blesson Varghese , Adam Barker

Among the vast information available on the web, social media streams capture what people currently pay attention to and how they feel about certain topics. Awareness of such trending topics plays a crucial role in multimedia systems such…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-06-17 Tim Althoff , Damian Borth , Jörn Hees , Andreas Dengel

In soccer, game context can result in skewing offensive statistics in ways that might misrepresent how well a team has played. For instance, in England's 1-2 loss to France in the 2022 FIFA World Cup quarterfinal, England attempted…

Applications · Statistics 2025-08-07 Andrey Skripnikov , Ahmet Cemek , David Gillman