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This paper introduces novel backtests for the risk measure Expected Shortfall (ES) following the testing idea of Mincer and Zarnowitz (1969). Estimating a regression framework for the ES stand-alone is infeasible, and thus, our tests are…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-31 Sebastian Bayer , Timo Dimitriadis

The Expected Shortfall (ES) is one of the most important regulatory risk measures in finance, insurance, and statistics, which has recently been characterized via sets of axioms from perspectives of portfolio risk management and statistics.…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-09-09 Qiuqi Wang , Ruodu Wang , Ricardas Zitikis

This paper examines the precision of estimators of Quantile-Based Risk Measures (Value at Risk, Expected Shortfall, Spectral Risk Measures). It first addresses the question of how to estimate the precision of these estimators, and proposes…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-03-30 Kevin Dowd , John Cotter

In this paper, we introduce the rich classes of conditional distortion (CoD) risk measures and distortion risk contribution ($\Delta$CoD) measures as measures of systemic risk and analyze their properties and representations. The classes…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-01-29 Jan Dhaene , Roger J. A. Laeven , Yiying Zhang

We present a distribution optimization framework that significantly improves confidence bounds for various risk measures compared to previous methods. Our framework encompasses popular risk measures such as the entropic risk measure,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-13 Hao Liang , Zhi-quan Luo

The addition of lower level integrality constraints to a bi-level linear program is known to result in significantly weaker analytical properties. Most notably, the upper level goal function in the optimistic setting lacks lower…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-12-13 Johanna Burtscheidt , Matthias Claus

We present a framework for constructing multivariate risk measures that is inspired from univariate Optimized Certainty Equivalent (OCE) risk measures. We show that this new class of risk measures verifies the desirable properties such as…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-12-07 Sarah Kaakai , Anis Matoussi , Achraf Tamtalini

We define and develop an approach for risk budgeting allocation - a risk diversification portfolio strategy - where risk is measured using a dynamic time-consistent risk measure. For this, we introduce a notion of dynamic risk contributions…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-01 Silvana M. Pesenti , Sebastian Jaimungal , Yuri F. Saporito , Rodrigo S. Targino

We introduce the formalism of generalized Fourier transforms in the context of risk management. We develop a general framework to efficiently compute the most popular risk measures, Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall (also known as…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-05-08 G. Bormetti , V. Cazzola , G. Livan , G. Montagna , O. Nicrosini

The estimation of risk measures recently gained a lot of attention, partly because of the backtesting issues of expected shortfall related to elicitability. In this work we shed a new and fundamental light on optimal estimation procedures…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-08-25 Marcin Pitera , Thorsten Schmidt

Credit ratings are widely used by investors as a screening device. We introduce and study several natural notions of risk consistency that promote prudent investment decisions in the framework of Choquet rating criteria. Three closely…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-17 Nan Guo , Ruodu Wang , Chenxi Xia , Jingping Yang

We establish sharp exponential deviation estimates of the information content as well as a sharp bound on the varentropy for the class of convex measures on Euclidean spaces. This generalizes a similar development for log-concave measures…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-25 Matthieu Fradelizi , Jiange Li , Mokshay Madiman

In this research, starting from a widely accepted definition of risk, we support the idea that risk reduction is a more realistic objective than risk minimization, which represents a theoretical utopia. Furthermore, significant risk…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-01 Pierpaolo Uberti

We consider families of strongly consistent multivariate conditional risk measures. We show that under strong consistency these families admit a decomposition into a conditional aggregation function and a univariate conditional risk measure…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-27 Hannes Hoffmann , Thilo Meyer-Brandis , Gregor Svindland

Since the quasiconvex risk measures is a bigger class than the well known convex risk measures, the study of quasiconvex risk measures makes sense especially in the financial markets with volatility. In this paper, we will study the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-26 Fei Sun , Yijun Hu

Monitoring means to observe a system for any changes which may occur over time, using a monitor or measuring device of some sort. In this paper we formulate a problem of monitoring dates of maximal risk of a financial position. Thus, the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2009-02-17 Erick Trevino Aguilar

We propose a generalization of the classical notion of the $V@R_{\lambda}$ that takes into account not only the probability of the losses, but the balance between such probability and the amount of the loss. This is obtained by defining a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-09-07 Marco Frittelli , Marco Maggis , Ilaria Peri

This paper studies distributionally robust optimization for a rich class of risk measures with ambiguity sets defined by $\phi$-divergences. The risk measures are allowed to be non-linear in probabilities, are represented by Choquet…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-15 Guanyu Jin , Roger J. A. Laeven , Dick den Hertog

For a risk vector $V$, whose components are shared among agents by some random mechanism, we obtain asymptotic lower and upper bounds for the individual agents' exposure risk and the aggregated risk in the market. Risk is measured by…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-04-12 Oliver Kley , Claudia Kluppelberg

In this paper we present results on scalar risk measures in markets with transaction costs. Such risk measures are defined as the minimal capital requirements in the cash asset. First, some results are provided on the dual representation of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-02-05 Zachary Feinstein , Birgit Rudloff