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Birnbaum's theorem, that the sufficiency and conditionality principles entail the likelihood principle, has engendered a great deal of controversy and discussion since the publication of the result in 1962. In particular, many have raised…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-08-01 Michael Evans

On some problems in the article "Efficient Likelihood Estimation in State Space Models" by Cheng-Der Fuh [Ann. Statist. 34 (2006) 2026--2068] [arXiv:math/0611376]

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-03-01 Jens Ledet Jensen

We describe the fundamental constructions and properties of determinantal probability measures and point processes, giving streamlined proofs. We illustrate these with some important examples. We pose several general questions and…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-10 Russell Lyons

A new version of a Strong Law of Large Numbers is proposed in this note for pairwise independent random variables. The main goal is to relax the assumption on a finite expectation for each term.

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-27 Alina Akhmiarova , Alexander Veretennikov

In this paper we obtain some possibilistic variants of the probabilistic laws of large numbers, different from those obtained by other authors, but very natural extensions of the corresponding ones in probability theory. Our results are…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-15 Sorin G. Gal

The paper argues that a part of the current statistical discussion is not based on the standard firm foundations of the field. Among the examples we consider are prediction into the future, semi-supervised classification, and causality…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-03-09 Ya'acov Ritov

A logic is defined that allows to express information about statistical probabilities and about degrees of belief in specific propositions. By interpreting the two types of probabilities in one common probability space, the semantics given…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-28 Manfred Jaeger

Recently, there has been a discussion on the origin of the quantum probability rules (Deutsch quant-ph/9906015, Polley quant-ph/9906124, Barnum et al. quant-ph/9907024, Finkelstein quant-ph/9907004). This contribution, which is a slightly…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Johann Summhammer

Discussion of "Likelihood Inference for Models with Unobservables: Another View" by Youngjo Lee and John A. Nelder [arXiv:1010.0303]

Methodology · Statistics 2010-10-06 Xiao-Li Meng

I expound and defend the ``bare probabilism'' reading of Gibbsian (i.e. mainstream) statistical mechanics, responding to Frigg and Werndl's recent (BJPS 72 (2021), 105-129) plea: ``can somebody please say what Gibbsian statistical mechanics…

History and Philosophy of Physics · Physics 2024-07-22 David Wallace

The classical propositional assumption-based model is extended to incorporate probabilities for the assumptions. Then it is placed into the framework of evidence theory. Several authors like Laskey, Lehner (1989) and Provan (1990) already…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-08 Jurg Kohlas , Paul-Andre Monney

The law of likelihood underlies a general framework, known as the likelihood paradigm, for representing and interpreting statistical evidence. As stated, the law applies only to simple hypotheses, and there have been reservations about…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-01-06 Zhiwei Zhang

We congratulate the authors for the interesting paper. The reading has been really pleasant and instructive. We discuss briefly only some of the interesting results given in Devroye and James "On simulation and properties of the stable…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-21 Mirko D'Ovidio , Federico Polito

Theory of Probability is distinguished by several high-level philosophical attitudes, some stressed by Jeffreys, some implicit. By reviewing these we may recognize the importance in this work in the historical development of statistics.…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-01-19 Robert Kass

We present a semantics for adding uncertainty to conditional logics for default reasoning and belief revision. We are able to treat conditional sentences as statements of conditional probability, and express rules for revision such as "If A…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-08 Craig Boutilier

This contribution derives from a rather extensive study on the foundations of probability. We start by discussing critically the two main models of the random event in Probability Theroy and cast light over a number of incongruities. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Paolo Rocchi , Leonida Gianfagna

We use sets of assignments, a.k.a. teams, and measures on them to define probabilities of first-order formulas in given data. We then axiomatise first-order properties of such probabilities and prove a completeness theorem for our…

Logic · Mathematics 2016-09-09 Tapani Hyttinen , Gianluca Paolini , Jouko Väänänen

The features of a logically sound approach to a theory of statistical reasoning are discussed. A particular approach that satisfies these criteria is reviewed. This is seen to involve selection of a model, model checking, elicitation of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-09 Luai Al-Labadi , Zeynep Baskurt , Michael Evans

New cases of the multiplicity conjecture are considered.

Commutative Algebra · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Juergen Herzog , Xinxian Zheng

Triangular distributions are a well-known class of distributions that are often used as an elementary example of a probability model. Maximum likelihood estimation of the mode parameter of the triangular distribution over the unit interval…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2016-11-08 Hien D Nguyen , Geoffrey J McLachlan