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As inductive inference and machine learning methods in computer science see continued success, researchers are aiming to describe ever more complex probabilistic models and inference algorithms. It is natural to ask whether there is a…

Logic · Mathematics 2019-11-19 Nathanael L. Ackerman , Cameron E. Freer , Daniel M. Roy

From the perspective of expectations of randomly stopped sums, Wald's equation and the Optional Sampling Theorem identify situations in which the stopping time can be decoupled from the stopping place, acting as if the two were independent.…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-27 Michael J. Klass , Victor H. de la Pena

We provide a device, called the local predictor, which extends the idea of the predictable compensator. It is shown that a fBm with the Hurst index greater than 1/2 coincides with its local predictor while fBm with the Hurst index smaller…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-07-10 Adam Jakubowski

We provide a characterization of continuous semimartingales whose law is invariant with respect to predictable random rotations. In particular we prove that all such semimartingales are obtained by integrating a predictable process with…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-25 Francesco C. De Vecchi

Recursive stochastic algorithms have gained significant attention in the recent past due to data driven applications. Examples include stochastic gradient descent for solving large-scale optimization problems and empirical dynamic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-27 Abhishek Gupta , Hao Chen , Jianzong Pi , Gaurav Tendolkar

The present paper is devoted to the second part of our project on asymmetric maximal inequalities, where we consider martingales in continuous time. Let $(\mathcal M,\tau)$ be a noncommutative probability space equipped with a continuous…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-07 Guixiang Hong , Marius Junge , Javier Parcet

In a prequential approach to algorithmic randomness, probabilities for the next outcome can be forecast `on the fly' without the need for fully specifying a probability measure on all possible sequences of outcomes, as is the case in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-26 Floris Persiau , Gert de Cooman

Doob's essential contributions to Probability theory are discussed; this includes the main early results on martingale theory, Doob's $h$-transform, as well as a summary of Doob's three books. Finally, Doob's `stochastic triangle' is viewed…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-25 M. Yor

We show that for a quantum $L^p$-martingale $(X(t))$, $p>2$, there exists a Doob-Meyer decomposition of the submartingale $(|X(t)|^2)$. A noncommutative counterpart of a classical process continuous with probability one is introduced, and a…

Operator Algebras · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Andrzej Luczak

This work contributes to the programme of studying effective versions of "almost everywhere" theorems in analysis and ergodic theory via algorithmic randomness. We determine the level of randomness needed for a point in a Cantor space $…

Logic · Mathematics 2016-05-10 Rodney G. Downey , Satyadev Nandakumar , Andre Nies

By considering a counting-type argument on Brownian sample paths, we prove a result similar to that of Orey and Taylor on the exact Hausdorff dimension of the rapid points of Brownian motion. Because of the nature of the proof we can then…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2015-07-01 Paul Potgieter

Through a regularization procedure, few approximation schemes of the local time of a large class of one dimensional processes are given. We mainly consider the local time of continuous semimartingales and reversible diffusions, and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-09-05 Blandine Berard Bergery , Pierre Vallois

As an alternative to the well-known methods of "chaining" and "bracketing" that have been developed in the study of random fields, a new method, which is based on a stochastic maximal inequality derived by using It\^o's formula and on a new…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-12 Yoichi Nishiyama

We study Martin-L\"{o}f random (ML-random) points on computable probability measures on sample and parameter spaces (Bayes models). We consider variants of conditional randomness defined by ML-randomness on Bayes models and those of…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-04-24 Hayato Takahashi

We use the abstract method of (local) martingale problems in order to give criteria for convergence of stochastic processes. Extending previous notions, the formulation we use is neither restricted to Markov processes (or semimartingales),…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-27 David Criens , Peter Pfaffelhuber , Thorsten Schmidt

The Robbins-Monro algorithm is a recursive, simulation-based stochastic procedure to approximate the zeros of a function that can be written as an expectation. It is known that under some technical assumptions, a Gaussian convergence can be…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-17 Lorick Huang , V Konakov

The empirically successful Thompson Sampling algorithm for stochastic bandits has drawn much interest in understanding its theoretical properties. One important benefit of the algorithm is that it allows domain knowledge to be conveniently…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-07-22 Che-Yu Liu , Lihong Li

We study finite-horizon optimal switching with discrete intervention dates on a general filtration, allowing continuous-time observations between decision dates, and develop a deep-learning-based dual framework with computable upper bounds.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-10 Junyan Ye , Hoi Ying Wong

We study algorithmic randomness and monotone complexity on product of the set of infinite binary sequences. We explore the following problems: monotone complexity on product space, Lambalgen's theorem for correlated probability,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2010-06-29 Hayato Takahashi

A succesful method to describe the asymptotic behavior of a discrete time stochastic process governed by some recursive formula is to relate it to the limit sets of a well chosen mean differential equation. Under an attainability condition,…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-01-19 Mathieu Faure , Gregory Roth