English
Related papers

Related papers: Asymptotics for a Class of Dynamic Recurrent Event…

200 papers

We consider a finite collection of reinforced stochastic processes with a general network-based interaction among them. We provide sufficient and necessary conditions in order to have some form of almost sure asymptotic synchronization,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-11 Giacomo Aletti , Irene Crimaldi , Andrea Ghiglietti

A recent article on generalised linear mixed model asymptotics, Jiang et al. (2022), derived the rates of convergence for the asymptotic variances of maximum likelihood estimators. If $m$ denotes the number of groups and $n$ is the average…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-03 Luca Maestrini , Aishwarya Bhaskaran , Matt P. Wand

We derive asymptotic properties for a stochastic dynamic network model in a stochastic dynamic population. In the model, nodes give birth to new nodes until they die, each node being equipped with a social index given at birth. During the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-10 Tom Britton , Mathias Lindholm , Tatyana Turova

From the sampling of data to the initialisation of parameters, randomness is ubiquitous in modern Machine Learning practice. Understanding the statistical fluctuations engendered by the different sources of randomness in prediction is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-03 Bruno Loureiro , Cédric Gerbelot , Maria Refinetti , Gabriele Sicuro , Florent Krzakala

Functional data present as functions or curves possessing a spatial or temporal component. These components by nature have a fixed observational domain. Consequently, any asymptotic investigation requires modelling the increased correlation…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-11 Cory W. Natoli , Edward D. White , Beau A. Nunnally , Alex J. Gutman , Raymond R. Hill

Maximum entropy models, motivated by applications in neuron science, are natural generalizations of the $\beta$-model to weighted graphs. Similar to the $\beta$-model, each vertex in maximum entropy models is assigned a potential parameter,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-28 Ting Yan , Yunpeng Zhao , Hong Qin

Doubly robust estimators have gained widespread popularity in various fields due to their ability to provide unbiased estimates under model misspecification. However, the asymptotic theory for doubly robust estimators with continuous-time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-23 Andrew Ying

Predictive models in acute care settings must be able to immediately recognize precipitous changes in a patient's status when presented with data reflecting such changes. Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) have become common for training and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-30 David Ledbetter , Eugene Laksana , Melissa Aczon , Randall Wetzel

Continuous-time event data are common in applications such as individual behavior data, financial transactions, and medical health records. Modeling such data can be very challenging, in particular for applications with many different types…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-09 Alex Boyd , Robert Bamler , Stephan Mandt , Padhraic Smyth

We study maximum-likelihood-type estimation for diffusion processes when the coefficients are nonrandom and observation occurs in nonsynchronous manner. The problem of nonsynchronous observations is important when we consider the analysis…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-04 Teppei Ogihara

We study asymptotic behavior of one-step $M$-estimators based on samples from arrays of not necessarily identically distributed random variables and representing explicit approximations to the corresponding consistent $M$-estimators. These…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-04-12 Yu. Yu. Linke

Tuning parameters are parameters involved in an estimating procedure for the purpose of reducing the risk of some other estimator. Examples include the degree of penalization in penalized regression and likelihood problems, as well as the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-31 Ingrid Dæhlen , Nils Lid Hjort , Ingrid Hobæk Haff

This paper investigates asymptotic properties of algorithms that can be viewed as robust analogues of the classical empirical risk minimization. These strategies are based on replacing the usual empirical average by a robust proxy of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-01 Stanislav Minsker

We consider an agent who represents uncertainty about the environment via a possibly misspecified model. Each period, the agent takes an action, observes a consequence, and uses Bayes' rule to update her belief about the environment. This…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2019-10-24 Ignacio Esponda , Demian Pouzo , Yuichi Yamamoto

We conduct a review to assess how the simulation of repeated or recurrent events are planned. For such multivariate time-to-events, it is well established that the underlying mechanism is likely to be complex and to involve in particular…

Applications · Statistics 2015-03-20 Juliette Pénichoux , Thierry Moreau , Aurélien Latouche

This paper investigates asymptotic behavior of a stochastic SIR epidemic model, which is a system with degenerate diffusion. It gives sufficient conditions that are very close to the necessary conditions for the permanence. In addition,…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-24 N. T. Dieu , D. H. Nguyen , N. H. Du , G. Yin

The change-plane Cox model is a popular tool for the subgroup analysis of survival data. Despite the rich literature on this model, there has been limited investigation into the asymptotic properties of the estimators of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-14 Shota Takeishi

Widespread deployment of societal-scale machine learning systems necessitates a thorough understanding of the resulting long-term effects these systems have on their environment, including loss of trustworthiness, bias amplification, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-07 Andrey Veprikov , Alexander Afanasiev , Anton Khritankov

Regression models for continuous outcomes often require a transformation of the outcome, which the user either specify {\it a priori} or estimate from a parametric family. Cumulative probability models (CPMs) nonparametrically estimate the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-21 Chun Li , Yuqi Tian , Donglin Zeng , Bryan E. Shepherd

Transient phenomena play a key role in coordinating brain activity at multiple scales, however,their underlying mechanisms remain largely unknown. A key challenge for neural data science is thus to characterize the network interactions at…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2022-09-16 Kaidi Shao , Nikos K. Logothetis , Michel Besserve