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We study asymptotic properties of spatially non-homogeneous random walks with non-integrable increments, including transience, almost-sure bounds, and existence and non-existence of moments for first-passage and last-exit times. In our…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-08-03 Ostap Hryniv , Iain M. MacPhee , Mikhail V. Menshikov , Andrew R. Wade

We consider random variables observed at arrival times of a renewal process, which possibly depends on those observations and has regularly varying steps with infinite mean. Due to the dependence and heavy tailed steps, the limiting…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-08 Bojan Basrak , Drago Špoljarić

We study analytically a simple random walk model on a one-dimensional lattice, where at each time step the walker resets to the maximum of the already visited positions (to the rightmost visited site) with a probability $r$, and with…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-11-30 Satya N. Majumdar , Sanjib Sabhapandit , Gregory Schehr

In this article, we study the maximal displacement in a branching random walk. We prove that its asymptotic behaviour consists in a first almost sure ballistic term, a negative logarithmic correction in probability and stochastically…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-21 Bastien Mallein

We study the asymptotic behavior of a multidimensional random walk in a general cone. We find the tail asymptotics for the exit time and prove integral and local limit theorems for a random walk conditioned to stay in a cone. The main step…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-04 Denis Denisov , Vitali Wachtel

We consider a discrete time random walk in one dimension. At each time step the walker jumps by a random distance, independent from step to step, drawn from an arbitrary symmetric density function. We show that the expected positive maximum…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Alain Comtet , Satya N. Majumdar

In this paper, we study the large $n$ asymptotics of the expected maximum of an $n$-step random walk/L\'evy flight (characterized by a L\'evy index $1<\mu\leq 2$) on a line, in the presence of a constant drift $c$. For $0<\mu\leq 1$, the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-09-03 Philippe Mounaix , Satya N. Majumdar , Gregory Schehr

We consider a centered random walk with finite variance and investigate the asymptotic behaviour of the probability that the area under this walk remains positive up to a large time $n$. Assuming that the moment of order $2+\delta$ is…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-07-11 Denis Denisov , Vitali Wachtel

In this paper, we present several heavy-tailed distributions belonging to the new class J of distributions obeying the principle of a single big jump introduced by Beck et al. [1]. We describe the structure of this class from different…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-19 Hui Xu , Michael Scheutzow , Yuebao Wang , Zhaolei Cui

The prediction and control of rare events is an important task in disciplines that range from physics and biology, to economics and social science. The Big Jump principle deals with a peculiar aspect of the mechanism that drives rare…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-02-27 Alessandro Vezzani , Eli Barkai , Raffaella Burioni

We prove an analogue of the classical ballot theorem that holds for any random walk in the range of attraction of the normal distribution. Our result is best possible: we exhibit examples demonstrating that if any of our hypotheses are…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-02-28 L. Addario-Berry , B. A. Reed

We consider asymptotics for the maximum of a modulated random walk whose increments $\xi_n^{X_n}$ are heavy-tailed. Of particular interest is the case where the modulating process $X$ is regenerative. Here we study also the maximum of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-29 Sergey Foss , Stan Zachary

We prove that the law of a random walk $X_n$ is determined by the one-dimensional distributions of $\max(X_n, 0)$ for $n = 1, 2, \ldots$, as conjectured recently by Lo\"ic Chaumont and Ron Doney. Equivalently, the law of $X_n$ is determined…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-25 Mateusz Kwaśnicki

We study the one-dimensional branching random walk in the case when the step size distribution has a stretched exponential tail, and, in particular, no finite exponential moments. The tail of the step size $X$ decays as $\mathbb{P}[X \geq…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-12 Piotr Dyszewski , Nina Gantert , Thomas Höfelsauer

This paper explores a conditional Gibbs theorem for a random walkinduced by i.i.d. (X_{1},..,X_{n}) conditioned on an extreme deviation of its sum (S_{1}^{n}=na_{n}) or (S_{1}^{n}>na_{n}) where a_{n}\rightarrow\infty. It is proved that when…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-04 Michel Broniatowski , Zhansheng Cao

By a theorem of Volkov (2001) we know that on most graphs with positive probability the linearly vertex-reinforced random walk (VRRW) stays within a finite "trapping" subgraph at all large times. The question of whether this tail behavior…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-11-16 Vlada Limic , Stanislav Volkov

We study the long-time behavior of the probability density associated with the decoupled continuous-time random walk which is characterized by a superheavy-tailed distribution of waiting times. It is shown that if the random walk is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-05-02 S. I. Denisov , H. Kantz

We define the reflection of a random walk at a general barrier and derive, in case the increments are light tailed and have negative mean, a necessary and sufficient criterion for the global maximum of the reflected process to be finite…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Niels Richard Hansen

We consider two dimensional random walks conditioned to stay in the positive quadrant. Assuming that the increments of the walk have finite second moments and that the drift vector is co-oriented with one of two axes, we construct positive…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-10 Tuan Anh Nguyen , Vitali Wachtel

Consider a family of $\Delta$-latticed aperiodic random walks $\{S^{(a)},0\le a\le a_0\}$ with increments $X_i^{(a)}$ and non-positive drift $-a$. Suppose that $\sup_{a\le a_0}\mathbf{E}[(X^{(a)})^2]<\infty$ and $\sup_{a\le…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-01 Johannes Kugler