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Measuring model risk is required by regulators on financial and insurance markets. We separate model risk into parameter estimation risk and model specification risk, and we propose expected shortfall type model risk measures applied to…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-10-29 Emese Lazar , Shuyuan Qi , Radu Tunaru

We discuss the coherence properties of Expected Shortfall (ES) as a financial risk measure. This statistic arises in a natural way from the estimation of the "average of the 100p % worst losses" in a sample of returns to a portfolio. Here p…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-12-31 Carlo Acerbi , Dirk Tasche

A classical result in risk measure theory states that every coherent risk measure has a dual representation as the supremum of certain expected value over a risk envelope. We study this topic in more detail. The related issues include: 1.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-02-28 Marcus Ang , Jie Sun , Qiang Yao

Expectiles define the only law-invariant, coherent and elicitable risk measure apart from the expectation. The popularity of expectile-based risk measures is steadily growing and their properties have been studied for independent data, but…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-13 Anthony C. Davison , Simone A. Padoan , Gilles Stupfler

In this note, we comment on the relevance of elicitability for backtesting risk measure estimates. In particular, we propose the use of Diebold-Mariano tests, and show how they can be implemented for Expected Shortfall (ES), based on the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-08-10 Tobias Fissler , Johanna F. Ziegel , Tilmann Gneiting

This paper presents a unified approach based on Wasserstein distance to derive concentration bounds for empirical estimates for two broad classes of risk measures defined in the paper. The classes of risk measures introduced include as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-11 Prashanth L. A. , Sanjay P. Bhat

Model risk measures consequences of choosing a model in a class of possible alternatives. We find analytical and simulated bounds for payoff functions on classes of plausible alternatives of a given discrete model. We measure the impact of…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-20 Roberto Fontana , Patrizia Semeraro

This manuscript studies statistical properties of linear classifiers obtained through minimization of an unregularized convex risk over a finite sample. Although the results are explicitly finite-dimensional, inputs may be passed through…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-15 Matus Telgarsky

Starting from the requirement that risk measures of financial portfolios should be based on their losses, not their gains, we define the notion of loss-based risk measure and study the properties of this class of risk measures. We…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-03-26 Rama Cont , Romain Deguest , Xuedong He

Systemic risk refers to the risk that the financial system is susceptible to failures due to the characteristics of the system itself. The tremendous cost of systemic risk requires the design and implementation of tools for the efficient…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-06 Zachary Feinstein , Birgit Rudloff , Stefan Weber

We provide a general construction of convex roof measures of coherence. This construction is based on arbitrary coherence measures of pure states in the framework of resource theory of coherence. Convex roof measures of coherence bound from…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2017-04-07 Yi Peng , Heng Fan

This paper generalizes results concerning strong convexity of two-stage mean-risk models with linear recourse to distortion risk measures. Introducing the concept of (restricted) partial strong convexity, we conduct an in-depth analysis of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-12-20 Matthias Claus , Kai Spürkel

In the second part of our series we suggest new definitions of credit bond duration and convexity that remain consistent across all levels of credit quality including deeply distressed bonds and introduce additional risk measures that are…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2009-12-24 Arthur M. Berd , Roy Mashal , Peili Wang

In this paper, we develop a novel unified methodology for performance and robustness analysis of linear dynamical networks. We introduce the notion of systemic measures for the class of first--order linear consensus networks. We classify…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-09-09 Milad Siami , Nader Motee

Expectiles are statistical parameters which also provide a class of sublinear risk measures in finance. They are solutions of continuous optimization problems. The corresponding first order condition provides two different fixed point…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-03 Thi Khanh Linh Ha , Andreas Heinrich Hamel , Daniel Kostner

This paper is concerned with the MAXVAR risk measure on L^2 space. We present an elementary and direct proof of its coherency and averseness. Based on the observation that the MAXVAR measure is a continuous convex combination of the CVaR…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-02-28 Jie Sun , Qiang Yao

The paper analyzes risk assessment for cash flows in continuous time using the notion of convex risk measures for processes. By combining a decomposition result for optional measures, and a dual representation of a convex risk measure for…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-18 Irina Penner , Anthony Reveillac

Rates of convergence for empirical risk minimizers have been well studied in the literature. In this paper, we aim to provide a complementary set of results, in particular by showing that after normalization, the risk of the empirical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-12 Sara van de Geer , Martin Wainwright

Uncertainty is prevalent in engineering design, data-driven problems, and decision making broadly. Due to inherent risk-averseness and ambiguity about assumptions, it is common to address uncertainty by formulating and solving conservative…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-05 Johannes O. Royset

We present simple general conditions on the acceptance sets under which their induced monetary risk and deviation measures are comonotonic additive. We show that acceptance sets induce comonotonic additive risk measures if and only if the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-12 Samuel Solgon Santos , Marlon Ruoso Moresco , Marcelo Brutti Righi , Eduardo de Oliveira Horta
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