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Computing the exact likelihood of data in large Bayesian networks consisting of thousands of vertices is often a difficult task. When these models contain many deterministic conditional probability tables and when the observed values are…

Computation · Statistics 2012-06-26 Ydo Wexler , Dan Geiger

Bayesian optimization through Gaussian process regression is an effective method of optimizing an unknown function for which every measurement is expensive. It approximates the objective function and then recommends a new measurement point…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-05-17 Hildo Bijl , Thomas B. Schön , Jan-Willem van Wingerden , Michel Verhaegen

Logic regression was developed more than a decade ago as a tool to construct predictors from Boolean combinations of binary covariates. It has been mainly used to model epistatic effects in genetic association studies, which is very…

Computation · Statistics 2020-04-29 Aliaksandr Hubin , Geir Storvik , Florian Frommlet

We propose a fast inference method for Bayesian nonlinear support vector machines that leverages stochastic variational inference and inducing points. Our experiments show that the proposed method is faster than competing Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-22 Florian Wenzel , Theo Galy-Fajou , Matthaeus Deutsch , Marius Kloft

A new methodology for model determination in decomposable graphical Gaussian models is developed. The Bayesian paradigm is used and, for each given graph, a hyper inverse Wishart prior distribution on the covariance matrix is considered.…

Computation · Statistics 2015-03-13 Sophie Donnet , Jean-Michel Marin

Variational inference methods for latent variable statistical models have gained popularity because they are relatively fast, can handle large data sets, and have deterministic convergence guarantees. However, in practice it is unclear…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-22 Hachem Saddiki , Andrew C. Trapp , Patrick Flaherty

This paper presents a novel variational inference framework for deriving a family of Bayesian sparse Gaussian process regression (SGPR) models whose approximations are variationally optimal with respect to the full-rank GPR model enriched…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-25 Haibin Yu , Trong Nghia Hoang , Kian Hsiang Low , Patrick Jaillet

Survival models are used to analyze time-to-event data in a variety of disciplines. Proportional hazard models provide interpretable parameter estimates, but proportional hazards assumptions are not always appropriate. Non-parametric models…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-08 Richard D. Payne , Nilabja Guha , Bani K. Mallick

We propose a novel computationally low-cost method for estimating a general predictive measure of generalised Bayesian inference. The proposed method utilises posterior covariance and provides estimators of the Gibbs and the plugin…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-14 Yukito Iba , Keisuke Yano

This paper proposes a new algorithm for Gaussian process classification based on posterior linearisation (PL). In PL, a Gaussian approximation to the posterior density is obtained iteratively using the best possible linearisation of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-19 Ángel F. García-Fernández , Filip Tronarp , Simo Särkkä

Scalar-on-image regression aims to investigate changes in a scalar response of interest based on high-dimensional imaging data. We propose a novel Bayesian nonparametric scalar-on-image regression model that utilises the spatial coordinates…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-23 Mica Teo Shu Xian , Sara Wade

Ordinal categorical data are routinely encountered in many practical applications. When the primary goal is to construct a regression model for ordinal outcomes, cumulative link models represent one of the most popular choices to link the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-13 Emanuele Aliverti

We consider online prediction of a latent dynamic spatiotemporal process and estimation of the associated model parameters based on noisy data. The problem is motivated by the analysis of spatial data arriving in real-time and the current…

Computation · Statistics 2017-08-14 Evangelos Evangelou , Vasileios Maroulas

We propose a tractable semiparametric estimation method for structural dynamic discrete choice models. The distribution of additive utility shocks in the proposed framework is modeled by location-scale mixtures of extreme value…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-08-15 Andriy Norets , Kenichi Shimizu

While stochastic variational inference is relatively well known for scaling inference in Bayesian probabilistic models, related methods also offer ways to circumnavigate the approximation of analytically intractable expectations. The key…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-09-08 David A. Knowles

The log-Gaussian Cox process is a flexible and popular class of point pattern models for capturing spatial and space-time dependence for point patterns. Model fitting requires approximation of stochastic integrals which is implemented…

Computation · Statistics 2018-10-24 Shinichiro Shirota , Sudipto Banerjee

In this paper, a Bayesian method for piecewise regression is adapted to handle counting processes data distributed as Poisson. A numerical code in Mathematica is developed and tested analyzing simulated data. The resulting method is…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-02-21 Diego Sevilla

We develop a fast variational approximation scheme for Gaussian process (GP) regression, where the spectrum of the covariance function is subjected to a sparse approximation. Our approach enables uncertainty in covariance function…

Computation · Statistics 2019-04-24 Linda S. L. Tan , Victor M. H. Ong , David J. Nott , Ajay Jasra

In this paper, we first propose a Bayesian neighborhood selection method to estimate Gaussian Graphical Models (GGMs). We show the graph selection consistency of this method in the sense that the posterior probability of the true model…

Applications · Statistics 2015-07-08 Zhixiang Lin , Tao Wang , Can Yang , Hongyu Zhao

We introduce a nonparametric approach for estimating drift and diffusion functions in systems of stochastic differential equations from observations of the state vector. Gaussian processes are used as flexible models for these functions and…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-08-15 Philipp Batz , Andreas Ruttor , Manfred Opper