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The efficiency of a Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm might be measured by the cost of generating one independent sample, or equivalently, the total cost divided by the effective sample size, defined in terms of the integrated…

Computation · Statistics 2017-05-12 Youhan Fang , Yudong Cao , Robert D. Skeel

We study approximation of the embedding $\ell_p^m \hookrightarrow \ell_q^m$, $1 \leq p < q \leq \infty$, based on randomized algorithms that use up to $n$ arbitrary linear functionals as information on a problem instance where $n \ll m$. By…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-09-22 Robert J. Kunsch , Marcin Wnuk

Making calibrated online predictions is a central challenge in modern AI systems. Much of the existing literature focuses on fully adversarial environments where outcomes may be arbitrary, leading to conservative algorithms that can perform…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-25 Junyan Liu , Haipeng Luo , Lillian J. Ratliff

Monte Carlo integration using quantum computers has been widely investigated, including applications to concrete problems. It is known that quantum algorithms based on quantum amplitude estimation (QAE) can compute an integral with a…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-05-25 Kazuya Kaneko , Koichi Miyamoto , Naoyuki Takeda , Kazuyoshi Yoshino

The efficient approximation of quantity of interest derived from PDEs with lognormal diffusivity is a central challenge in uncertainty quantification. In this study, we propose a multilevel quasi-Monte Carlo framework to approximate…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-08-06 Joakim Beck , Yang Liu , Erik von Schwerin , Raúl Tempone

In this paper, we describe a framework to compute expected convergence rates for residuals based on the Calder\'on identities for general second order differential operators for which fundamental solutions are known. The idea is that these…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-04-01 Ralf Hiptmair , Carolina Urzúa-Torres , Anouk Wisse

This work studies a posteriori error estimates and their use for time-dependent acoustic scattering problems, formulated as a time-dependent boundary integral equation based on a single-layer ansatz. The integral equation is discretized by…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-09-05 Théophile Chaumont-Frelet , Heiko Gimperlein , Ignacio Labarca-Figueroa , Jörg Nick

Approximating adequate number of clusters in multidimensional data is an open area of research, given a level of compromise made on the quality of acceptable results. The manuscript addresses the issue by formulating a transductive…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2015-03-17 Shriprakash Sinha

This paper studies a generalization of hyperinterpolation over the high-dimensional unit cube. Hyperinterpolation of degree \( m \) serves as a discrete approximation of the \( L_2 \)-orthogonal projection of the same degree, using Fourier…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-07-08 Congpei An , Mou Cai , Takashi Goda

We introduce kernel thinning, a new procedure for compressing a distribution $\mathbb{P}$ more effectively than i.i.d. sampling or standard thinning. Given a suitable reproducing kernel $\mathbf{k}_{\star}$ and $O(n^2)$ time, kernel…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-14 Raaz Dwivedi , Lester Mackey

A Monte Carlo algorithm is said to be adaptive if it automatically calibrates its current proposal distribution using past simulations. The choice of the parametric family that defines the set of proposal distributions is critical for good…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-11-11 Christian Schäfer , Nicolas Chopin

Most commonly used \emph{adaptive} algorithms for univariate real-valued function approximation and global minimization lack theoretical guarantees. Our new locally adaptive algorithms are guaranteed to provide answers that satisfy a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-08-28 Sou-Cheng T. Choi , Yuhan Ding , Fred J. Hickernell , Xin Tong

QM (quantum mechenics) and MM (molecular mechenics) coupling methods are widely used in simulations of crystalline defects. In this paper, we construct a residual based a posteriori error indicator for QM/MM coupling approximations. We…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-06-26 Huajie Chen , Mingjie Liao , Hao Wang , Yangshuai Wang , Lei Zhang

Distortion risk measures play a critical role in quantifying risks associated with uncertain outcomes. Accurately estimating these risk measures in the context of computationally expensive simulation models that lack analytical tractability…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-29 Sören Bettels , Stefan Weber

In interactive imitation learning (IL), uncertainty quantification offers a way for the learner (i.e. robot) to contend with distribution shifts encountered during deployment by actively seeking additional feedback from an expert (i.e.…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-05-01 Michelle Zhao , Reid Simmons , Henny Admoni , Aaditya Ramdas , Andrea Bajcsy

We consider the problem of estimating the measure of subsets in very large networks. A prime tool for this purpose is the Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm. This algorithm, while extremely useful in many cases, still often suffers…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2020-09-01 Ahmad Askarian , Rupei Xu , András Faragó

In this paper, we present a contraction-guided adaptive partitioning algorithm for improving interval-valued robust reachable set estimates in a nonlinear feedback loop with a neural network controller and disturbances. Based on an estimate…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-01-23 Akash Harapanahalli , Saber Jafarpour , Samuel Coogan

A novel theoretical and numerical framework for the estimation of Sobol sensitivity indices for models in which inputs are confined to a non-rectangular domain (e.g., in presence of inequality constraints) is developed. Two numerical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-18 S. Kucherenko , O. V. Klymenko , N. Shah

Slice sampling is a standard Monte Carlo technique for Dirichlet process (DP)-based models, widely used in posterior simulation. However, formal assessments of the scalability of posterior slice samplers have remained largely unexplored,…

Computation · Statistics 2026-02-03 Beatrice Franzolini , Francesco Gaffi

Most existing examples of full conformal predictive systems, split-conformal predictive systems, and cross-conformal predictive systems impose severe restrictions on the adaptation of predictive distributions to the test object at hand. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-19 Vladimir Vovk , Ivan Petej , Paolo Toccaceli , Alex Gammerman